/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 4 Shopping Behavior Baker \(^{28}\... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Shopping Behavior Baker \(^{28}\) collected the data found in the table below that correlates the number \((N)\) of retail outlets in a suburban shopping center with the standardized number \(C\) of multipurpose shopping consumers. $$ \begin{array}{|c|cccccccc|} \hline N & 70 & 80 & 90 & 90 & 90 & 125 & 205 & 205 \\ \hline C & 20.5 & 23.5 & 18.5 & 13.0 & 12.5 & 11.0 & 17.5 & 13.5 \\\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Use quadratic regression to find \(C\) as a function of \(N\). b. Determine the number of retail outlets for which this model predicts the minimum standardized number of multipurpose shopping consumers.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Use quadratic regression to find the coefficients and solve with \(N = -\frac{b}{2a}\) for minimum.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Quadratic Regression

Quadratic regression is a method to model the relationship between a dependent variable \(C\) and an independent variable \(N\) using a quadratic polynomial: \(C = aN^2 + bN + c\). Our task is to find the coefficients \(a\), \(b\), and \(c\).
02

Setting Up the Equations

Given that we want to use quadratic regression, we plot \((N, C)\) data points to find \(a\), \(b\), and \(c\). We need to create a system of equations using the least squares method to minimize the sum of the squared differences between the observed \(C\) and the predicted values \(aN^2 + bN + c\).
03

Performing the Calculation

Use software or a calculator that handles quadratic regression to input the data points: \((70, 20.5), (80, 23.5), (90, 18.5), (90, 13.0), (90, 12.5), (125, 11.0), (205, 17.5), (205, 13.5)\). The calculator processes these points to find the values of \(a\), \(b\), and \(c\).
04

Determining Minimum Using the Model

With the quadratic function \(C = aN^2 + bN + c\) obtained, the minimum point (vertex of the parabola) can be calculated using the formula \(N = -\frac{b}{2a}\). Substitute the values of \(a\) and \(b\) obtained from the regression calculations to find this \(N\).
05

Final Calculation and Interpretation

Calculate the resulting \(N\) using the formula from the previous step to find the number of retail outlets for which the predicted \(C\) is minimized. Interpret this value in the context of the problem.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Least Squares Method
The Least Squares Method is a fundamental statistical technique used to find the best-fitting curve to a given set of data points. It aims to minimize the sum of the squared differences (errors) between the observed values and the values predicted by the model. In quadratic regression, we use this method to determine the optimal coefficients for our quadratic function.

The process involves:
  • Gathering data points that represent the relationship between two variables.
  • Fitting a model to this data by minimizing the discrepancy between the observed and predicted values.
  • Using statistical or computational tools to execute this minimization.
For our case, the least squares approach helps us to calculate the coefficients of the quadratic equation that best represents the relationship between the number of retail outlets (N) and the number of consumers (C). This equation aids in predicting consumer behavior based on the number of outlets.
Dependent Variable
A dependent variable is a variable whose value depends on one or more other variables. In statistical analysis and modeling, it is the outcome or response that researchers aim to predict or explain. It is typically affected or influenced by changes in the independent variable.

In our quadratic regression exercise, the dependent variable is the standardized number of multipurpose shopping consumers, denoted as 'C'. Changes in 'C' are believed to be influenced by the number of retail outlets, represented by 'N'. Understanding this dependency is crucial for making predictions or inferences.

The role of the dependent variable in a mathematical model is fundamental, as it provides insights into how changes in other factors (independent variables) might impact the outcome in real-world scenarios.
Independent Variable
The independent variable is the variable that is manipulated or controlled to observe its effect on the dependent variable. It acts as the cause or predictor, and changes to it are expected to result in changes to the dependent variable.

In the given quadratic regression problem, the independent variable is the number of retail outlets, represented as 'N'. It is assumed that changes in 'N' can influence the number of shopping consumers (our dependent variable, 'C'). By studying how 'C' responds to changes in 'N', analysts can predict consumer behavior patterns.

Independent variables are critical in statistical modeling because they help identify or determine the potential factors affecting an outcome variable. They allow for experimentation and prediction in research settings.
Polynomial Function
A polynomial function is a mathematical expression involving a sum of powers in one or more variables multiplied by coefficients. In regression contexts, polynomial functions are used to model complex relationships between variables because of their flexibility in fitting data.

