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Suppose a hypothesis test is conducted using the \(p^{-}\) value approach and assigned a level of significance of \(\alpha=0.01\) a. How is the 0.01 used in completing the hypothesis test? b. If \(\alpha\) is changed to \(0.05,\) what effect would this have on the test procedure?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The level of significance is used as a threshold to decide whether to reject or not reject the null hypothesis: when the p-value is smaller than the alpha, we reject the null hypothesis. If we increase alpha from 0.01 to 0.05, we increase the chance of rejecting the null hypothesis, thus making it 'easier' to reject it.

Step by step solution

01

Explaining the Role of Level of Significance

The level of significance or alpha (\(\alpha\)) is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. In other words, it represents the threshold for the p-value under which we reject the null hypothesis. For instance, in this case, \(\alpha=0.01\) means that there is a 1% chance that the null hypothesis is rejected when actually it is true. If the p-value resulting from the test is less than \(\alpha=0.01\), the null hypothesis would be rejected.
02

Discuss the Effect of Changing Alpha Level

If \(\alpha\) is changed to \(0.05,\) this means the threshold for rejecting the null hypothesis is increased. This would make it 'easier' to reject the null hypothesis, as we now reject this hypothesis when the p-value is less than 0.05. Practically, it enhances the chances of making a type I error – rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Level of Significance
The level of significance, often denoted as \(\alpha\), is a crucial component in hypothesis testing that acts as a benchmark for decision-making. It reflects the probability of making a type I error, which means rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. By setting a value for \(\alpha\), such as \(0.01\), you establish the strictness of the test. An \(\alpha\) of \(0.01\) indicates a 1% risk of a type I error.

In practical terms, \(\alpha\) helps determine what qualifies as statistically significant. If the p-value, which results from your test, is less than or equal to \(\alpha\), you reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative. Hence, the level of significance shows how much evidence one requires before rejecting the null hypothesis. The smaller the \(\alpha\), the stronger the evidence required.
P-value Approach
The p-value approach is a method used in hypothesis testing to determine the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis. The p-value is calculated from the sample data, and it indicates the probability of observing results at least as extreme as the observed results, assuming the null hypothesis is true.

To make a decision using the p-value approach:
  • If the p-value is less than or equal to the level of significance \(\alpha\), reject the null hypothesis.
  • If the p-value is greater than \(\alpha\), fail to reject the null hypothesis.
For example, if you have a p-value of \(0.003\) and an \(\alpha\) of \(0.01\), the p-value is smaller, so you reject the null hypothesis, implying there is strong evidence against it. This approach makes hypothesis testing intuitive by directly linking test results to probabilities.
Type I Error
A type I error occurs when the null hypothesis \(H_0\) is rejected, even though it is actually true. Think of it as a false alarm – deciding something has changed when it hasn't. The level of significance \(\alpha\) quantifies the risk of making this error. Higher \(\alpha\) levels mean more risk, while lower \(\alpha\) levels reduce the risk.

The consequences of a type I error can be significant, depending on the context. For medical trials, this might mean concluding a treatment works when it doesn't, leading to costly and ineffective treatments. Understanding the implications of type I errors helps in selecting an appropriate level of significance for your tests.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often symbolized as \(H_0\), is a starting assumption in hypothesis testing. It represents a statement of no effect or no difference, serving as a default or baseline assertion that is tested against the alternative hypothesis \(H_a\). For instance, it might claim that two means are equal, or that a particular effect does not exist.

In hypothesis testing, the objective is to see if there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis. This involves calculating a test statistic and comparing it to a critical value, or assessing the p-value against \(\alpha\). If evidence suggests the null hypothesis is not plausible, it is rejected. Understanding the null hypothesis is essential because it forms the foundation upon which the statistical test is built.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The college bookstore tells prospective students that the average cost of its textbooks is \(\$ 90\) per book with a standard deviation of \(\$ 15 .\) The engineering science students think that the average cost of their books is higher than the average for all students. To test the bookstore's claim against their alternative, the engineering students collect a random sample of size 45 a. If they use \(\alpha=0.05,\) what is the critical value of the test statistic? b. The engineering students' sample data are summarized by \(n=45\) and \(\Sigma x=4380.30 .\) Is this sufficient evidence to support their contention?

The calculated value of the test statistic is actually the number of standard errors that the sample mean differs from the hypothesized value of \(\mu\) in the null hypothesis. Suppose that the null hypothesis is \(H_{o}: \mu=4.5, \sigma\) is known to be \(1.0,\) and a sample of size 100 results in \(\bar{x}=4.8\) a. How many standard errors is \(\bar{x}\) above \(4.5 ?\) b. If the alternative hypothesis is \(H_{a}: \mu>4.5\) and \(\alpha=0.01,\) would you reject \(H_{o} ?\)

Identify the four possible outcomes and describe the situation involved with each outcome with regard to the aircraft manufacturer's testing and buying of rivets. Which is the more serious error: the type I or type II error? Explain.

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Women own an average of 15 pairs of shoes. This is based on a survey of female adults by Kelton Research for Eneslow, the New York City-based Foot Comfort Center. Suppose a random sample of 35 newly hired female college graduates was taken and the sample mean was 18.37 pairs of shoes. If \(\sigma=6.12,\) does this sample provide sufficient evidence that young female college graduates' mean number of shoes is greater than the overall mean number for all female adults? Use a 0.10 level of significance.

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