A multiple-choice test has four choices for each question and only one correct
answer. The probability that a student guesses correctly on an individual
question is \(\frac{1}{4}\). In practice, this means that over the long run,
with repeated guesses on different questions, a student would guess correctly
approximately \(25 \%\) of the time. If a test has \(x\) questions, then the
probability \(P(x)\) that a student will guess correctly on all questions is
given by \(P(x)=\left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^{x}\).
a. Evaluate \(P(2), P(3), P(4),\) and \(P(5)\).
b. Does the probability of guessing correctly on all \(x\) questions increase or
decrease as more questions are added to the test?
c. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1 , inclusive. Values
closer to 1 represent a greater likelihood that the event will occur, and
values closer to 0 represent a lesser likelihood. Would it be likely or
unlikely for a student to guess correctly on all questions if the test had 10
questions?