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Suppose you want to test the hypothesis that "the mean salt content of frozen 'lite' dinners is more than \(350 \mathrm{mg}\) per serving." An average of \(350 \mathrm{mg}\) is an acceptable amount of salt per serving; therefore, you use it as the standard. The null hypothesis is "The average content is not more than \(350 \mathrm{mg} "(\mu=350) .\) The alternative hypothesis is "The average content is more than \(350 \mathrm{mg} "\) \((\mu > 350)\) a. Describe the conditions that would exist if your decision results in a type I error. b. Describe the conditions that would exist if your decision results in a type II error.

Short Answer

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a. A type I error would occur if it is determined that the average salt content is more than 350mg, when in reality, it's not. In other words, we unjustifiably consider the dinners too salty. b. A type II error would happen if we fail to identify the excess salt content, stating that it is not more than 350mg, when in fact, it is. In this situation, we erroneously consider the dinners not too salty.

Step by step solution

01

Addressing type I error

A type I error would occur if we decide that the average salt content is more than 350mg (rejecting the null hypothesis), when in fact, it's not. In terms of the exercise, this would mean that our assessment methods erroneously identified the salt content to be higher than it actually is.
02

Addressing type II error

A type II error would take place if we conclude that the average salt content is not more than 350mg (not rejecting the null hypothesis), when it is indeed higher than 350mg. In this case, our assessment methods failed to detect an actual excess of salt content.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a fundamental concept in hypothesis testing. It represents a statement of no effect or no difference. In the context of a statistical test, the null hypothesis assumes that any kind of effect that the study is looking to detect does not exist in the population under consideration.

In our frozen 'lite' dinners example, the null hypothesis is that "the mean salt content is not more than 350 mg per serving". Mathematically, this is represented as \( \mu = 350 \). The null hypothesis is what you attempt to test against. In a hypothesis test, you assume the null hypothesis is true until you have enough evidence to reject it.

Rejecting the null hypothesis suggests there is an effect or difference, while failing to reject it implies that any effect is statistically indistinguishable from zero, according to your data.
Type I Error
A Type I error is a crucial concept to understand in hypothesis testing. This kind of error occurs when the null hypothesis is true, but your test leads you to reject it by mistake. It is sometimes referred to as a "false positive" because it shows an effect that isn't actually there.

With our frozen dinner example, a Type I error happens if we conclude that the mean salt content exceeds 350 mg when, in reality, it does not. Such a mistake might be due to variability in sample data or flaws in measuring methods. Here, you're rejecting the correct null hypothesis.

Type I errors are typically denoted by the Greek letter \( \alpha \), which represents the significance level of the test. Keeping \( \alpha \) low, generally 0.05 or 5%, minimizes the chance of making a Type I error, but one should always consider the balance with Type II errors.
Type II Error
Understanding a Type II error is crucial for interpreting test results. This kind of error occurs when the null hypothesis is false, but your test fails to reject it. It is also known as a "false negative" because it misses a real effect.

In our example with the frozen dinners, a Type II error means that we conclude the average salt content is not more than 350 mg, while actually, it is greater.

The likelihood of making a Type II error is referred to as \( \beta \) in statistics. While decreasing the chance of a Type I error, researchers might inadvertently increase the risk of a Type II error. Hence, it's essential to choose test conditions and sample sizes carefully to balance these risks, while maintaining adequate test power to detected genuine effects.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis stands in contrast to the null hypothesis. It is the statement that you want to test evidence for. In a hypothesis test, accepting the alternative hypothesis implies that there is a statistically significant effect present. The goal of a statistical test is often to gather evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.

In our frozen 'lite' dinner example, the alternative hypothesis asserts that "the mean salt content is more than 350 mg per serving." This is mathematically denoted as \( \mu > 350 \). When enough evidence is present in the data, the alternative hypothesis is considered more plausible than the null.

It's important to select your hypotheses carefully, considering what's meaningful in the context. Generally, the alternative hypothesis represents the research question the analyst is interested in proving or supporting through evidence gathered in the study.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose you wanted to test the hypothesis that the mean minimum home service call charge for plumbers is at most \(\$ 95\) in your area. Explain the conditions that would exist if you made an error in decision by committing a a. type I error. b. type II error.

Find the value of \(\bar{x}\) for each of the following: a. \(\quad H_{o}: \mu=580, z *=2.10, \sigma=26, n=55\) b. \(\quad H_{o}: \mu=75, z \star=-0.87, \sigma=9.2, n=35\)

Describe the actions that would result in a type I error and a type II error if each of the following null hypotheses were tested. (Remember, the alternative hypothesis is the negation of the null hypothesis.) a. \(\quad H_{o}:\) The majority of Americans favor laws against assault weapons. b. \(\quad H_{o}:\) The choices on the fast food menu are not low in salt. c. \(\quad H_{o}:\) This building must not be demolished. d. \(\quad H_{o}:\) There is no waste in government spending.

The null hypothesis, \(H_{o}: \mu=48,\) was tested against the alternative hypothesis, \(H_{a}: \mu > 48 .\) A sample of 75 resulted in a calculated \(p\) -value of \(0.102 .\) If \(\sigma=3.5,\) find the value of the sample mean, \(\bar{x}\)

The director of an advertising agency is concerned with the effectiveness of a television commercial. a. What null hypothesis is she testing if she commits a type I error when she erroneously says that the commercial is effective? b. What null hypothesis is she testing if she commits a type II error when she erroneously says that the commercial is effective?

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