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A local auto dealership advertises that \(90 \%\) of customers whose autos were serviced by the service department are pleased with the results. As a researcher, you take exception to this statement because you are aware that many people are reluctant to express dissatisfaction. A research experiment was set up in which those in the sample had received service by this dealer within the past 2 weeks. During the interview, the individuals were led to believe that the interviewer was new in town and was considering taking his car to this dealer's service department. Of the 60 sampled, 14 said that they were dissatisfied and would not recommend the department. a. Estimate the proportion of dissatisfied customers using a \(95 \%\) confidence interval. b. Given your answer to part a, what can be concluded about the dealer's claim?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The dealership's claim of having 90% of their customers satisfied with their service seems to be inaccurate, as our estimation with a 95% confidence interval suggests that the proportion of satisfied customers is somewhere between 67.1% and 86.3%.

Step by step solution

01

Estimate the proportion of dissatisfied customers

The problem states that out of 60 customers, 14 claimed they were dissatisfied. Hence, the proportion of dissatisfied customers (\( p \)) can be found by dividing the number of dissatisfied customers by the total number of customers, that is, \( p = 14 / 60 = 0.233 \). Consequently, the proportion of satisfied customers is \( 1 - p = 1 - 0.233 = 0.767 \) or \(76.7\%\).
02

Determine the 95% confidence interval of the proportion

A 95% confidence interval for a proportion is calculated using the formula: \( CI = p \pm Z \sqrt{ (p(1-p)/n) } \) Where \( p \) is the proportion of interest, \( Z \) is the z-score (for a 95% confidence interval, \( Z = 1.96 \)) and \( n \) is the number of observations (which is 60 in our case). Substituting the known values into the formula, \( CI = 0.767 \pm 1.96 \sqrt{ (0.767*(1-0.767)/60) } \) gives a confidence interval of [0.671, 0.863].
03

Compare the confidence interval with the dealership claim

The dealership claims that 90% of their customers were satisfied with their service. However, the 95% confidence interval that we calculated shows that the actual percentage of satisfied customers is somewhere between 67.1% and 86.3%. Since 90% is not within this interval, it suggests that the dealership's claim might not be accurate.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Estimating Proportions
Estimating the proportion of a population that holds a certain characteristic is a foundational concept in statistics, especially when dealing with percentages such as customer satisfaction rates. When sampled data is available, an estimated proportion can be calculated by dividing the number of occurrences of the characteristic by the total number of observations. For our auto dealership example, the proportion of dissatisfied customers was determined using the formula:

\( p = \frac{\text{number of dissatisfied customers}}{\text{total number of customers}} \)

This direct proportion becomes the basis for calculating other statistics, including the confidence interval which helps to understand the range within which the true proportion likely falls. Short, comprehensible sentences and illustrative examples are key to explaining such concepts, ensuring that students freely grasp the methodology behind proportion estimation. Procedures like these are not only used in customer satisfaction contexts but in a variety of fields requiring insight from sample data.
Satisfaction Surveys
Satisfaction surveys serve as a critical tool for businesses to measure the level of contentment among their clientele regarding services or products. The approach involves posing questions to customers to gauge their satisfaction level, usually after a service has been provided. In the context of the exercise, satisfaction surveys aimed to check the veracity of the auto dealership's claim that 90% of their customers were content with the services received.

When interpreting survey results, it is important to address potential biases. People may hide their true sentiments, often skewing the positivity rate. To counter this, researchers may utilize indirect questioning, as seen in the exercise, leading to more honest responses. It's crucial for students to understand the methodology behind collecting survey data and the implications it has on the accuracy of customer satisfaction metrics.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to infer conclusions about a population based on sample data. It starts with an initial claim, known as the null hypothesis, which is then tested against the sample data to determine if there is enough evidence to disprove it.

In our auto dealership scenario, hypothesis testing could focus on analyzing whether the evidence from the customer survey significantly contradicts the dealership's claim of a 90% satisfaction rate. The key steps in hypothesis testing typically involve calculating statistics like the confidence interval from the sample data to evaluate the claim. If the interval does not contain the null hypothesis's value—in this case, the 90% satisfaction rate—we may consider that there is significant evidence against the dealership's claim. Through hypothesis testing, students learn to apply a structured approach to decision-making using statistical evidence, a versatile skill across multiple disciplines.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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