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Let's assume there are three traffic lights between your house and a friend's house. As you arrive at each light, it may be red (R) or green (G). a. List the sample space showing all possible sequences of red and green lights that could occur on a trip from your house to your friend's. (RGG represents red at the first light and green at the other two.) Assume that each element of the sample space is equally likely to occur. b. What is the probability that on your next trip to your friend's house, you will have to stop for exactly one red light? c. What is the probability that you will have to stop for at least one red light?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Part a) Sample space: {RRR, RRG, RGR, GRR, RGG, GRG, GGR, GGG} | Part b) Probability of encountering exactly one red light: \(\frac{3}{8}\) | Part c) Probability of encountering at least one red light: \(\frac{7}{8}\).

Step by step solution

01

Drawing the Sample Space

As each traffic light may give you either a Red or Green signal, the total number of outcomes should be \(2^3 = 8\) (since there are three traffic lights). Those outcomes could be: RRR, RRG, RGR, GRR, RGG, GRG, GGR, GGG.
02

Calculating the Probability of Exactly One Red Light

Out of the 8 possibilities, there are three outcomes with exactly one red light: RGG, GRG, and GGR. Therefore, the probability of encountering exactly one red light in your journey will be \(\frac{3}{8}\).
03

Calculating the Probability of Encountering At Least One Red Light

The number of outcomes with at least one red light would be 7 (excluding the only outcome with all green lights). Therefore, the probability of encountering at least one red light in your journey will be \(\frac{7}{8}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Space
A sample space is a fundamental concept in probability. It refers to the set of all possible outcomes of a particular experiment. In our traffic light problem, the sample space includes all possible sequences of red (R) and green (G) lights that you can encounter on a journey. With three lights to pass and each light having two color possibilities, we calculate the sample space by raising the number of possibilities for one light to the power of the number of lights, i.e., \(2^3\), resulting in 8 outcomes.
Thus, the sample space here is
  • RRR
  • RRG
  • RGR
  • GRR
  • RGG
  • GRG
  • GGR
  • GGG
Listing the sample space helps us in determining probabilities for specific events, like encountering red lights.
Outcomes
In probability, an outcome refers to a possible result of an experiment, which in this case is each sequence of light colors you drive through. Each sequence is a unique outcome, such as 'RRG' or 'GGG'.
Since all outcomes in our scenario have an equal likelihood of occurring, each individual outcome has a probability of \(\frac{1}{8}\), as there are 8 possible sequences. Recognizing each outcome distinctively is essential for future probability calculations, especially when specifying exact conditions to analyze, such as having only one red light.
Probability Calculation
Once the sample space is determined, calculating the probability of specific events becomes straightforward. Probability is calculated as the number of desired outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes.
To find the probability of stopping at exactly one red light during your trip (for example, outcomes RGG, GRG, and GGR), count these specific outcomes and divide by the total. Here, there are 3 such outcomes from the 8 possibilities, yielding a probability of \(\frac{3}{8}\). On the other hand, calculating the probability of encountering at least one red light involves subtracting the probability of an event's complement from 1. Since only 'GGG' has no red lights, at least one red light's probability is \(1 - \frac{1}{8} = \frac{7}{8}\).
Traffic Light Problem
The traffic light problem is an excellent example to practice understanding probability concepts like sample space, outcomes, and probability calculations. Here, the problem addresses a real-world situation where you encounter traffic lights on your way somewhere.
This exercise practices these concepts by introducing variability with red and green lights and exploring possibilities through probability.
Such problems are valuable as they help comprehend how probability works in everyday scenarios and teach essential analytical skills for evaluating events, outcomes, and their likelihood.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

\(\mathrm{A}\) chocolate kiss is to be tossed into the air and will be landing on a smooth hard surface (similar to tossing a coin or rolling dice). a. What proportion of the time do you believe the kiss will land "point up" \(\bigoplus\) (as opposed to "point \(\left.\operatorname{down}^{\prime \prime}()\right) ?\) b. Let's estimate the probability that a chocolate kiss lands "point up" when it lands on a smooth hard surface after being tossed. Using a chocolate kiss, with the wrapper still on, perform the die experiment discussed on pages \(180-181 .\) Toss the kiss 10 times, record the number of "point up" landings (or put 10 kisses in a cup, shake and dump them onto a hard smooth surface, and use each toss for a block of 10 ), and record the results. Repeat until you have 200 tosses. Chart and graph the data as individual sets of 10 and as cumulative relative frequencies. c. What is your best estimate for the true \(P(\bigotimes) ?\) Explain. d. If unwrapped kisses were to be tossed, what do you think the probability of "point up" landings would be? Would it be different? Explain. e. Unwrap the chocolate kisses used in part b and repeat the experiment. f. Are the results in part e what you anticipated? Explain.

If \(P(\mathrm{A})=0.4, P(\mathrm{B})=0.5,\) and \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { or } \mathrm{B})=0.7,\) find \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { and } \mathrm{B})\)

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