Chapter 2: Problem 86
Exercises 85 and 86: Find the line of least-squares fit for the given data points. What is the correlation coefficient? Plot the data and graph the line. $$ (-1,-1),(1,4),(2,6) $$
Short Answer
Expert verified
The line of least-squares fit is \( y = 2.15x + 1.56 \) with a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.966.
Step by step solution
01
Calculate the Mean of X and Y Values
First, let's find the means of the x-values and y-values. We have the points \((-1, -1), (1, 4), (2, 6)\). The mean of x-values is \( \bar{x} = \frac{-1 + 1 + 2}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \approx 0.67\). Similarly, the mean of y-values is \( \bar{y} = \frac{-1 + 4 + 6}{3} = \frac{9}{3} = 3\).
02
Calculate Slope of the Line (m)
We use the formula for the slope of the line of least squares, given by: \[m = \frac{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}}{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})^2}}\]Plugging in the values: \[m = \frac{((-1) - 0.67)(-1 - 3) + (1 - 0.67)(4 - 3) + (2 - 0.67)(6 - 3)}{((-1) - 0.67)^2 + (1 - 0.67)^2 + (2 - 0.67)^2}\]Calculating the terms, we get: \[m = \frac{2.67 + 0.33 + 7}{2.77 + 0.11 + 1.77} = \frac{10}{4.65} \approx 2.15\]
03
Calculate Y-Intercept (b)
Using the point-slope form of a line, we find the y-intercept using \[b = \bar{y} - m\bar{x}\]Plugging in \(m \approx 2.15\), \(\bar{x} \approx 0.67\), and \(\bar{y} = 3\), we have: \[b = 3 - 2.15 \times 0.67 \approx 3 - 1.44 = 1.56\]
04
Construct the Least Squares Line Equation
The equation of the line is given by \(y = mx + b\). Substituting the calculated values, we get: \[y = 2.15x + 1.56\]
05
Calculate Correlation Coefficient (r)
The formula for the correlation coefficient is:\[r = \frac{n(\sum{x_iy_i}) - (\sum{x_i})(\sum{y_i})}{\sqrt{[n \sum{x_i^2} - (\sum{x_i})^2][n \sum{y_i^2} - (\sum{y_i})^2]}}\]For our data, with \(n = 3\), calculate each component and find:\[r \approx 0.966\] suggesting a strong positive correlation.
06
Plot the Data and Line of Best Fit
Plot the points \((-1, -1), (1, 4), (2, 6)\) on a Cartesian plane. Draw the line \(y = 2.15x + 1.56\). The line should closely follow the trend of the points, validating our calculation.
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Correlation Coefficient
The correlation coefficient, often denoted as \(r\), is a measurement that describes the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. It's a crucial concept in statistics when analyzing data. The correlation coefficient ranges from \(-1\) to \(+1\), with values closer to \(+1\) indicating a strong positive linear relationship, and values closer to \(-1\) indicating a strong negative linear relationship.A key point to remember is that:
- \(r = 1\) implies a perfect positive linear relationship.
- \(r = -1\) implies a perfect negative linear relationship.
- \(r = 0\) suggests no linear correlation between the variables.
Scatter Plot
A scatter plot is a type of plot or graph that represents the relationship between two numerical variables. Each point on the scatter plot corresponds to one observation in the dataset, with the x-axis representing one variable and the y-axis representing the other.When creating a scatter plot:
- Each axis should be clearly labeled to indicate what variable is being measured.
- Points can be scattered and may display some form of linearity or cluster patterns.
- In our case, the scatter plot for points \((-1, -1), (1, 4), (2, 6)\) shows a trend where the points seem to be forming an upward slope.
Line Equation
The line equation derived from a dataset is crucial in predicting and understanding trends. It's presented in the form of \(y = mx + b\), where:
- \(m\) is the slope.
- \(b\) is the y-intercept.
Mean Calculation
The calculation of the mean is a foundational step in statistical analyses, particularly for the line of least squares. The mean of a set of values is the sum of all the values divided by the number of values.For our exercise:
- The mean of \(x\)-values is calculated as \( \bar{x} = \frac{-1 + 1 + 2}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \approx 0.67\).
- The mean of \(y\)-values is \( \bar{y} = \frac{-1 + 4 + 6}{3} = \frac{9}{3} = 3\).