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Determine the test criteria that would be used to test the following hypotheses when \(z\) is used as the test statistic and the classical approach is used. a. \(H_{o}: p=0.5\) and \(H_{a}: p>0.5,\) with \(\alpha=0.05\) b. \(H_{o}: p=0.5\) and \(H_{a}: p \neq 0.5,\) with \(\alpha=0.05\) c. \(H_{o}: p=0.4\) and \(H_{a}: p<0.4,\) with \(\alpha=0.10\) d. \(H_{o}: p=0.7\) and \(H_{a}: p>0.7,\) with \(\alpha=0.01\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Reject H0 if Z > 1.645\nb. Reject H0 if Z > 1.96 or Z < -1.96\nc. Reject H0 if Z < -1.28\nd. Reject H0 if Z > 2.33

Step by step solution

01

- Analyzing Hypothesis a

For hypothesis a, it is a right-tail (upper) test because \(H_{a}: p>0.5\). The level of significance is \(\alpha=0.05\). So, \(\alpha\) is all in the right tail in this case. From Z-table, the critical value (Z to reject \(H_{o}\) ) for \(\alpha=0.05\) in the upper tail is approximately 1.645.
02

- Analyzing Hypothesis b

For hypothesis b, it is a two-tail test because \(H_{a}: p \neq 0.5\). The level of significance is \(\alpha=0.05\). Here, \(\alpha\) is split into two tails, 0.025 in each tail. From Z-table, the critical value (Z to reject \(H_{o}\) ) for \(\alpha=0.025\) in the upper tail is approximately 1.96, and for the lower tail it is -1.96.
03

- Analyzing Hypothesis c

For hypothesis c, it is a left-tail (lower) test because \(H_{a}: p<0.4\). The level of significance is \(\alpha=0.10\). In this case, \(\alpha\) is all in the left tail. From Z-table, the critical value (Z to reject \(H_{o}\) ) for \(\alpha=0.10\) in the lower tail is approximately -1.28.
04

- Analyzing Hypothesis d

For hypothesis d, it is a right-tail (upper) test because \(H_{a}: p>0.7\). The level of significance is \(\alpha=0.01\). So, \(\alpha\) is all in the right tail in this case. From Z-table, the critical value (Z to reject \(H_{o}\) ) for \(\alpha=0.01\) in the upper tail is approximately 2.33.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Statistical Significance
Understanding statistical significance is the cornerstone of hypothesis testing. It's used to determine if the difference or relationship observed in a sample is likely to exist in the broader population. Essentially, it's a measure of how likely it is that an observed outcome is due to chance.

When scientists set a level of significance, commonly denoted as \( \alpha \), they're deciding on the threshold at which they'll reject the null hypothesis, which typically asserts that no effect or no difference exists. If the probability of observing the data, assuming the null hypothesis is true, is less than the significance level, the result is considered statistically significant, and the null hypothesis is rejected.

In the given exercise, the \( \alpha \) levels are set at 0.05, 0.10, and 0.01 for different hypotheses, meaning the researchers have a 5%, 10%, and 1% respective willingness to risk a Type I error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is incorrectly rejected.
Z-test
The z-test is a statistical test used to determine whether two sample means are different when the variances are known and the sample size is large. It relies on the standard normal distribution and is used in the context of hypothesis testing.

In our exercise, the z-test helps decide whether the sample's proportion (\( p \) in the hypotheses) truly reflects the population proportion. To conduct a z-test, one must calculate the z-score, which is the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean. We then compare this z-score to a critical value from the z-table, which corresponds to the predefined level of significance.
Critical Value
The critical value in hypothesis testing is a cut-off value that defines the boundary of the rejection region for the null hypothesis. If the test statistic falls into this rejection region, the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

In the context of our exercise, the critical values are determined based on the standard normal distribution and the selected significance level \( \alpha \). Different hypotheses use different critical values depending on whether they are one-tailed or two-tailed tests. For example, hypothesis a in the exercise uses a critical value of approximately 1.645, which corresponds to a significance level of 0.05 for a one-tailed (right-tailed) test.
Two-tailed Test
A two-tailed test is used when the alternative hypothesis is not directional, meaning the researcher is interested in detecting any significant difference from the null hypothesis value, regardless of the direction. This requires splitting the significance level \( \alpha \) across two tails of the standard normal distribution.

