/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 4 In the 1980 s the small town of ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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In the 1980 s the small town of Old Bethpage, New York, made the front page of the New York Times magazine section as an illustration of what was termed a "dying suburb." In Old Bethpage schools are being converted to nursing homes as the population ages and the baby boomers move out. Suppose that the number of school-age children in 1980 was \(C_{0}\), and was decreasing at a rate of \(6 \%\) per year. Let's assume that the number of school-age children continues to drop at a rate of \(6 \%\) each year. Let \(C(t)\) be the number of school-age children in Old Bethpage \(t\) years after 1980 . (a) Find \(C(t)\). (b) Express the number of school-age children in Old Bethpage in 1994 as a percentage of the 1980 population. (c) Use your calculator to estimate the year in which the population of school-age children in Old Bethpage will be half of its size in 1980 .

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) The exponential decay function for this problem is \( C(t) = C_{0} * (0.94)^t \). b) In 1994, the number of school-age children as a percentage of the 1980 population was about \( 100 * (0.94)^{14} \% \). c) The population of school-age children in Old Bethpage will be half of its size in 1980 around the end of 1991.

Step by step solution

01

Define the decay function

In exponential decay problems, the function that describes the decay can be given as: \( C(t) = C_{0} * (1 - r)^t \) where \( C_{0} \) is the initial population, \( r \) is the rate of decay and \( t \) is the time in years. Here, the rate of decay is 6%, so \( r = 0.06 \). Substituting these values, we get \( C(t) = C_{0} * (0.94)^t \). This is the function that describes the population of school-age children \( t \) years after 1980.
02

Calculate number of school-age children in 1994

Now we can use our decay function to calculate the number of school-aged children in 1994. This would be 14 years after 1980, so \( t = 14 \). The number of school-age children in 1994 is \( C(14) = C_{0} * (0.94)^{14} \). We want this as a percentage of the initial population, so we can express this in percentage terms as \( C(14) / C_{0} * 100 = 100 * (0.94)^{14} \% \).
03

Estimate when the population will be half its initial size

To find when the population of school-age children will be half of its initial size, we need to solve for \( t \) in the equation \( C(t) = 0.5 * C_{0} \). This gives us \( 0.5 = (0.94)^t \). To solve this equation for \( t \), use the logarithm base 0.94 of both sides: \( t = log_{0.94}(0.5) = ln(0.5) / ln(0.94) \), approximately 11.52 years after 1980, which would be towards the end of 1991. This value can be different based on the precision of the calculator used.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Exponential Decay Function
Understanding the exponential decay function is crucial when exploring how populations diminish over time. In essence, this represents a situation where a quantity decreases at a rate proportional to its current value. Think of it as a snowball getting smaller as it rolls down a hill—the bigger the snowball, the more snow it loses.

The general form of an exponential decay function is: \[ C(t) = C_{0} * (1 - r)^t \] Here, \( C_{0} \) represents the initial quantity (in our case, the initial population of school-age children), \( r \) is the decay rate (6% per year for Old Bethpage), and \( t \) stands for time, typically in years. In practice, this model allows us to predict the population at any given time and to visualize the decreasing trend of the population over time.

An exponential decay curve typically starts off steep and gradually flattens out, reflecting how the rate of decrease lessens as the quantity shrinks. This fundamental understanding helps us comprehend the behavior of various declining systems, from radioactive decay to the depreciation of car values.
Calculating Percentage Decrease
When faced with the need to understand the reduction in a population, calculating the percentage decrease can offer a clear picture. Percentage decrease is a way of quantifying the change in population, making it simpler to grasp.

To calculate the percentage decrease, you start with a reference value and compare it to a new, reduced value. In our Old Bethpage example, we want to find out how much the population in 1994 has decreased relative to 1980. The formula applied here is:\[ \text{Percentage decrease} = \left( \frac{C_{0} - C(t)}{C_{0}} \right) * 100 \% \] where \( C(t) \) denotes the later population. But since we are given a constant rate, this percentage decrease is expressed via the exponential decay function: \[ \text{Percentage in 1994} = 100 * (0.94)^{14} \% \]

This calculation underscores the relationship between time and the decreasing rate, providing a percentage that is easily communicated and compared. Understanding this concept helps in various realms: from biology, where it could represent a species population decline, to economics, where it might represent a drop in asset value.
Solving for Time in Exponential Equations
One often encounters the need to determine 'when' a particular event will happen, such as when a population will diminish to a certain level. Solving for time in exponential equations addresses this problem. In the context of Old Bethpage, we aim to find out when the population of school-age children will be half of what it was in 1980.

We start with the equation representing a half decrease: \[ C(t) = 0.5 * C_{0} \] Substituting our decay function into this equation gives us \[ 0.5 = (0.94)^t \]

To solve for \( t \), we employ logarithms, transforming the exponential equation into a linear one, which then becomes a matter of simple algebra:
\[ t = \frac{\ln(0.5)}{\ln(0.94)} \]

This step, called 'taking the logarithm,' turns multiplication into addition, and exponentiation into multiplication, bringing the variable \( t \) down where we can solve for it. The result gives us the time frame after 1980 when the population will reach our specified level. Being able to solve for time in such equations is a valuable skill in fields as varied as finance, environmental science, and public health, allowing prediction of future quantities based on current trends.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In the middle of the \(1994-95\) academic year, in the middle of the week, in the middle of the day, there was a bank robbery and subsequent shootout in the middle of Harvard Square. Throughout the afternoon the news spread by word-of- mouth. Suppose that at the time of the occurrence 30 people know the story. Every 15 minutes each person who knows the news passes it along to one other person. Let \(N(t)\) be the number of people who know at time \(t\). (a) Make a table with time in one column and \(N(t)\) in the other. Identify the pattern and write \(N\) as a function of \(t\). (b) If you've written your equation for \(N(t)\) with \(t\) in minutes, convert to hours. If you've done it in hours, convert to minutes. Make a table to check your answers. (It's easy to make a mistake the first time you do this.)

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