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Sales A company produces a new product for which it estimates the annual sales to be 8000 units. Suppose that in any given year \(10 \%\) of the units (regardless of age) will become inoperative. (a) How many units will be in use after \(n\) years? (b) Find the market stabilization level of the product.

Short Answer

Expert verified
To find the number of units still operative after \(n\) years, use the formula \(U_n = 8000 * 0.9^n\), and to find the market stabilization level, use the formula \(U = 8000/0.1\), which gives \(U=80000\).

Step by step solution

01

(a) Number of units still in use after \(n\) years

Let \(U_n\) be the number of units in use after \(n\) years. The initial number of units, \(U_0\), is 8000. Each year, 10% become inoperative. Therefore, 90% of the units are still operative each following year. We get an equation for the number of units in use after year \(n\) as: \(U_n = U_{n-1}(1 - 0.1) = U_{n-1}*0.9\), with \(U_0 = 8000\) units. Generalize this to get an equation for \(U_n\) with respect to \(U_0\): \(U_n = U_0 * 0.9^n\).
02

(a) Calculating the number of units over time

To get the number of items after \(n\) years, substitute the values \(U_0 = 8000\) and \(n\) as the required number of years into the equation: \(U_n = 8000 * 0.9^n\).
03

(b) Market stabilization level

Market stabilization occurs when the inflow of new units equals the outflow of inoperative units. Mathematically, this happens when \(8000 = U_n * 0.1\), where \(U_n\) is the number of units in use in the year \(n\). Hence, to find the market stabilization level, solve the equation \(U = 8000/0.1\) for \(U\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Market Stabilization
In the world of new products, companies aim for market stabilization. It is crucial as it dictates the balance between production and product loss. For a company that sells a product, achieving market stability means that the number of units sold equals those that become inoperable over time.

To understand this better, imagine a product where 8000 units are expected to be sold annually. If 10% of these units stop working (or become inoperable) every year, understanding stabilization is simple. Market stabilization occurs when the newly sold units match the count of the units becoming inactive due to factors like wear and tear or obsolescence.

Essentially, this means that if 800 units become inoperative in a year, the annual sales should match these 800 units to maintain equilibrium. Mathematically, it's represented as a point where the inflow equals the outflow. In our scenario, it happens when 800 new units are sold to replace the inoperable ones, thus preventing any net loss or gain in the total number of units in use.
Unit Longevity
Understanding unit longevity is essential when studying products and their lifecycles. This involves knowing how long a product remains effective or in use before it becomes inoperative.

For our example product, unit longevity is tied to the percentage of products that remain functional over time. If every year, 10% of the units become inoperative, then 90% of them stay functional for at least another year. This depicts a gradual decrease in the number of functioning units over time.

Expressing this mathematically, for an initial 8000 units produced, after one year, 7200 will be left operational. After two years, this number will further decrease to 6480. By calculating the units using the formula:
  • The number of units still functional after any number of years, denoted as \( U_n \)
  • The equation: \( U_n = 8000 \times 0.9^n \)
This equation gives a clear picture of how unit longevity diminishes steadily over the years, following a pattern of exponential decay.
Mathematical Modeling
Mathematical modeling is a powerful tool that simplifies complex processes into understandable formats. It uses mathematical expressions to represent these processes.

In this exercise, we used mathematical modeling to express the behavior of product units over time. By employing exponential decay, we derived a formula that shows how units decrease annually due to inoperability.

Key components in this modeling process include:
  • Exponential Decay: Regularly decreasing at a percentage rate every year, which in this case, is modeled by \( U_n = U_0 \times (1-0.1)^n \)
  • Stability Equation: Determining the balance point of sales and loss as \( 8000 = U_n \times 0.1 \)

Mathematical models like these not only predict outcomes but also help in strategizing product lifecycles and market dynamics. It shows clear and precise results which help businesses make informed decisions in achieving and maintaining market stabilization.

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