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Doorway Height The Boeing \(757-200\) ER airliner carries 200 passengers and has doors with a height of 72 in. Heights of men are normally distributed with a mean of 68.6 in. and a standard deviation of 2.8 in. (based on Data Set 1 "Body Data" in Appendix B). a. If a male passenger is randomly selected, find the probability that he can fit through the doorway without bending. b. If half of the 200 passengers are men, find the probability that the mean height of the 100 men is less than 72 in. c. When considering the comfort and safety of passengers, which result is more relevant: the probability from part (a) or the probability from part (b)? Why? d. When considering the comfort and safety of passengers, why are women ignored in this case?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 88.69% b. 100% c. The probability from part (a) is more relevant. d. Women are ignored because male passengers usually have higher average height and variability.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

Determine the given values and requirements: 1. Height of doors: 72 inches. 2. Mean height of men: 68.6 inches. 3. Standard deviation: 2.8 inches. Identify that we need to find separate probabilities for a single individual and for the mean height of 100 men.
02

Calculate Z-Score for a Single Male Passenger

Convert the height into a Z-score to find the probability:Formula for Z-score: \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \)Where \(X\) is the value we are comparing to, \(\mu\) is the mean, and \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.For this problem:\[ Z = \frac{72 - 68.6}{2.8} \approx 1.21 \]
03

Find the Probability from Z-Score for Part (a)

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, find the probability corresponding to the Z-score of 1.21. For Z = 1.21, the probability is approximately 0.8869. Therefore, the probability that a randomly selected male passenger can fit through the doorway without bending is approximately 0.8869 or 88.69%.
04

Calculate Z-Score for the Mean Height of Male Passengers

For part (b), calculate the Z-score for the mean of 100 men:Formula for Z-score of sample mean: \[ Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \]Where \(\bar{X}\) is the sample mean height, \(\mu\) is the population mean, \(\sigma\) is standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size.\[ Z = \frac{72 - 68.6}{\frac{2.8}{\sqrt{100}}} = \frac{72 - 68.6}{0.28} \approx 12.14 \]
05

Find the Probability from Z-Score for Part (b)

Using the Z-score obtained in Step 4:For Z = 12.14, the probability is almost 1 (since this Z-score is far in the tail of the distribution). Therefore, the probability that the mean height of 100 men is less than 72 inches is approximately 1 or 100%.
06

Compare the Relevance of Results for Comfort and Safety

Part (c): Evaluate which scenario is more relevant between part (a) and part (b). The probability from part (a) is more relevant when considering individual comfort and safety, as it directly affects how many individuals can comfortably pass through the doorway.
07

Discuss Why Women are Ignored in This Case

Part (d): Explain why women are ignored in this context. Men's heights are being used because they typically have a higher average height and greater variability, which makes them more likely to have difficulty fitting through the doorway. This makes them a critical factor in safety and comfort analysis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score calculation //the value of concept will be the headline later on so DO NOT restate the headline in text
The Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. Essentially, it tells us how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. The calculation for the Z-score is given by the formula: \( Z = \frac{X - \text{mean}}{\text{standard deviation}} \) In the context of our problem, the Z-score helps us understand how likely it is for a randomly chosen male passenger to fit through the airplane doorway. By comparing the passenger's height of 72 inches to the mean male height of 68.6 inches and a standard deviation of 2.8 inches, we compute the Z-score. Here's the step-by-step breakdown:1. Subtract the mean height (68.6) from the doorway height (72), which results in 3.4.2. Then, divide 3.4 by the standard deviation (2.8).3. The computed Z-score is approximately \( \frac{3.4}{2.8} \approx 1.21 \).A positive Z-score indicates that the value is above the mean, while a negative Z-score shows it is below the mean.
Normal distribution
The normal distribution, also known as Gaussian distribution, is a probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean. It depicts that most observations cluster around the central peak and are flanked by tails that decrease symmetrically. This distribution is important in statistics for various analyses, including the Z-score calculation in our exercise. Some crucial properties of the normal distribution are:- The mean, median, and mode of the distribution are all equal.- It is completely defined by its mean and standard deviation.- About 68% of the data lies within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two, and 99.7% within three.In our case, we use the normal distribution to find probabilities associated with heights of male passengers. The mean height of 68.6 inches and the standard deviation of 2.8 inches describe our sample of male passengers. This allows us to use the Z-score to find the cumulative probability up to a Z-score of 1.21, which corresponds to approximately 88.69%. This means there is an 88.69% chance that a randomly selected male passenger will fit through the doorway without bending.
Sample mean probability
Sample mean probability is a concept used to determine the probability that the average of a sample will be a particular value. It is derived from the central limit theorem, which states that the distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size grows, regardless of the population's distribution shape. For our exercise, we consider 100 male passengers (a sample) to find the probability that their mean height is less than 72 inches. We use the formula:\[ Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \text{mean}}{\frac{\text{standard deviation}}{\text{sqrt}(n)}} \]Where \( \bar{X} \) is the sample mean height, the mean is the population mean, the standard deviation is the standard deviation for the population, and \( n \) is the sample size.In our problem:1. Calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean: \( \frac{2.8}{\text{sqrt}(100)} = 0.28 \).2. Subtract the population mean (68.6) from the sample mean (72), giving 3.4.3. Divide 3.4 by 0.28 to get 12.14.With a Z-score of 12.14, the probability that the sample mean height is less than 72 inches is almost 1 or 100%. This means it is almost certain that the average height of the 100 men will be below the doorway height of 72 inches. This calculation is particularly useful when assessing the average height of larger groups, rather than individual cases.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Unbiased Estimators Data Set 4 "Births" in Appendix B includes birth weights of 400 babies. If we compute the values of sample statistics from that sample, which of the following statistics are unbiased estimators of the corresponding population parameters: sample mean; sample median; sample range; sample variance; sample standard deviation; sample proportion?

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