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The divorce rate in the United States (divorces per year) has been declining in recent years. The number of divorces per year is predicted to be \(1.02 e^{-0.02 t}\) million, where \(t\) is the number of years since 2010 . a. Find a formula for the total number of divorces within \(t\) years of 2010 . b. Use your formula to find the total number of divorces from 2010 to 2015 .

Short Answer

Expert verified
The formula for total divorces is \\( -51 e^{-0.02 t} + 51 \\), and about 4.455 million divorces occurred from 2010 to 2015.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We are given a formula for the number of divorces per year. This rate is modeled by the function \(f(t) = 1.02 e^{-0.02 t}\), where \(t\) is the number of years since 2010. Our tasks are to find the total number of divorces within \(t\) years from 2010, and to calculate this total over the period from 2010 to 2015.
02

Set Up the Integral for Total Divorces

Since the number of divorces per year is given by the function \(f(t) = 1.02 e^{-0.02 t}\), the total number of divorces over \(t\) years can be found by integrating this function with respect to \(t\). Thus, we need to set up the integral:\[ \int_0^t 1.02 e^{-0.02 x} \, dx \]
03

Integrate the Function

To integrate the function \(1.02 e^{-0.02 x}\), we apply the integration formula for an exponential function. The antiderivative of \(e^{ax}\) is \(\frac{1}{a} e^{ax}\) where \(a\) is a constant. Here, \(a = -0.02\), so:\[ \int 1.02 e^{-0.02 x} \, dx = 1.02 \left( -\frac{1}{0.02} e^{-0.02 x} \right) = -51 e^{-0.02 x} + C \]Here, \(C\) is the constant of integration, which will be determined by the limits of integration.
04

Evaluate the Definite Integral

Now, compute the definite integral from 0 to \(t\):\[ \int_0^t 1.02 e^{-0.02 x} \, dx = \left[ -51 e^{-0.02 x} \right]_0^t = -51 e^{-0.02 t} + 51 \]This gives us the formula for the total number of divorces within \(t\) years of 2010.
05

Find Total Divorces from 2010 to 2015

To find the total number of divorces from 2010 to 2015, substitute \(t = 5\) into the formula obtained:\[ -51 e^{-0.02 \times 5} + 51 = -51 e^{-0.1} + 51 \]Calculate \(e^{-0.1} \approx 0.9048\):\[ -51 \times 0.9048 + 51 = -46.5448 + 51 = 4.4552 \]Thus, approximately 4.455 million total divorces occurred from 2010 to 2015.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Exponential Functions
In applied calculus, exponential functions are often used to model natural phenomena or human behaviors that change at a constant proportional rate. The general form of an exponential function is \( f(t) = ab^{ct} \), where:
  • \( a \) is the initial amount or size;
  • \( b \) is the base of the exponential, representing growth if greater than 1 or decay if between 0 and 1;
  • \( t \) stands for the time variable;
  • \( c \) is a constant that affects the rate of change.

In our problem, the divorce rate is modeled by the function \( f(t) = 1.02 e^{-0.02 t} \). Here, \( 1.02 \) indicates the initial rate in millions, \( e^{-0.02 t} \) signifies a declining exponential function, which fits well for modeling the decrease in divorce rates over time.

Understanding this principle helps us interpret changes in the context of real-world scenarios, making exponential functions invaluable in many fields such as finance, biology, and social sciences.
Integration Techniques
To find the total number of divorces over a period, one must integrate the rate of divorces per year with respect to time. Integration is a fundamental technique in calculus, often used to determine the total accumulation of a quantity.
There are various integration techniques, but for exponential functions like \( f(t) = 1.02 e^{-0.02 t} \), recognizing the basic form \( e^{ax} \) is key. The integral of \( e^{ax} \) is \( \frac{1}{a} e^{ax} + C \), where \( C \) is the constant of integration. This technique involves using the antiderivative formula, which allows us to calculate areas under curves.

In the problem at hand, integrating \( 1.02 e^{-0.02 t} \) from 0 to \( t \) provides us with the total number of divorces over \( t \) years. By applying this integration technique, one can find practical solutions to real-life predictions about changing behaviors over time.
Definite Integrals
Definite integrals are used to calculate the total accumulation of a quantity over a specified interval. Unlike indefinite integrals, which provide a family of functions through a constant of integration, definite integrals give a precise value by evaluating the limits.
The formula for a definite integral is:\[ \int_{a}^{b} f(x) \, dx = F(b) - F(a) \]where \( F(x) \) is the antiderivative of \( f(x) \). This operation translates graphically to finding the area under the curve of \( f(x) \) from \( x = a \) to \( x = b \).

In solving the original exercise, we evaluated the definite integral of the function \( f(t) = 1.02 e^{-0.02 t} \) over the interval \( [0, 5] \), which provided an estimate of the total divorces between 2010 and 2015. Understanding definite integrals is crucial for accurately modeling and predicting cumulative quantities in applied calculus scenarios.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that a company found its sales rate (in sales per day) if it did advertise, and also its (lower) sales rate if it did not advertise. If you integrated "upper minus lower" over a month, describe the meaning of the number that you would find.

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How will \(\int_{a}^{b} f(x) d x\) and \(\int_{b}^{a} f(x) d x\) differ? [Hint: Assume that they can be evaluated by the Fundamental Theorem of Integral Calculus, and think how they will differ at the "evaluate and subtract" step.]

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