/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 135 Apparently playing video games, ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Apparently playing video games, watching TV, and instant messaging friends isn't relaxing enough. In a poll from Yesawich, Pepperdine, Brown and Russell found that the vast majority of children say they "need" a vacation. One-third of the children polled said they helped research some aspect of their family's vacation on the Internet. If a follow-up survey of 100 of these children is taken, what is the probability that a. less than \(25 \%\) of the new sample will say they help research the family vacation on the Internet. b. more than \(40 \%\) of the new sample will say they help research the family vacation on the Internet.

Short Answer

Expert verified
To find the exact probabilities needed to solve parts a and b of this exercise, you would need software or a calculator that has the ability to calculate the cumulative probability of a binomial distribution. The method has been put forth, but the actual probabilities can't be calculated without such a tool.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Concept

This problem involves binomial distribution. A binomial distribution is a probability distribution of a series of experiments where each experiment results in a binary outcome and has only two possible outcomes (success/failure), a fixed number of experiments, the probability of success for each experiment is constant and each experiment is independent.
02

Define the Parameters

The binomial distribution is characterized by the probability of success \(p = 0.33\) and a fixed number of trials which is the sample size, \(n = 100\). The problem asks about the number of successful trials, i.e., for \(k\) where \(k\) is the number of children who help with vacation research on the Internet.
03

Calculate the Probability for Part A

To find the probability that less than \(25\%\) of the new sample will say they help research the family vacation on the Internet. This equates to \(k\) less than \(25\). You can use the CDF of the Binomial distribution. \(P(k < 25) = B(24; 100, 0.33)\) where \(B\) is the CDF of the binomial distribution.
04

Calculate the Probability for Part B

To find the probability that more than 40% of the new sample will say they help research the family vacation on the Internet. This equates to \(k\) more than \(40\). For this calculation, you should use the complement rule because the CDF calculates the probability that \(k\) is less than or equal to a certain value. \(P(k > 40) = 1 - P(k \leq 40) = 1 - B(40; 100, 0.33).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Calculations
When tackling problems involving the binomial distribution, probability calculations are at the core. The binomial distribution helps us understand the likelihood of a particular number of successes in a series of experiments. In this specific exercise, we are looking to calculate the probability that a certain percentage of children say they help with vacation research.

For part (a) of the problem, we use the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the binomial distribution to find the probability of having up to 24 successes out of 100 trials. This gives us the combined probability of getting 0 to 24 children participating in the research.

For part (b), we are interested in the probability of more than 40 children helping. To find this, we apply the concept of complement probability, which asserts that the probability of an event happening is 1 minus the probability of it not happening. This allows us to calculate the probability of more than 40 successes by subtracting the probability of 40 or fewer successes from 1.

In general, mastering these calculations involves understanding and manipulating the formula for the binomial coefficient, an essential skill in probability theory.
Sample Size
The sample size is a critical component in statistical problems, especially when working with probability distributions. It represents the number of individual cases or observations used in an experiment or survey. In the context of this problem, the sample size is 100 children, which means we are considering 100 potentially independent contributions.

A larger sample size generally provides more reliable and stable results for probability calculations because it captures a broader spectrum of possibilities. The reliability stems from the Law of Large Numbers, which suggests that as the sample size increases, the experimental probability tends to get closer to the theoretical probability.

Hence, it is crucial for us to clearly define the sample size in any probability-related problem, as it directly impacts the accuracy and precision of our results. Knowing the sample size allows us to apply the binomial formula correctly and derive meaningful probabilities.
Probability of Success
In any binomial distribution problem, the probability of success, denoted as \(p\), is one of the key parameters we must identify and utilize. It represents the chance of the desired outcome occurring in a single trial. Here, our success probability \(p\) is 0.33, meaning there's a 33% chance that a child will say they help research vacation plans.

Understanding the probability of success is vital because it affects the calculation of the expected number of successes in the total sample, known as the expected value. In our problem, the expected number of children who help is \(np = 100 \times 0.33 = 33\).

This number serves as a middle point, around which the probability distribution is concentrated. It helps us envisage the scenario better and more accurately estimate probabilities of various outcomes. Knowing \(p\) allows us to use the binomial probability formulas effectively, thereby quantifying the likelihood of diverse outcomes.
Complement Rule
The complement rule is a pivotal concept in probability that simplifies complex calculations. It is based on the idea that the probability of an event occurring is equal to one minus the probability of it not occurring.

In binomial distribution problems like this one, the complement rule is particularly useful when you need to calculate probabilities for events like "more than" a certain number. For instance, in part (b) of our problem, calculating the probability of more than 40 children helping involves determining the complement of the event that 40 or fewer children help.

Thus, we use the formula \(P(k > 40) = 1 - P(k \leq 40)\). This is advantageous as it often requires fewer calculations compared to finding the probability directly.

By mastering the complement rule, students can more efficiently tackle a wide range of probability problems, enhancing their mathematical toolkit.

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