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Consider the density function $$ f(x)=\left\\{\begin{array}{ll} 2 x & \text { when } 0 \leq x<1 \\ 0 & \text { when } x<0 \text { or } x \geq 1 \end{array}\right. $$ a. Write \(F\), the corresponding cumulative distribution function. b. Use both \(f\) and \(F\) to calculate the probability that \(x<0.67\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The CDF is \( F(x) = x^2 \) for \( 0 \leq x < 1 \), and the probability that \( x<0.67 \) is 0.4489.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Density Function

The given density function \( f(x) = 2x \) is defined for the range \( 0 \leq x < 1 \) and zero otherwise. This means that it assigns the probability density over the interval \([0, 1)\) and ensures all probabilities sum to one over this interval.
02

Determine the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

To find the CDF \( F(x) \), we integrate the probability density function. For \(0 \leq x < 1\), the CDF is: \[ F(x) = \int_{0}^{x} 2t \, dt = \left[ t^2 \right]_{0}^{x} = x^2 \]For \( x < 0 \), \( F(x) = 0 \), and for \( x \geq 1 \), \( F(x) = 1 \). Thus, \[F(x)=\begin{cases} 0, & \text{if } x < 0 \ x^2, & \text{if } 0 \leq x < 1 \ 1, & \text{if } x \geq 1 \end{cases}\]
03

Calculate the Probability for x < 0.67 using the CDF

Using the CDF \( F(x) \), the probability that \( x < 0.67 \) is found by evaluating \( F(0.67) \):\[ F(0.67) = (0.67)^2 = 0.4489 \]
04

Confirm Calculation with Density Function

Although the CDF gives a direct answer, confirming with the density function involves integrating \( f(x) \) over \( [0, 0.67] \):\[ \text{Probability} = \int_{0}^{0.67} 2x \, dx = \left[ x^2 \right]_{0}^{0.67} = (0.67)^2 = 0.4489 \]This confirms our CDF result.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Density Function
A probability density function, commonly represented as a PDF, is a fundamental concept in statistics and probability theory. It describes how the values of a continuous random variable are distributed. The PDF, noted here as \( f(x) \), provides the density of probabilities rather than probabilities themselves. In our example, the PDF is given by \( f(x) = 2x \) for \( 0 \leq x < 1 \) and \( f(x) = 0 \) otherwise.
Here are the key characteristics of a PDF:
  • The area under the PDF curve must equal 1. This ensures all probabilities across the range add up to 100%.
  • The PDF can take on values greater than 1, but the probability, which is derived by integrating the PDF over an interval, will always be between 0 and 1.
  • Probability for a specific value in a continuous probability distribution is 0. Instead, we find the probability over a range of values using integration.
To solidify understanding, it’s important to recognize that while a PDF like \( 2x \) indicates how probability is distributed over an interval, actual probabilities require computation via integration.
Integral Calculus
Integral calculus plays a crucial role in calculating probabilities for continuous distributions. It's the mathematical process used to determine the area under the curve of a probability density function over a specified interval. This translates to finding the likelihood that a random variable falls within that interval. Here’s how it works in our exercise:
To find the cumulative distribution function (CDF), we integrate the PDF. So for \( f(x) = 2x \) over \( 0 \leq x < 1 \), we performed:\[ F(x) = \int_{0}^{x} 2t \, dt = \left[ t^2 \right]_{0}^{x} = x^2\]A couple of essential points about integration in probability:
  • Definite integrals are used to find the probability over a range. This is why the bounds '0' and 'x' matter in our integral for \( F(x) \).
  • Integration transforms a PDF into a CDF, which means transforming a function from describing density to describing cumulative probability up to a point.
Hence, integral calculus is the bridge between understanding how probabilities are distributed and calculating those probabilities.
Probability Distribution
The concept of a probability distribution is crucial when working with random variables, as it describes the probabilities of different possible outcomes. In a continuous setting, probability distributions are expressed through PDFs and CDFs. Our exercise showcases this with the PDF \( f(x) = 2x \) and its corresponding CDF.
Consider the CDF \( F(x) \) derived from our PDF, which is \( x^2 \) for \( 0 \leq x < 1 \). Here are some important aspects:
  • The probability of a random variable \( x \) being less than a certain value is given directly by the CDF at that value, e.g., \( F(0.67) \approx 0.4489 \). This means there’s a 44.89% chance \( x \) is less than 0.67.
  • For \( x < 0 \), the CDF is 0, indicating a 0% chance, as the PDF is defined only for \( 0 \leq x < 1 \).
  • For \( x \geq 1 \), the CDF is 1, which represents certainty that \( x \) falls below or within the defined range.
A complete understanding of a probability distribution involves recognizing how the PDF and CDF interrelate to provide a full picture of how probabilities unfold across the values of a random variable.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Waiting Time At a certain grocery checkout counter, the average waiting time is 2.5 minutes. Suppose the waiting times follow an exponential density function. a. Write the equation for the exponential distribution of waiting times. Graph the equation and locate the mean waiting time on the graph. b. What is the likelihood that a customer waits less than 2 minutes to check out? c. What is the probability of waiting between 2 and 4 minutes? d. What is the probability of waiting more than 5 minutes to check out?

Write a sentence of interpretation for the probability statement in the context of the given situation. \(P(d<72)=0.34,\) where the random variable \(d\) is the distance, in feet, between any two cars on a certain two-lane highway.

Worldwide Cropland The amount of arable and permanent cropland worldwide increased at a slow but relatively steady rate of 0.0342 million square kilometers per year between 1970 and \(1990 .\) In 1980 there were 14.17 million square kilometers of cropland. (Source: Ronald Bailey, ed., The True State of the Planet, New York: The Free Press for the Competitive Enterprise Institute, 1995) a. Write a differential equation representing the growth of cropland. b. Write a general solution for the differential equation in part \(a\) c. Write the particular solution for the amount of cropland. d. Use the equations to estimate the rate of change of cropland in 1970 and in 1990 and the amount of cropland in those years.

Drunk Drivers In \(2007,55 \%\) of the drivers involved in fatal auto crashes who had been drinking had blood alcohol content (BAC) of 0.15 or greater. The figure shows a bar graph of the number of drivers (as well as their BAC levels) who had a BAC of 0.01 or higher and who were involved in fatal crashes during \(2007 .\) Give two reasons why the bar graph is not a probability density function. Give two reasons why the bar graph is not a probability density function.

Postage Rates Between 1919 and \(1995,\) the rate of change in the rate of change of the postage required to mail a first-class, 1 -ounce letter was approximately 0.022 cent per year squared. The postage was 2 cents in \(1919,\) and it was increasing at the rate of approximately 0.393 cent per year in \(1958 .\) (Source: Based on data from the United States Postal Service) a. Write a differential equation for the rate of change in the rate of change of the first-class postage for a 1 -ounce letter in year \(t,\) where \(t\) is the number of years after 1900 . b. Find both a general and a particular solution to the differential equation in part \(a\). c. Use the previous results to estimate how rapidly the postage is changing in the current year and the current first-class postage for a 1 -ounce letter. Comment on the accuracy of the results. If they are not reasonable, give possible explanations.

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