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Learning Time The time (in minutes) required to learn the procedure for performing a certain task is uniformly distributed on the interval from 30 minutes to 50 minutes. a. What is the probability that it takes more than \(42 \mathrm{~min}-\) utes to learn the procedure? b. What is the average time required to learn the procedure?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Probability is 0.4; (b) Average time is 40 minutes.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Uniform Distribution

In a uniform distribution, the values are spread evenly across the range of possible outcomes. The given task states that the time required to learn a procedure is uniformly distributed between 30 and 50 minutes. This means that the probability density function (pdf) is constant over this interval, with limits [a=30, b=50].
02

Calculating Probability for Part (a)

To find the probability that it takes more than 42 minutes, we need to determine the area under the uniform distribution curve from 42 to 50. The probability can be computed using the formula for uniform distribution: \[ P(X > x) = \frac{b - x}{b - a} \]Here, \(x = 42\), \(a = 30\), and \(b = 50\).Substitute these values into the formula: \[ P(X > 42) = \frac{50 - 42}{50 - 30} = \frac{8}{20} = 0.4 \]Thus, the probability that it will take more than 42 minutes is 0.4.
03

Calculating Average Time for Part (b)

The average (or expected) value of a uniformly distributed random variable is calculated by taking the average of the lower and upper bounds. The formula to find the mean \(\mu\) is:\[ \mu = \frac{a + b}{2} \]Substituting the given values \(a = 30\) and \(b = 50\):\[ \mu = \frac{30 + 50}{2} = \frac{80}{2} = 40 \]Hence, the average time required to learn the procedure is 40 minutes.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Calculation
Calculating probability in the context of a uniform distribution is quite straightforward. The concept of probability refers to the likelihood that a particular event will occur. In this scenario, we are focusing on the time it takes to learn a procedure, which is distributed evenly between 30 and 50 minutes. Hence, every minute within this span has an equal chance of being the actual learning time.
To find out the probability that the learning time will be over 42 minutes, we use a simple formula for uniform distributions:
  • Calculate the total range of the distribution, which is from 30 to 50 minutes.
  • Identify the interval for which you need the probability; here, from 42 to 50 minutes.
  • Apply the formula: \[P(X > x) = \frac{b - x}{b - a} \]
Substituting the values as given, where \(x = 42\), \(a = 30\), and \(b = 50\), the problem simplifies to finding \[P(X > 42) = \frac{50 - 42}{50 - 30} = 0.4\]This means that there is a 40% chance that it will take more than 42 minutes to learn the procedure. This calculation reflects the nature of uniform distribution where each interval within the range holds an equal probability.
Average Time
The average time in the context of learning a procedure that follows a uniform distribution refers to the average duration it will likely take. In statistical terms, this is known as the expected value. The expected value of a uniformly distributed random variable is calculated simply as the midpoint of the interval.
This is because, in a uniform distribution, outcomes are distributed evenly, making the average or mean to fall precisely between the minimum and maximum bounds.
  • To compute this, use the formula for the mean of a uniform distribution: \[\mu = \frac{a + b}{2} \]
  • Substitute the given boundaries where \(a = 30\) and \(b = 50\).
  • Calculate: \[\mu = \frac{30 + 50}{2} = 40 \]
Thus, the average or expected time to learn the procedure is 40 minutes. Understanding the average helps in planning and managing expectations around the learning time.
Probability Density Function
A probability density function (pdf) offers a way to describe how probabilities are distributed in a continuous random variable. In a uniform distribution scenario such as the one provided, the probability density function is constant over the interval from 30 to 50 minutes.
The pdf in this specific case can be expressed as:
  • For any value \(x\) in the range \([a, b]\), the pdf is constant.
  • This means every minute within the range is equally likely.
  • The height of the pdf, often referred to as the probability per unit measure, is calculated as \[\frac{1}{b-a} = \frac{1}{50-30} = \frac{1}{20} \]
In essence, the pdf tells us that each interval of time within the range from 30 to 50 minutes has a consistent probability measure. This property of having a uniform "height" signifies that the entire range is treated equally without any preference for particular outcomes.

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