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Two cards are drawn at random successively from a standard deck. The first card is replaced before the second is drawn. Find the probability that: Both are queens.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of drawing two queens successively with replacement from a standard deck is \(\frac{1}{169}\).

Step by step solution

01

Define probability formula

Before calculating the probability, it is important to recall how probability is calculated. The probability of an event (A) occurring is given by: \[ P(A) = \frac{\text{number of successful outcomes}}{\text{total number of possible outcomes}} \]
02

Identify the total number of outcomes

In this case, we are drawing cards from a standard deck of 52 cards with replacement, meaning that after drawing the first card, it is replaced, and the deck remains the same size for the second card draw. So, for the first card draw, there are 52 possibilities, and for the second card draw, there are again 52 possibilities, since the first card has been replaced. To find the total number of possible outcomes, multiply these together: \[ \text{total number of possible outcomes} = 52 \times 52 = 2704 \]
03

Identify the number of successful outcomes

The successful outcome we are interested in is drawing two queens. In a standard deck, there are 4 queens. Since the first card is replaced, the number of ways to draw a queen for the first and the second card draw remains the same, which is 4. To find the number of successful outcomes, multiply the number of ways to draw a queen on the first card draw by the number of ways to draw a queen on the second card draw: \[ \text{number of successful outcomes} = 4 \times 4 = 16 \]
04

Calculate the probability

Now that we have both the total number of possible outcomes and the number of successful outcomes, we can use the probability formula to find the probability of drawing two queens with replacement: \[ P(\text{both are queens}) = \frac{\text{number of successful outcomes}}{\text{total number of possible outcomes}} = \frac{16}{2704} = \frac{1}{169} \] So, the probability of drawing two queens successively with replacement from a standard deck is \(\frac{1}{169}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability with Replacement
Understanding probability with replacement is crucial in predicting the likelihood of certain outcomes in card games and other scenarios where an element is returned to a system before the next event. In the context of a standard deck of cards, this means that after a card is drawn, it is placed back into the deck before the next card is drawn, ensuring the number of possible outcomes remains consistent.

For instance, if you draw one card from a deck of 52 cards and then return it to the deck, the probability of drawing any specific card, such as a queen, would remain 4 out of 52 for each draw. This concept is different from probability without replacement, where the number of possibilities decreases with each draw, changing the probability with each event.
Standard Deck of Cards Probability
In calculating probabilities in card games, it's essential to know that a standard deck of cards contains 52 cards. These are divided into four suits: hearts, diamonds, clubs, and spades, each suit containing 13 cards which range from Ace through to King. When evaluating the probability of drawing certain cards from this deck, one must consider how many cards of the particular rank or suit are present.

For example, the chance of drawing a queen from a full deck in one draw is 4 in 52 since there are four queens (one in each suit). This principle lays the foundation for calculating the probability of various card combinations during a game, where understanding these odds can be pivotal to a player's strategy.
Calculating Probabilities in Card Games
Calculating probabilities in card games involves the simple yet powerful concept of combinatorics, which is essentially the study of counting. To calculate the odds in card games, you must identify the number of successful outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes. When the outcomes are equally probable, as is the case with a well-shuffled deck, the probability calculation is straightforward.

In a scenario where you want to draw two specific cards in succession, with replacement, the chances of drawing the first card are independent of drawing the second one. This means you multiply the probabilities of each individual card draw together to obtain the overall probability of the combined event. Understanding these calculations enhances gameplay strategy and helps gauge the risk of pursuing certain hand combinations.
Combinatorics and Probability
Combinatorics plays a significant role in determining probabilities and is often used to figure out the number of possible combinations or arrangements. In the context of probability, combinatory methods help identify the number of successful outcomes. For example, when looking for the probability of drawing two specific cards (like two queens) from a deck with replacement, we use the basic combinatorial principle that the total outcomes for successive events are found by multiplying the individual event outcomes together.

This is how we get the 16 successful outcomes of drawing two queens (4 options for the first queen and 4 options for the second queen, since there is replacement). By using these concepts, we can solve a variety of probability problems in card games and extend these principles to more complex problems in statistics and probability theory.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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