For the data in the exercise, a quadratic polynomial function is applied: \(C = aN^2 + bN + c\), where:
  • \(a\), \(b\), and \(c\) are coefficients obtained through regression analysis, representing the function's parameters.
  • \(N\) is the independent variable (number of retail outlets).
  • \(C\) is the dependent variable (number of consumers).
Quadratic functions, a specific type of polynomial function, generate parabolic graphs. This shape is ideal when the data suggests a non-linear relationship. Using polynomial functions in quadratic regression allows analysts to capture more complexity than simple linear models can provide. Thus, they help in uncovering deeper insights into the interactions between variables.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Grace and colleagues \(^{53}\) found a correlation between the percent increase in the individual weight of foraging workers and the percent decrease in colony population during the latter stages of the life of the termite colony. Their data are found in the following table. Use power regression to find the best-fitting power function to the data and the correlation coefficient. Graph. $$\begin{array}{|c|cccc|} \hline x & 7 & 32 & 45 & 120 \\\\\hline y & 50 & 62 & 73 & 79 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ . Here \(x\) is the percent increase in the weight of individual foraging workers in millimeters, and \(y\) is the percent decrease in the population of the colony.

Milk Yield Rigout and colleagues \(^{38}\) studied the impact of glucose on milk yields of dairy cows. The following table includes data they collected. $$ \begin{array}{|l|ccc|} \hline \text { Glucose infused (\%) } & 0 & 2 & 5 \\\ \hline \text { Milk Yield (kg/day) } & 30.0 & 31.7 & 31.5 \\ \hline \text { Glucose infused (\%) } & 8 & 12 & 14 \\ \hline \text { Milk Yield (kg/day) } & 31.7 & 31.3 & 29.8 \\\\\hline \end{array} $$ a. Find the best-fitting quadratic (as the researchers did) that relates glucose to milk yield and the square of the correlation coefficient. Graph. b. Find the percent of glucose that maximizes milk yield.

U.S. Infant Mortality Rate The following table gives the U.S. infant mortality rate per 1000 births for selected years and can be found in Glassman \(^{62}\) and Elliot. \({ }^{63}\) The rate is per 1000 births. $$ \begin{array}{|l|llll|} \hline \text { Year } & 1940 & 1950 & 1960 & 1970 \\ \hline \text { Rate } & 47.0 & 29.2 & 26.0 & 20.0 \\ \hline \text { Year } & 1980 & 1990 & 1994 & \\ \hline \text { Rate } & 12.6 & 9.2 & 8.0 & \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. On the basis of this data, find the best-fitting exponential function using exponential regression. Let \(x=0\) correspond to \(1940 .\) Graph. Use this model to estimate the rate in 1997 . b. Using the model in part (a), estimate when the U.S. infant mortality rate will reach 4 per thousand births.

Forest Entomology Rieske and Raffa \(^{68}\) studied the relationship of population increase to previous year population size of \(H .\) pales trapped in pitfall traps baited with ethanol and turpentine. Their data are given in the following table. $$ \begin{array}{|l|lllll|} \hline \text { 1988 Population } & 220 & 320 & 360 & 410 & 620 \\ \hline \text { Population Increase (\%) } & 375 & 170 & 130 & 250 & 120 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. On the basis of the data given in the table, find the bestfitting logarithmic function using least squares. (Note that the authors used logarithms to the base \(10 .\) ) Graph. b. Use this model to estimate the population increase with a 1988 population of 500 .

Grace and colleagues \(^{52}\) studied the population history of termite colonies. They noted an initial 10 -year increase in population, followed by a 10 -year static population, followed by a 15 -year decline in population. In the paper cited they found a curious relationship between the average weight of individual foraging workers and the population of the colony during the 15 -year decline in population. Their data are given in the following table. $$ \begin{array}{|l|lllll|}\hline x & 2.75 & 2.79 & 2.84 & 2.98 & 2.98 \\\\\hline y & 4.1 & 7.0 & 5.2 & 4.5 & 3.0 \\\\\hline x & 3.08 & 3.72 & 4.21 & 6.26 & \\\\\hline y & 2.2 & 1.8 & 1.4 & 1.0 & \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ Here \(x\) is the weight in milligrams of individual foraging workers, and \(y\) is the population of the colony in millions. a. Use power regression to find the best-fitting power function to the data and the correlation coefficient. Graph. b. What does this model predict the population will be when the average weight of individual foraging workers is \(3.00 \mathrm{mg}?\) c. What does this model predict the average weight of individual foraging workers will be if the population is 6 million?

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