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Determine the \(p\) -value for each of the following situations. a. \(\quad H_{a}: \beta_{1}>0,\) with \(n=18\) and \(t \star=2.4\) b. \(\quad H_{a}: \beta_{1} \neq 0,\) with \(n=15, b_{1}=0.16,\) and \(s_{b_{1}}=0.08\) c. \(\quad H_{a}: \beta_{1}<0,\) with \(n=24, b_{1}=-1.29,\) and \(s_{b_{1}}=0.82\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
To determine the p-values for each part of the exercise: a. Use a t-table to find the one-tail probability for \(t^* = 2.4\) with \(df = 16\), and subtract it from 1. b. Calculate t-statistic with given \(b_1\) and \(s_{b_1}\), and double the one-tail probability from a t-table with \(df = 13\). c. Calculate t-statistic with given \(b_1\) and \(s_{b_1}\), and directly look for one-tail probability from a t-table with \(df = 22\). Always refer back to the direction of the alternative hypothesis to determine whether it's a one- or two-tail test. The exact p-values depend on the values found in the used t-table.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the p-value for part a

Given the alternative hypothesis \(H_a: \beta_1 > 0\), the degrees of freedom \(df = n - 2 = 18 - 2 = 16\), and the t-statistic \(t^* = 2.4\), we should find the p-value. As the alternative hypothesis signifies a one-tail test (greater than sign), we should look for the one-tailed probability corresponding to the given t-statistic in a t-table with 16 degrees of freedom. However, as t-tables usually provide area to the left of the t-score, we need to subtract the table value from 1 to get the area to the right (our interest area for this case). If the t-table doesn't have the exact value of our t-statistic, we should bracket our t-statistic between two closest values from the table.
02

Determine the p-value for part b

For part b, the alternative hypothesis \(H_a: \beta_1 \neq 0\) indicates that we are dealing with a two-tail test. The degrees of freedom \(df = n - 2 = 15 - 2 = 13\). Here, we're given \(b_1 = 0.16\) and \(s_{b_1} = 0.08\), from which we can calculate a t-statistic using the formula \(t^* = b_1 / s_{b_1}\). The two-tail p-value can be gauged by finding the one-tail probability corresponding to the calculated t-statistic in a t-table with 13 degrees of freedom and then doubling it (due to the symmetry of the t-distribution).
03

Determine the p-value for part c

Given the alternative hypothesis \(H_a: \beta_1 < 0\), it's a one-tail test again. The degrees of freedom \(df = n - 2 = 24 - 2 = 22\), and the t-statistic can be calculated as \(t^* = b_1 / s_{b_1}\), with \(b_1 = -1.29\) and \(s_{b_1} = 0.82\). In this case, we're interested in the area to the left of the t-score (since it's a less than sign in the alternative hypothesis), which can be directly looked up in a t-table with 22 degrees of freedom. Again, if the exact t-statistic isn't in the table, bracket our t-statistic between two closest values from the table.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

One-Tailed Test
In hypothesis testing, a one-tailed test is used when we are interested in determining if there is a statistical difference in one direction. This test checks if a parameter is greater than or less than a hypothesized value, as indicated by the direction in the alternative hypothesis.
There are two types of one-tailed tests:
  • Left-tailed test: Tests whether a parameter is less than a certain value (e.g., \(H_a: \beta_1 < 0\)).
  • Right-tailed test: Tests whether a parameter is greater than a certain value (e.g., \(H_a: \beta_1 > 0\)).
To determine p-values in a one-tailed test, you typically use a t-table to find the probability associated with your test statistic. For a right-tailed test, you will subtract the table value from one to get the p-value. For a left-tailed test, you use the table value as it is in finding the p-value. This approach accurately mirrors which tail you are examining in the t-distribution.
Two-Tailed Test
A two-tailed test is applicable when we are interested in assessing if there is a difference in either direction, whether higher or lower than a certain value. The alternative hypothesis in a two-tailed test usually suggests that a parameter is simply different (not equal) as opposed to being specifically greater or lesser.
For instance, the hypothesis might be: \(H_a: \beta_1 eq 0\). In this scenario, we are willing to accept deviations in both directions, increasing the spectrum of possible outcomes.
To find the p-value in such a case, we calculate the one-tail probability associated with our test statistic from the t-table, and then double this value. This is because the t-distribution is symmetric, and thus, the probabilities are equally split in both tails. Doubling ensures that we are considering extremities from both sides of the mean.
Degrees of Freedom
Degrees of freedom in statistical tests are crucial for interpreting the distribution of the test statistic. Essentially, they indicate the number of independent values that can vary in a calculation without violating any given restrictions.
When dealing with a sample size, such as denoted by \(n\), the degrees of freedom for t-tests are often calculated using the formula:
\[ df = n - k \] where \(k\) is the number of parameters estimated (usually 1 for a simple linear regression analysis).
It's most commonly seen in simple linear regression scenarios where the degrees of freedom are: \(df = n - 2\). This deduction accounts for the two estimated parameters, the slope and the intercept. The degrees of freedom help in pinpointing the correct critical values from statistical tables, such as the t-table, that inform decisions about hypothesis acceptance or rejection.
T-Statistic Calculation
The t-statistic is a pivotal part of hypothesis testing, allowing comparison between the estimated effect size and the standard error of the estimate. It's derived using the formula: \[ t^* = \frac{b_1}{s_{b_1}} \] where:
  • \(b_1\) represents the estimated parameter, such as the regression coefficient.
  • \(s_{b_1}\) represents the standard error of the estimate, quantifying the variability of the estimate.

The calculated t-statistic allows researchers to see how many standard deviations the estimated parameter is away from a hypothesized value, usually zero in hypotheses testing the significance of the effect. A calculated t-statistic is then compared against tabulated values associated with predetermined levels of significance and corresponding degrees of freedom to determine whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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