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91Ó°ÊÓ

In a large industrial complex, the maintenance department has been instructed to replace light bulbs before they burn out. It is known that the life of light bulbs is normally distributed with a mean life of 900 hours of use and a standard deviation of 75 hours. When should the light bulbs be replaced so that no more than \(10 \%\) of them burn out while in use?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The bulbs should be replaced approximately 804 hours into their use to ensure that no more than 10% of them burn out

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Normal Distribution

A normal distribution is a form of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. Here, the life of bulbs follows a normal distribution with mean (μ) as 900 hours and standard deviation (σ) as 75 hours.
02

Utilizing Z-score Formula

A Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It measures how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. The formula for Z-score is Z = (X - μ)/σ. Here, need to find X (the time to replace the bulbs at) for the 10th percentile, or when Z = -1.28 (which is the Z score for 10% in a standard normal distribution table).
03

Calculation

Rearrange the Z-score formula to solve for X, the time to replace the bulbs. So the formula becomes X = Zσ + μ. Substituting the given values in, X = -1.28 * 75 + 900.
04

Result

Compute the above calculation to determine the time before which bulbs should be replaced in order to avoid more than 10% of them burning out.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score
The Z-score is a powerful tool used in statistics to understand the position of a certain value within a data set. Imagine you have a list of numbers and you want to know how unusual one of these numbers is compared to the rest. The Z-score is how statisticians do this—it's like getting a scorecard for each number!

Think of a classroom where everyone gets a test score. The Z-score of your test result would tell you how far above or below the class average you are, in terms of 'standard deviation' units. This goes beyond just saying, 'I scored above average.' It tells you exactly how much above average you scored. Interestingly, for the light bulb problem in our exercise, it's used to identify the lifespan point at which a light bulb becomes an outlier and is more likely to burn out, relative to the average bulb lifecycle.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure that's used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. A low standard deviation means that most of the numbers are close to the average (mean), while a high standard deviation means that the numbers are more spread out.

To put this into context with our light bulb example, a standard deviation of 75 hours means that the lifetimes of different bulbs vary by this amount on average from the mean lifetime. The smaller this number, the more consistent the life of the bulbs; the larger this number, the more variety there's in how long different bulbs last.
Probability Distribution
A probability distribution is a mathematical function that provides the probabilities of occurrence of different possible outcomes in an experiment. For a large set of data, like the hours a light bulb lasts, a probability distribution helps predict the chance that any given light bulb will fall within a certain range of hours.

With a normal probability distribution, which is bell-shaped, most occurrences happen close to the mean and less as you move away. When we're deciding at which point to replace our industrial complex bulbs, we rely on this distribution to ensure we're making efficient choices that are statistically backed up—not just guessing.
Statistical Measurement
Statistical measurement involves collecting, analyzing, interpreting, and presenting data. In statistics, we have many tools at our disposal like mean, median, mode, range, variance, standard deviation, and Z-scores, each serving a unique purpose in data analysis.

In the context of the light bulbs, we're using statistical measurement to make a knowledgeable decision about maintenance. By assessing the average life and standard deviation, we're equipping the maintenance team with the information needed to act before too many bulbs go out, which is a clear example of statistics at work in the real world.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose you were to generate several random samples, all the same size, all from the same normal probability distribution. Will they all be the same? How will they differ? By how much will they differ? a. Use a computer or calculator to generate 10 different samples, all of size \(100,\) all from the normal probability distribution of mean 200 and standard deviation 25. b. Draw histograms of all 10 samples using the same class boundaries. c. Calculate several descriptive statistics for all 10 samples, separately. d. Comment on the similarities and the differences you see.

As shown in Example \(6.8,\) IQ scores are considered normally distributed, with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 16. a. Find the probability that a randomly selected person will have an IQ score between 100 and \(120 .\) b. Find the probability that a randomly selected person will have an IQ score above \(80 .\)

A brewery's filling machine is adjusted to fill quart bottles with a mean of 32.0 oz of ale and a variance of \(0.003 .\) Periodically, a bottle is checked and the amount of ale is noted. a. Assuming the amount of fill is normally distributed, what is the probability that the next randomly checked bottle contains more than 32.02 oz? b. Let's say you buy 100 quart bottles of this ale for a party; how many bottles would you expect to find containing more than 32.02 oz of ale?

Suppose that \(x\) has a binomial distribution with \(n=25\) and \(p=0.3.\) a. Explain why the normal approximation is reasonable. b. Find the mean and standard deviation of the normal distribution that is used in the approximation.

The weights of ripe watermelons grown at Mr. Smith's farm are normally distributed with a standard deviation of 2.8 lb. Find the mean weight of Mr. Smith's ripe watermelons if only \(3 \%\) weigh less than 15 lb.

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