In our second hypothesis (\(H_{a}: p eq 0.5\)), we employ a two-tailed test. Here, we look for evidence of a significant difference in both the higher and lower ends of the sampling distribution. To reject the null hypothesis, the test statistic needs to be either lower than the critical value in the lower tail or higher than the critical value in the upper tail. In the case of \( \alpha=0.05 \), the critical values are approximately -1.96 and 1.96.
One-tailed Test
Conversely, a one-tailed test is applied when the direction of the alternative hypothesis is specified. It could be either a lower (left-tailed) or upper (right-tailed) test, depending on whether the expectation is that the population parameter is less than or greater than the hypothesized value.

This test is more powerful for detecting an effect in one direction, as the entire level of significance \( \alpha \) is allocated to one tail of the distribution. For instance, hypothesis a (\( H_{o}: p=0.5 \)) and hypothesis d (\( H_{o}: p=0.7 \)) in the exercise are examples of one-tailed tests—right-tailed to be precise. We look only at the upper end of the distribution for evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A random sample of 51 observations was selected from a normally distributed population. The sample mean was \(\bar{x}=98.2,\) and the sample variance was \(s^{2}=37.5 .\) Does this sample show sufficient reason to conclude that the population standard deviation is not equal to 8 at the 0.05 level of significance? a. Solve using the \(p\) -value approach. b. Solve using the classical approach.

According to a May 2009 Harris Poll, \(72 \%\) of those who drive and own cell phones say they use them to talk while they are driving. You wish to conduct a survey in your city to determine what percent of the drivers with cell phones use them to talk while driving. Use the national figure of \(72 \%\) for your initial estimate of \(p\). a. Find the sample size if you want your estimate to be within 0.02 with \(90 \%\) confidence. b. Find the sample size if you want your estimate to be within 0.04 with 90\% confidence. c. Find the sample size if you want your estimate to be within 0.02 with \(98 \%\) confidence. d. What effect does changing the maximum error have on the sample size? Explain. e. What effect does changing the level of confidence have on the sample size? Explain.

The owner of the Pizza Shack in Exercises 9.177 and 9.178 does not understand the use of the normal distribution and \(z\) in Exercise \(9.178 .\) Help the manager interpret the meaning of the results by redoing both hypothesis tests using \(x=\) number of customers preferring the new crust as the test statistic and its binomial probability distribution. Use a one-tailed test with \(H_{a}: p>0.50\) and \(\alpha=0.02\). The results were as follows: on Tuesday afternoon, they sampled 15 customers and 9 preferred the new pizza crust; on Friday evening, they sampled 200 customers and found 120 preferred the new pizza crust. a. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude a significant preference for the new crust based on Tuesday's customers? b. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude a significant preference for the new crust based on Friday's customers? c. Explain the relationship between the solutions obtained in Exercise 9.178 and here.

Even with a heightened awareness of beef quality, \(82 \%\) of Americans indicated their recent burger-eating behavior has remained the same, according to a recent T.G.I. Friday's restaurants random survey of 1027 Americans. In fact, half of Americans eat at least one beef burger each week. That's a minimum of 52 burgers each year. a. What is the point estimate for the proportion of all Americans who eat at least one beef burger per week? b. Find the \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the true proportion \(p\) in the binomial situation where \(n=1027\) and the observed proportion is one-half. c. Use the results of part b to estimate the percentage of all Americans who eat at least one beef burger per week.

To test the hypothesis that the standard deviation on a standard test is \(12,\) a sample of 40 randomly selected students' exams was tested. The sample variance was found to be \(155 .\) Does this sample provide sufficient evidence to show that the standard deviation differs from 12 at the 0.05 level of significance?

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