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Assume that when adults with smartphones are randomly selected, \(54 \%\) use them in meetings or classes (based on data from an LG Smartphone survey). If 10 adult smartphone users are randomly selected, find the probability that at least 8 of them use their smartphones in meetings or classes.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that at least 8 out of 10 adults use their smartphones in meetings or classes is approximately 0.1206.

Step by step solution

01

Define Parameters

Let the probability of an adult using a smartphone in meetings or classes be denoted as \( p = 0.54 \). The number of trials (adult smartphone users) is \( n = 10 \). We are looking for the probability that at least 8 out of 10 use their smartphones in meetings or classes.
02

Identify the distribution

This is a binomial distribution problem where each trial is independent and has two outcomes: using a smartphone or not. The probability mass function (PMF) for a binomial random variable is given by: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} \]
03

Calculate Individual Probabilities

Calculate the probabilities for exactly 8, 9, and 10 adults using their smartphones. \[ P(X = 8) = \binom{10}{8} (0.54)^8 (0.46)^2 \] \[ P(X = 9) = \binom{10}{9} (0.54)^9 (0.46)^1 \] \[ P(X = 10) = \binom{10}{10} (0.54)^{10} \]
04

Sum the Probabilities

Sum the individual probabilities calculated in Step 3 to find the probability of at least 8 adults using their smartphones. \[ P(X \geq 8) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10) \]
05

Use a Binomial Calculator or Software

For simplicity, using a binomial calculator or software can simplify calculations: \[ P(X \geq 8) \approx 0.1206 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

binomial probability
In this exercise, we need to determine the binomial probability, which involves calculating the likelihood of a specific number of successes in a given number of trials. Here, success is defined as an adult using a smartphone in meetings or classes. The probability of success in each trial is 0.54, and we have 10 trials (adults). To find the probability that at least 8 out of 10 adults use their smartphones, we will use the binomial formula, which provides the probability of exactly k successes in n trials. This leads us to calculate multiple probabilities and sum them up, as shown in the provided steps.
binomial random variable
A binomial random variable represents the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, with each trial having the same probability of success. In our exercise, the binomial random variable X counts how many of the 10 adults use their smartphones in meetings or classes. Here, X can take values from 0 to 10, and with probability distribution properties, we calculate the likelihood of specific outcomes. By understanding and defining our random variable X, we precisely calculate our desired probabilities for each specific scenario, like P(X=8), P(X=9), and P(X=10).
probability mass function
The probability mass function (PMF) is central to analyzing binomial distributions. For a binomial random variable, the PMF gives the probability that the random variable takes a specific value. It is given by the formula: equation here: \( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} \) In our case, this helps us calculate the probability for exactly 8, 9, and 10 adults using their smartphones. By using the binomial coefficient and the probabilities of success (0.54) and failure (0.46), we compute the PMFs step by step. This involves using combinations and exponentiation to get the likelihood for each specific number of users. Summing these probabilities gives us the total probability that at least 8 out of 10 adults use their smartphones in meetings or classes.
statistical calculations
To solve the exercise, several statistical calculations are needed to evaluate the probabilities of different scenarios. These involve the use of the binomial formula and combinatorial mathematics. For example, calculating combinations \( \binom{10}{8} \), powers \( (0.54)^8\ \) and \( (0.46)^2 \), and then multiplying these factors to get the individual probabilities. For complex scenarios involving multiple calculations, software tools or binomial calculators can simplify the process by computing these values instantly. Utilizing such tools can ensure accuracy and efficiency when summing up probabilities like \( P(X \geq 8) \) for practical uses in real-world applications.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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