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There is considerable evidence to support the theory that for some species there is a minimum population \(m\) such that the species will become extinct if the size of the population falls below \(m .\) This condition can be incorporated into the logistic equation by introducing the factor \((1-m / P) .\) Thus the modified logistic model is given by the differential equation $$ \frac{d P}{d t}=k P\left(1-\frac{P}{M}\right)\left(1-\frac{m}{P}\right) $$ (a) Use the differential equation to show that any solution is increasing if \(m

Short Answer

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The population increases if \(m<P<M\) and decreases if \(0<P<m\); equilibrium points are \(P=200\) and \(P=1000\). When \(P_0 < m\), the species will become extinct.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We are given a modified logistic differential equation model that describes population dynamics incorporating a minimum population threshold. We need to analyze the behavior of solutions to this model under certain conditions and solve the equation explicitly.
02

Examine Conditions for Increasing and Decreasing Solutions

Use the given differential equation: \(\frac{dP}{dt} = kP\left(1-\frac{P}{M}\right)\left(1-\frac{m}{P}\right)\). We consider it is increasing if \(m < P < M\). In this range, all factors \(kP\), \(1-\frac{P}{M}\), and \(1-\frac{m}{P}\) are positive. Hence, \(\frac{dP}{dt} > 0\). Similarly, if \(0 < P < m\), then \(1-\frac{m}{P}\) becomes negative, making \(\frac{dP}{dt} < 0\). Thus, solutions are decreasing if \(0 < P < m\).
03

Draw Direction Field and Sketch Solution Curves

When \(k=0.08\), \(M=1000\), and \(m=200\), create a direction field that illustrates the slopes of solutions. Below \(m=200\), the slope is negative, causing the population to decrease toward zero. Above \(m\) but below \(M=1000\), the slope is positive, leading to growth towards equilibrium \(M\). The equilibrium solutions are \(P=200\) and \(P=1000\), where \(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0\).
04

Explicitly Solve the Differential Equation

Using partial fractions or a CAS, solve: \(\frac{dP}{dt} = kP\left(1-\frac{P}{M}\right)\left(1-\frac{m}{P}\right)\). The solution generally involves integrating and finding an expression in terms of \(P(t)\). Let \(P(0) = P_0\) and solve to find \(P(t)\) explicitly.
05

Prove Extinction for Initial Population Below Minimum

If \(P_0 < m\), use the solution derived in part (c) to demonstrate that for some \(t\), \(P(t) = 0\). This might involve showing that the numerator in \(P(t)\)'s expression becomes zero. This indicates extinction as the population reaches zero within finite time.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Dynamics
Population dynamics is a crucial biological study that examines how and why the numbers of individuals in a population change over time. This concept is often explored through models such as the logistic differential equation. In this context, we consider a modified logistic model that integrates a minimum population threshold. This threshold indicates that for certain species, populations cannot sustain themselves below a specific number of individuals without risking extinction.

Understanding these dynamics helps in cultivating strategies for conservation and managing natural resources. It also provides insights into how populations grow in environments with limited resources. The logistic differential model offers a structured way to predict changes and understand the balance between growth and limiting factors like food supply or habitat size.
Equilibrium Solutions
In the context of differential equations, equilibrium solutions refer to conditions where the rate of change of the population, \( \frac{dP}{dt} \), is zero. For our modified logistic equation, the equilibrium solutions occur at points where the population stops changing. This happens when either the species number equals the carrying capacity (\( M \)) or the extinction threshold (\( m \)).

The equilibrium solutions can be found by setting the right-hand side of the differential equation to zero: \( kP\left(1-\frac{P}{M}\right)\left(1-\frac{m}{P}\right) = 0 \). Solving this, we find the equilibrium at \[ P = m \text{ and } P = M \].

These points illustrate that if populations maintain numbers exactly at these thresholds, they remain stable. But slightly below or above these points can lead to rapid decline or growth, respectively.
Direction Field
A direction field, also known as a slope field, visually represents the behavior of differential equations in a specific domain. It provides a graphical illustration of how solutions of a differential equation might behave without actually solving the equation.

For the given logistic equation, drawing a direction field involves plotting slopes for various population sizes \( P \), given the constraints. If \( m < P < M \,\) the slope \( \frac{dP}{dt} \) is positive, indicating growth. In contrast, for \( 0 < P < m \,\) the slope is negative, suggesting a decline toward zero.

This visualization is particularly useful for understanding the qualitative behavior of solutions and predicting long-term trends in population dynamics. Direction fields are a helpful tool in educational settings, making it easier for students to conceptualize how populations might evolve over time.
Extinction Threshold
The extinction threshold is a critical concept in population dynamics, representing the minimum population size needed to avoid extinction. For the logistic differential equation provided, the threshold is denoted by \( m \.\)

The significance of the extinction threshold is outlined in exercises where you can use the logistic model to predict outcomes for populations nearing this critical point. If a population starts below \( m \,\) it indicates that environmental factors or stochastic events might lead to the population's inevitable decline to zero.

At this threshold, sustaining the population becomes impossible unless there are interventions to increase numbers above \( m \.\) This concept is crucial in ecology to design strategies to save endangered species and shows how small changes in population sizes can have significant impacts.

  • Populations below \( m \) trend towards extinction.
  • Slightly above \( m \), populations may survive and grow.
Understanding this threshold helps determine necessary conservation actions.

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