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Breeding Success in Red-Winged Blackbirds In 2001 Weatherhead and Sommerer \(^{22}\) constructed a mathematical model that was based on a linear relationship between the age of a female red-winged blackbird and the number of fledglings in her nest. They found, for example, that oneyear-old females had on average two fledglings in their nest, while eight-year-old females had on average one fledgling in their nest. Find the linear function that describes this re- lationship, the average rate of change on any interval \([a, b]\) and what this rate of change means.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The linear equation is \( y = -\frac{1}{7}x + \frac{15}{7}\), and the average rate of change is \(-\frac{1}{7}\) fledgling per year.

Step by step solution

01

Determine Points on the Line

We are given that one-year-old females have on average two fledglings, denoted as the point (1, 2), and eight-year-old females have on average one fledgling, denoted as the point (8, 1). These points will help us find the linear relationship.
02

Calculate the Slope

The slope \(m\) of the line between two points \((x_1, y_1)\) and \((x_2, y_2)\) is given by \(m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1}\). Substituting the points (1, 2) and (8, 1) into this formula gives:\[m = \frac{1 - 2}{8 - 1} = \frac{-1}{7} = -\frac{1}{7}.\]
03

Write the Linear Equation in Point-Slope Form

With the slope \(-\frac{1}{7}\) and using the point (1, 2), the point-slope form of the line equation is \(y - y_1 = m(x - x_1)\), which gives: \[y - 2 = -\frac{1}{7}(x - 1).\]
04

Convert the Equation to Slope-Intercept Form

Simplifying the equation from Step 3, we find:\[y - 2 = -\frac{1}{7}x + \frac{1}{7}\]Adding 2 to both sides gives:\[y = -\frac{1}{7}x + \frac{1}{7} + 2\]\[y = -\frac{1}{7}x + \frac{15}{7}.\] This is the slope-intercept form of the equation, \(y = -\frac{1}{7}x + \frac{15}{7}\).
05

Interpret the Rate of Change

The average rate of change in the number of fledglings per year is given by the slope of the line, \(-\frac{1}{7}\). This means that for each additional year of age of the female, the number of fledglings decreases by an average of \(\frac{1}{7}\) fledgling per year.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Slope Calculation
To calculate the slope of a line, which measures its steepness, we use the formula: \( m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1} \). This formula takes two points \( (x_1, y_1) \) and \( (x_2, y_2) \) on the line. The slope \( m \) tells us how much \( y \) changes for a unit change in \( x \). In our example with the red-winged blackbirds, the two points are (1, 2) and (8, 1). Substituting these points into the formula gives us:- \( m = \frac{1 - 2}{8 - 1} = \frac{-1}{7} \) This negative slope of \(-\frac{1}{7}\) means that as the age of the female blackbird increases, the number of fledglings decreases. Each step-by-step calculation makes it clear how changes in one variable affect the other.
Point-Slope Form
The point-slope form of a linear equation allows us to write an equation when we know a point on the line and its slope. It is given by: \( y - y_1 = m(x - x_1) \). This form is especially useful for writing the equation quickly.- Using the point (1, 2) and the slope \(-\frac{1}{7}\), we can plug into the formula: \( y - 2 = -\frac{1}{7}(x - 1) \). This equation is easy to set up and prepares us to convert into other forms, like the slope-intercept form. This form highlights the role of \((x_1, y_1)\) as the starting point and shows the slope as a constant rate of change.
Slope-Intercept Form
The slope-intercept form of a linear equation is written as \( y = mx + b \). This form clearly shows both the slope \( m \) and the y-intercept \( b \). It is popular because it quickly reveals how the y-value changes as the x-value changes and where the line crosses the y-axis.- From the point-slope form \( y - 2 = -\frac{1}{7}(x - 1) \), simplifying gives us: \( y = -\frac{1}{7}x + \frac{15}{7} \).In this example, the slope \( m = -\frac{1}{7} \) shows a downward trend. The y-intercept \( b = \frac{15}{7} \) tells us the starting number of fledglings when the age is zero, which matches the model's assumptions about initial conditions.
Rate of Change
The rate of change is an important concept in linear functions, representing how one quantity changes with respect to another. In linear models, this is the same as the slope. - With the blackbirds, the rate of change is \(-\frac{1}{7}\), indicating that the average number of fledglings decreases by \( \frac{1}{7} \) for each year the female ages. This negative rate demonstrates a decline, helping biologists understand how age impacts reproductive success.
Interpreting this properly can aide in wildlife management, as it quantifies changes in fledgling numbers and provides insights into population trends.

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