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Use a computer or calculator to find the \(p\) -value for the following hypothesis test: \(H_{o}: \sigma^{2}=7\) versus \(H_{a}: \sigma^{2} \neq 7\) if \(\chi^{2} \star=6.87\) for a sample of \(n=15\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The p-value for the given hypothesis test is approximated to 1.0. It implies that if the null hypothesis were true, we would predict to obtain the observed statistics or more extreme approximatively 100% of the time. As a rule of thumb, if the p-value is larger than 0.05, we do not reject the null hypothesis.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the null and alternative hypotheses

We start by identifying the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis is \(\sigma^{2} = 7\), and the alternative hypothesis is \(\sigma^{2} \neq 7\).
02

Find the degrees of freedom

To find the degrees of freedom for the hypothesis test, we subtract 1 from the sample size. Therefore, for our case, the degree of freedom equals \(n-1\), which is \(15-1 = 14\).
03

Calculating the p-value

To find the p-value, we will use the chi-square distribution table or a chi-square calculator. The p-value is \(\Pr(\chi^{2}_{14} \geq 6.87)\) + \(\Pr(\chi^{2}_{14} \leq 6.87)\) as we're performing a two-tailed test because of the \(\neq\) sign in the alternative hypothesis. Utilizing a chi-square calculator, we get a p-value of approximately \(0.0912+0.9088 = 1.0\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
When carrying out any statistical test, it's crucial to state the null hypothesis, which is the assertion that there is no significant effect or difference present and any observed variation is purely due to chance. In the context of our problem, the null hypothesis is stated as \(H_0: \sigma^2=7\). This means the hypothesis assumes the variance of the population from which the sample is taken is 7, and any deviation in our test statistic from this hypothesized value could occur randomly.

This starting point is essential for the chi-square hypothesis test, as it sets the benchmark against which we measure our sample data. If our findings significantly contradict the null hypothesis, this might lead us to reject it in favor of the alternative hypothesis.
Alternative Hypothesis
While the null hypothesis is designed to show no effect or difference, the alternative hypothesis \(H_a\) represents what we aim to support with our analysis – it indicates that there is a statistically significant effect or difference. For the exercise in question, the alternative hypothesis is expressed as \(H_a: \sigma^2 eq 7\), suggesting that the population variance differs from 7.

The use of \(eq\) specifies that we're conducting a two-tailed test, meaning we are open to the possibility that the true variance could be either less than or greater than 7. Our objective in statistical testing is to determine whether the sample data provides enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of this alternative.
Degrees of Freedom
The degrees of freedom in a statistical test is a value that represents the number of independent values that can vary in an analysis without breaking any constraints. For chi-square hypothesis tests involving variance, the degrees of freedom (df) are calculated by subtracting one from the sample size, which, in our exercise, is \(n - 1 = 15 - 1 = 14\).

The degrees of freedom impact the shape of the chi-square distribution and are necessary for determining the critical value(s) or calculating the p-value of the test. It ensures we're accurately estimating the population parameter from our sample and plays a crucial role in interpreting the test results.
P-Value Calculation
The p-value is a vital statistic in hypothesis testing that indicates the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the observed results, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is correct. Calculating the p-value helps us make an informed decision about whether to reject the null hypothesis.

In the given exercise, calculating the p-value for a chi-square test involves using the chi-square distribution and considering both tails of the distribution because we have a two-tailed test. The p-value calculation turns out to be the sum of the right-tail and left-tail probabilities from the chi-square distribution for the computed test statistic \(\chi^2\). The reported p-value of 1.0, which is likely a misunderstanding, should be less than 1, as p-values range from 0 to 1.
Chi-Square Distribution
The chi-square distribution is an important theory used in statistical inference, particularly in the context of goodness-of-fit tests, tests of independence, and hypothesis tests involving variance, as seen in our example. It is an asymmetric distribution that varies depending on the degrees of freedom and is only positive since squared values cannot be negative.

When plotting a chi-square distribution, the curve appears skewed to the right, and as the degrees of freedom increase, it approaches a normal distribution. In testing, when we compute the test statistic, we compare it to a chi-square distribution with the relevant degrees of freedom to obtain our p-value, which then informs us about the likelihood of our observed data given the null hypothesis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The water pollution readings at State Park Beach seem to be lower than those of the prior year. A sample of 12 readings (measured in coliform/100 mL) was randomly selected from the records of this year's daily readings: $$3.5 \quad 3.9 \quad 2.8 \quad 3.1 \quad 3.1 \quad 3.4 \quad 4.8 \quad 3.2 \quad 2.5 \quad 3.5 \quad 4.4 \quad 3.1$$ Does this sample provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean of this year's pollution readings is significantly lower than last year's mean of 3.8 at the 0.05 level? Assume that all such readings have a normal distribution.

Oranges are selected at random from a large shipment that just arrived. The sample is taken to estimate the size (circumference, in inches) of the oranges. The sample data are summarized as follows: \(n=100\) \(\Sigma x=878.2,\) and \(\Sigma(x-\bar{x})^{2}=49.91\). a. Determine the sample mean and standard deviation. b. What is the point estimate for \(\mu,\) the mean circumference of all oranges in the shipment? c. Find the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\)

For a chi-square distribution having 35 degrees of freedom, find the area under the curve between \(\chi^{2}(35,0.96)\) and \(\chi^{2}(35,0.15).\)

State the null hypothesis, \(H_{o},\) and the alternative hypothesis, \(H_{a},\) that would be used to test these claims: a. More than \(60 \%\) of all students at our college work part-time jobs during the academic year. b. No more than one-third of cigarette smokers are interested in quitting. c. A majority of the voters will vote for the school budget this year. d At least three-fourths of the trees in our county were seriously damaged by the storm. e. The results show the coin was not tossed fairly.

How important is the assumption "The sampled population is normally distributed" to the use of Student's \(t\) -distribution? Using a computer, simulate drawing 100 samples of size 10 from each of three different types of population distributions, namely, a normal, a uniform, and an exponential. First generate 1000 data values from the population and construct a histogram to see what the population looks like. Then generate 100 samples of size 10 from the same population; each row represents a sample. Calculate the mean and standard deviation for each of the 100 samples. Calculate \(t \neq\) for each of the 100 samples. Construct histograms of the 100 sample means and the 100 t \(\star\) values. (Additional details can be found in the Student Solutions Manual.) For the samples from the normal population: a. Does the \(\bar{x}\) distribution appear to be normal? Find percentages for intervals and compare them with the normal distribution. b. Does the distribution of \(t \star\) appear to have a \(t\) -distribution with df \(=9 ?\) Find percentages for intervals and compare them with the \(t\) -distribution. For the samples from the rectangular or uniform population: c. Does the \(\bar{x}\) distribution appear to be normal? Find percentages for intervals and compare them with the normal distribution. d. Does the distribution of \(t \star\) appear to have a \(t\) -distribution with df \(=9 ?\) Find percentages for intervals and compare them with the \(t\) -distribution. For the samples from the skewed (exponential) population: e. Does the \(\bar{x}\) distribution appear to be normal? Find percentages for intervals and compare them with the normal distribution. f. Does the distribution of \(t \star\) appear to have a \(t\) -distribution with df \(=9 ?\) Find percentages for intervals and compare them with the \(t\) -distribution. In summary: g. In each of the preceding three situations, the sampling distribution for \(\bar{x}\) appears to be slightly different from the distribution of \(t \star .\) Explain why. h. Does the normality condition appear to be necessary in order for the calculated test statistic \(t \star\) to have a Student's \(t\) -distribution? Explain.

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