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91Ó°ÊÓ

For the most recent year available, the mean annual cost to attend a private university in the United States was \(\$ 42,224 .\) Assume the distribution of annual costs follows the normal probability distribution and the standard deviation is \(\$ 4,500 .\) Ninety-five percent of all students at private universities pay less than what amount?

Short Answer

Expert verified
95% of students pay less than $49,627 at most.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Known Values

We are provided with the mean annual cost, which is \( \mu = 42,224 \) dollars, and the standard deviation, \( \sigma = 4,500 \) dollars. We need to determine the amount below which 95% of the costs fall, corresponding to the 95th percentile of the distribution.
02

Understand the Normal Distribution

In a normal distribution, the area under the curve represents probability. The 95th percentile indicates the point where the cumulative probability reaches 0.95. In a standard normal distribution, this corresponds to a z-score of about 1.645 (for a one-tailed test).
03

Calculate the 95th Percentile

The z-score formula relates the z-score to the amount \( X \) using the equation: \[ X = \mu + z \cdot \sigma \] Insert the known values: \( \mu = 42,224 \), \( \sigma = 4,500 \), and \( z = 1.645 \).
04

Solve the Equation

Plug the values into the equation: \[ X = 42,224 + 1.645 \times 4,500 \] This calculation results in: \[ X = 42,224 + 7,402.5 = 49,626.5 \] dollars.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Mean
The mean, often referred to as the average, is a measure of central tendency. It provides a single value that represents the center point of a dataset. In the context of a normal distribution, the mean is depicted right at the center of the bell curve. For the annual cost to attend a private university, the mean is given as \( \\(42,224 \).
  • This means that if you sum up all the costs of attending these universities and divide by the number of universities, you'd get \( \\)42,224 \).
  • The mean is a key component when working with distributions because it helps locate where most data points congregate.
With a normal distribution, data spreads evenly around the mean, which simplifies the prediction of future data based on past data. This predictability is one of the reasons why understanding the mean is so crucial.
Exploring Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of how spread out the numbers in a data set are. In a normal distribution, it tells us how much values deviate from the mean.
  • A small standard deviation means that most of the data points are close to the mean, leading to a steep, narrow bell curve.
  • A larger standard deviation indicates that data points are more spread out, creating a flatter, wider bell.
For the private university cost data, the standard deviation is \(\\(4,500\). This tells us that the costs typically vary by about \(\\)4,500\) from the mean of \(\$42,224\).Understanding standard deviation helps in comprehending the variability or consistency of data—essential when analyzing data distributions.
Defining Percentile
A percentile is a measure that indicates the relative standing of a value within a dataset. When discussing percentiles, we look at how a particular value compares to the others in the dataset.
  • The term '95th percentile' refers to the point below which 95% of the data falls. For the university cost problem, we are interested in finding the cost point where only 5% of the values are greater.
  • Percentiles are vital in understanding what proportion of the data falls below a particular value and are used in many fields, such as finance, education, and health statistics.
Working with percentiles allows us to describe data points in relation to the entire dataset, providing insight into how extreme or typical certain values are.
Understanding Z-Score
The z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's position relative to the mean of a group of values. It tells us how many standard deviations away a point is from the mean.
  • In the context of normal distribution, a z-score helps find the percentile rank of a value.
  • For instance, a z-score of 0 means the value is exactly at the mean, while a positive z-score indicates it is above the mean.
  • A z-score of 1.645, as used in this problem, is significant because it corresponds to the 95th percentile in a normal distribution.
Calculating the z-score helps us translate between the standard normal distribution and the actual dataset, making it crucial for estimating probabilities and determining percentile rankings.

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