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91Ó°ÊÓ

If \(P(\mathrm{A})=0.4, P(\mathrm{A} \text { or } \mathrm{B})=0.9,\) and \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { and } \mathrm{B})=0.1,\) find \(P(\mathrm{B})\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability \(P(\mathrm{B})\) is 0.6.

Step by step solution

01

Clarify given information

From the problem, we know that \(P(\mathrm{A})=0.4, P(\mathrm{A} \text { or } \mathrm{B})=0.9,\) and \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { and } \mathrm{B})=0.1.\)
02

Apply the formula for the probability of 'A or B' events

We know the formula for the probability of 'A or B' is \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { or } \mathrm{B}) = P(A) + P(B) - P(\mathrm{A} \text { and } \mathrm{B})\). We have the values for P(A), P(A or B), and P(A and B), but we are asked to find P(B).
03

Substitute and solve for P(B)

We substitute the values into the formula and solve for P(B). So, \(0.9 = 0.4 + P(B) - 0.1\). Simplifying this, we find \(P(B) = 0.9 - 0.4 + 0.1 = 0.6\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Compound Probability
Compound probability refers to the probability of two or more events happening together. If you are given different individual events and want to find the probability of any of them happening, you might work with compound probabilities.

There are two types of compound events:
  • "And" (intersection) probability events where we need both events to happen together
  • "Or" (union) probability events where we're happy if at least one happens
For example, think about tossing two coins. The probability that both coins land on heads ("and" event) is a compound probability situation.

The calculations often involve adding probabilities and adjusting for any overlap (intersection) between the events. Understanding these relationships allows you to determine outcomes that are not obvious at first glance but become clearer with step-by-step evaluations.
Probability of Union
The probability of union between two events, denoted as \(P(A \text{ or } B)\), is the chance of event A happening, event B happening, or both happening. It provides a way to calculate when "at least one" of several outcomes occurs.

To do this, use the formula:
  • \(P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \text{ and } B)\)
This formula helps avoid double-counting the events where both A and B happen.

Imagine drawing a card from a deck. The probability of drawing a heart or a king might look straightforward, but if a king of hearts exists, it gets counted twice without adjusting for the overlap using \(P(A \text{ and } B)\).

Using the typical approach in probability problems makes solving and understanding compound events manageable. Remember, it's about correctly using the formula and ensuring you don’t count something twice!
Probability of Intersection
The probability of intersection between two events, denoted as \(P(A \text{ and } B)\), is the likelihood both events occur together. This is key to determining how two events interact with each other simultaneously.

The concept of intersection is particularly handy in determining the overlap when you're dealing with multiple possibilities. Think of it like a Venn diagram where the overlap represents simultaneous occurrences. In this sense, it's used to adjust calculations in union probability as well.

In practical examples, when we talk about the probability of selecting a red fruit from a basket that also is an apple, we intend to find where both categories overlap.

This value helps to refine probability calculations, especially when determining compound probabilities. Recognizing shared outcomes ensures that your calculations remain accurate when observing multi-part events. It aids in developing a deeper understanding of how events can occur concurrently or exclusively.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

\(\mathrm{A}\) chocolate kiss is to be tossed into the air and will be landing on a smooth hard surface (similar to tossing a coin or rolling dice). a. What proportion of the time do you believe the kiss will land "point up" \(\bigoplus\) (as opposed to "point \(\left.\operatorname{down}^{\prime \prime}()\right) ?\) b. Let's estimate the probability that a chocolate kiss lands "point up" when it lands on a smooth hard surface after being tossed. Using a chocolate kiss, with the wrapper still on, perform the die experiment discussed on pages \(180-181 .\) Toss the kiss 10 times, record the number of "point up" landings (or put 10 kisses in a cup, shake and dump them onto a hard smooth surface, and use each toss for a block of 10 ), and record the results. Repeat until you have 200 tosses. Chart and graph the data as individual sets of 10 and as cumulative relative frequencies. c. What is your best estimate for the true \(P(\bigotimes) ?\) Explain. d. If unwrapped kisses were to be tossed, what do you think the probability of "point up" landings would be? Would it be different? Explain. e. Unwrap the chocolate kisses used in part b and repeat the experiment. f. Are the results in part e what you anticipated? Explain.

If \(P(\mathrm{A})=0.4\) and \(P(\mathrm{B})=0.5,\) and if \(\mathrm{A}\) and \(\mathrm{B}\) are mutually exclusive events, find \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { or } \mathrm{B}\) ).

Alan Garole was a jockey at Saratoga Springs Raceway during the \(7 / 23 / 08\) to \(9 / 1 / 08\) season. He had 195 starts, with 39 first places, 17 second places, and 28 third places. If all the 2008 racing season conditions had held for Alan Garole at the beginning of the 2009 season, what would have been: a. the odds in favor of Alan Garole coming in first place during the 2009 racing season at Saratoga? b. the probability of Alan Garole coming in first place during the 2009 racing season at Saratoga? c. the odds in favor of Alan Garole placing (coming in first, second, or third) during the 2009 racing season at Saratoga? d. the probability of Alan Garole placing during the 2009 racing season at Saratoga? e. \(\quad\) Based on the above statistics, should you bet that Alan Garole came in first or placed? Why?

Three balanced coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of obtaining three heads, given that at least one of the coins shows heads. a. Solve using an equally likely sample space. b. Solve using the formula for conditional probability.

Determine whether each of the following pairs of events is independent: a. Rolling a pair of dice and observing a " 2 " on one of the dice and having a "total of \(10 "\) b. Drawing one card from a regular deck of playing cards and having a "red" card and having an "ace" c. Raining today and passing today's exam d. Raining today and playing golf today e. Completing today's homework assignment and being on time for class

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