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Test the following function to determine whether it is a probability function. $$P(x)=\frac{x^{2}+5}{50}, \text { for } x=1,2,3,4$$ a. List the probability distribution. b. Sketch a histogram.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The given function \(P(x) = \frac{x^{2}+5}{50}\) is a probability function, since \(P(x) \geq 0\) for all \(x\), and the sum of these probabilities is 1. The probability distribution and histogram are created as per steps 3 and 4.

Step by step solution

01

Check if \(P(x) \geq 0\)

Calculate \(P(x)\) for all \(x\) (1,2,3,4) using the given function \(\frac{x^{2}+5}{50}\). For all these \(x\) values, check whether \(P(x) \geq 0\)
02

Sum the probabilities

Calculate the sum of all \(P(x)\) values obtained in Step 1. The sum should be equal to 1.
03

Probability distribution list

Create a list (probability distribution) consisting of pairs \((x, P(x))\), where \(x\) is 1, 2, 3 or 4.
04

Sketch a histogram

On an x-y graph, plot the \(x\) values (1,2,3,4) on the x-axis and their corresponding \(P(x)\) values on the y-axis. The resulting bars will give you a histogram.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Distribution
In probability theory, a probability distribution is a mathematical function that gives the probabilities of occurrence of different possible outcomes for an experiment. It is a fundamental concept that is used to describe how the probabilities are distributed over the values of a random variable. For instance, in the exercise provided, the function \(P(x) = \frac{x^2 + 5}{50}\) is being tested to determine if it serves as a probability distribution.

To confirm this, each possible value of the random variable \(x\) (which, in this case, are the numbers 1, 2, 3, and 4) is plugged into the function. The generated values are considered valid probabilities only if they each fall between 0 and 1, inclusively, and the sum of the probabilities is exactly 1. In the context of the exercise, the list of probabilities associated with the value of \(x\) forms the probability distribution.

For effective learning, it's vital to understand that this distribution helps us predict the likelihood of different outcomes and is the basis for obtaining expectations, variances, and other important statistical measures. The calculation steps provided in the solution section ensure that the two key properties of a probability distribution are being met: non-negativity and normalization.
Histogram
A histogram is a graphical representation of a frequency distribution in the form of bars. Each bar corresponds to a range of values and its height reflects the frequency or probability of occurrences within that range. In probability and statistics, histograms are particularly useful for visualizing the probability distribution of a random variable.

When constructing a histogram based on a probability function, as in the step-by-step solution provided, each discrete value of \(x\) will represent a category on the x-axis. The height of the bar for each \(x\) value is then proportional to the probability \(P(x)\), giving a visual snapshot of how probabilities are distributed across the possible values of \(x\).

Why are histograms important?

Histograms make it much easier to see where the probabilities are concentrated and they serve as a very practical tool to understand the shape and spread of the data or the probability distribution in question. Additionally, they are a foundational concept in data representation, teaching students not just to calculate probabilities, but also to think visually and interpret data graphs.
Probability Theory
At its core, probability theory is a branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of random phenomena. The main objective is to provide a mathematical basis for dealing with experiments whose outcomes do not follow a predictable pattern but rather exhibit randomness. Probability theory lays the foundation for the quantification of uncertainty and the modeling of random events, thereby playing a crucial role in fields as diverse as statistics, finance, science, engineering, and more.

Through the lens of probability theory, events are assigned a probability - a number between 0 and 1 - that measures the likelihood of occurrence of the event. This measure is foundational to the exercise given as it assesses the validity of \(P(x)\) as a probability function.

Relevance in Everyday Decisions

In practice, understanding probability can help in everyday decision making, because it deals with the likelihood of future events, such as predicting weather patterns, stock market trends, or even outcomes of games. For students, mastering probability theory not only helps in dealing with uncertainties mathematically but also enriches critical thinking and problem-solving skills. The exercise solution is just a small demonstration of the practical application of this vast and intriguing area of mathematics.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \(x\) be a random variable with the following probability distribution: $$\begin{array}{l|cccc}\hline x & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 \\\P(x) & 0.4 & 0.3 & 0.2 & 0.1 \\\\\hline \end{array}$$ Does \(x\) have a binomial distribution? Justify your answer.

\(\mathrm{A}\) die is rolled 20 times, and the number of "fives" that occur is reported as being the random variable. Explain why \(x\) is a binomial random variable.

a. Use a computer (or random number table) to generate a random sample of 25 observations drawn from the following discrete probability distribution. $$\begin{array}{l|ccccc}\hline \boldsymbol{x} & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 \\\\\boldsymbol{P}(\boldsymbol{x}) & 0.2 & 0.3 & 0.3 & 0.1 & 0.1 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ Compare the resulting data to your expectations. b. Form a relative frequency distribution of the random data. c. Construct a probability histogram of the given distribution and a relative frequency histogram of the observed data using class midpoints of \(1,2,3,4,\) and 5. d. Compare the observed data with the theoretical distribution. Describe your conclusions. e. Repeat parts a through d several times with \(n=25 .\) Describe the variability you observe between samples. f. Repeat parts a through d several times with \(n=250 .\) Describe the variability you see between samples of this much larger size.

Use a computer to find the cumulative probabilities for all possible \(x\) values for a binomial experiment where \(n=45\) and \(p=0.125.\) a. Explain why there are so many 1.000 s listed. b. Explain what is represented by each number listed.

a. Explain how the various values of \(x\) in a probability distribution form a set of mutually exclusive events. b. Explain how the various values of \(x\) in a probability distribution form a set of "all-inclusive" events.

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