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After \(t\) days of advertisements for a new laundry detergent, the proportion of shoppers in a town who have seen the ads is \(1-e^{-0.03 t}\). How long must the ads run to reach: \(99 \%\) of the shoppers?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The ads must run for 154 days to reach 99% of the shoppers.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem Statement

The function describing the proportion of shoppers who have seen the ads is \(1-e^{-0.03t}\). We need to find the number of days \(t\) such that 99% (or 0.99) of the shoppers have seen the ad, i.e., \(1-e^{-0.03t} = 0.99\).
02

Set up the Equation

Set the expression for the proportion equal to 0.99: \(1-e^{-0.03t} = 0.99\).
03

Solve for the Exponential Term

Subtract 1 from both sides of the equation: \(-e^{-0.03t} = 0.99 - 1\). This simplifies to \(-e^{-0.03t} = -0.01\).
04

Eliminate the Negative Sign

Divide both sides by -1: \(e^{-0.03t} = 0.01\).
05

Apply the Natural Logarithm

Take the natural logarithm of both sides to solve for \(t\): \(-0.03t = \ln(0.01)\).
06

Solve for t

Divide both sides by -0.03 to isolate \(t\): \[t = \frac{\ln(0.01)}{-0.03}\].
07

Calculate the Value of t

Calculate \(\ln(0.01)\) which is approximately -4.6052. Then substitute back to find \(t\): \[t \approx \frac{-4.6052}{-0.03} = 153.51\]. Since \(t\) must be a whole number, we'll round up to 154 days.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Natural Logarithm
The natural logarithm, often denoted as \( \ln(x) \), is a mathematical function that is crucial when dealing with exponential equations, especially in the context of growth and decay processes. It is based on the constant \( e \), approximately equal to 2.71828, which is the base of natural logarithms. When you see \( \ln(x) \), you are essentially asking, "To what power must \( e \) be raised to produce \( x \)?"
This concept is particularly important when solving equations involving exponential terms, such as \( e^{-0.03t} = 0.01 \) from the exercise.
  • Natural logarithms help to "undo" exponential functions, making it easier to solve for unknown variables.
  • By taking the natural logarithm of both sides of an equation, you can linearize an otherwise complex exponential relationship.
  • In our context, taking \( \ln(0.01) \) turns the equation from exponential into a simple linear form \(-0.03t = \ln(0.01)\).
Mathematical Modeling
Mathematical modeling involves creating a mathematical representation of a real-life scenario. This involves using equations, functions, or systems of equations to simulate how processes or phenomena might behave under different conditions.
In the given problem, the model used is \( 1 - e^{-0.03t} \), which represents the proportion of shoppers who have seen an advertisement over time \( t \).
This model assumes:
  • The number of people who see the advertisement increases over time
  • The growth rate decreases over time, a common feature in scenarios governed by exponential decay.
Mathematical models are powerful because:
  • They allow us to predict future outcomes based on current data, such as how long ads need to run to reach a certain percentage of viewers.
  • You can adjust model parameters to explore different scenarios, enhancing strategic decision-making.
Problem-Solving Process
Solving mathematical problems efficiently requires a structured process, particularly for complex scenarios involving exponential growth or decay. The problem-solving process we followed in the exercise can be outlined as follows:
  • **Understand the problem:** Clearly define what you're solving. In this case, determining how long it takes for 99% of shoppers to see the ad.
  • **Set up the equation:** Translate the problem into a mathematical equation, such as \( 1 - e^{-0.03t} = 0.99 \).
  • **Solve the equation:** Rearrange the equation step by step until you isolate the variable of interest (here, \( t \)).
  • **Use appropriate mathematical tools:** Apply tools such as the natural logarithm to simplify the equation.
  • **Calculate the solution:** Substitute any known values and perform the arithmetic to reach a numerical solution.
  • **Verify:** Double-check the solution to ensure it makes sense, especially when rounding is involved.
By following these steps, particularly the use of both qualitative assessments and quantitative tools, students can improve their accuracy and confidence in solving similar problems with exponential growth models.

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