/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 57 Did you ever purchase a bag of M... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Did you ever purchase a bag of M\&M's candies and wonder about the distribution of colors? Did you know in the beginning they were all brown? Now, peanut M\&M's are \(12 \%\) brown, \(15 \%\) yellow, \(12 \%\) red, \(23 \%\) blue, \(23 \%\) orange, and \(15 \%\) green. A 6 -oz. bag purchased at the Book Store at Coastal Carolina University had 14 brown, 13 yellow, 14 red, 12 blue, 7 orange, and 12 green. Is it reasonable to conclude that the actual distribution agrees with the expected distribution? Use the .05 significance level. Conduct your own trial. Be sure to share with your instructor.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The observed distribution does not match the expected distribution.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We need to determine if the observed distribution of M&M colors in the sample bag matches the expected distribution given by the manufacturer (12% brown, 15% yellow, 12% red, 23% blue, 23% orange, and 15% green). We'll use a chi-squared test for goodness of fit at a 0.05 significance level.
02

Calculate Expected Frequencies

First, sum up the observed frequencies: 14 (brown) + 13 (yellow) + 14 (red) + 12 (blue) + 7 (orange) + 12 (green) = 72 candies total. Calculate the expected frequency for each color based on the given percentages: \[\begin{align*}\text{Brown: } & 0.12 \times 72 = 8.64, \\text{Yellow: } & 0.15 \times 72 = 10.8, \\text{Red: } & 0.12 \times 72 = 8.64, \\text{Blue: } & 0.23 \times 72 = 16.56, \\text{Orange: } & 0.23 \times 72 = 16.56, \\text{Green: } & 0.15 \times 72 = 10.8.\end{align*}\]
03

Compute Chi-Squared Statistic

Using the formula \(\chi^2 = \sum \frac{(O_i - E_i)^2}{E_i}\), where \(O_i\) are the observed frequencies and \(E_i\) are the expected frequencies. Calculate:\[\begin{align*}\chi^2 = & \frac{(14 - 8.64)^2}{8.64} + \frac{(13 - 10.8)^2}{10.8} + \frac{(14 - 8.64)^2}{8.64} \& + \frac{(12 - 16.56)^2}{16.56} + \frac{(7 - 16.56)^2}{16.56} + \frac{(12 - 10.8)^2}{10.8} \approx 11.389.\end{align*}\]
04

Determine Degrees of Freedom

The degrees of freedom for the chi-squared test is \(k - 1\), where \(k\) is the number of categories. Here, \(k = 6\), so the degrees of freedom is \(6 - 1 = 5\).
05

Compare with Critical Value

Using a chi-squared distribution table, find the critical value for \(5\) degrees of freedom and \(\alpha = 0.05\), which is approximately \(11.07\). Compare the calculated \(\chi^2\) value (11.389) with this critical value.
06

Conclude Based on Comparison

Since the calculated \(\chi^2\) value (11.389) is greater than the critical value (11.07), we reject the null hypothesis. This suggests the observed distribution does not match the expected distribution at the 0.05 significance level.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Expected Frequency
In a Chi-squared test for goodness of fit, expected frequency refers to the theoretical count of occurrences for each category in your sample. These frequencies are derived from the known or hypothesized proportions. To clarify, let's consider the candy color exercise. Here, the expected frequencies are calculated using the percentages provided by the manufacturer. For instance, if brown candies are expected to make up 12% of a total of 72 candies, the expected frequency for brown is calculated as: \[ 0.12 \times 72 = 8.64 \] This mathematical step is repeated for each color based on their specified percentages. These computed expected frequencies allow us to later compare against the observed frequencies in our statistical test.
Observed Frequency
Observed frequency represents the actual number of times a particular outcome occurs in a data set. In our exercise with M&M's, the observed frequency refers to the real count of each candy color seen in the sample bag. For example, the observed frequency of brown candies was 14. Understanding observed frequencies is critical because they are directly compared with expected frequencies. This comparison helps to determine if there is a significant difference between what we see in reality versus what was expected. Observed frequencies are the backbone of the Chi-squared test, as they provide the empirical evidence needed to evaluate hypotheses.
Degrees of Freedom
Degrees of freedom are a concept that helps determine the flexibility of a statistical test. In the context of the Chi-squared test for goodness of fit, degrees of freedom indicate the number of values that can vary in your final calculation once constraints are applied. The formula used is: \[ k - 1 \] where \( k \) is the total number of categories. Applied to our problem, we have six color categories: brown, yellow, red, blue, orange, and green. Hence: \[ 6 - 1 = 5 \] This result means our test will have 5 degrees of freedom. It's crucial because it influences the critical value we refer to when determining whether to reject or accept the null hypothesis.
Significance Level
The significance level, often denoted as \( \alpha \), is a threshold for determining the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis in a hypothesis test. In this exercise, we use a significance level of 0.05, which is a common choice in many statistical tests. This means there is a 5% risk of concluding that a difference exists when there is none (Type I error). The chosen significance level directly impacts the critical value obtained from Chi-squared distribution tables. If the calculated Chi-squared statistic exceeds the critical value at the given significance level, we reject the null hypothesis. Here, since our calculated \( \chi^2 \) value of 11.389 is greater than the critical value of 11.07 at 5% significance, it indicates a statistically significant difference from the expected candy distributions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

GfK Research North America conducted identical surveys 5 years apart. One question asked of women was "Are most men basically kind, gentle, and thoughtful?" The earlier survey revealed that, of the 3,000 women surveyed, 2,010 said that they were. The later survey revealed 1,530 of the 3,000 women thought that men were kind, gentle, and thoughtful. At the .05 level, can we conclude that women think men are less kind, gentle, and thoughtful in the later survey compared with the earlier one?

A study was conducted to determine if there was a difference in the humor content in British and American trade magazine advertisements. In an independent random sample of 270 American trade magazine advertisements, 56 were humorous. An independent random sample of 203 British trade magazines contained 52 humorous ads. Do these data provide evidence at the .05 significance level that there is a difference in the proportion of humorous ads in British versus American trade magazines?

The policy of the Suburban Transit Authority is to add a bus route if more than \(55 \%\) of the potential commuters indicate they would use the particular route. A sample of 70 commuters revealed that 42 would use a proposed route from Bowman Park to the downtown area. Does the Bowman-to-downtown route meet the STA criterion? Use the .05 significance level.

Banner Mattress and Furniture Company wishes to study the number of credit applications received per day for the last 300 days. The sample information is reported below. To interpret, there were 50 days on which no credit applications were received, 77 days on which only one application was received, and so on. Would it be reasonable to conclude that the population distribution is Poisson with a mean of 2.0 ? Use the .05 significance level. (Hint: To find the expected frequencies, use the Poisson distribution with a mean of \(2.0 .\) Find the probability of exactly one success given a Poisson distribution with a mean of 2.0. Multiply this probability by 300 to find the expected frequency for the number of days on which there was exactly one application. Determine the expected frequency for the other days in a similar manner.)

From experience, the bank credit card department of Carolina Bank knows that \(5 \%\) of its cardholders have had some high school, \(15 \%\) have completed high school, \(25 \%\) have had some college, and \(55 \%\) have completed college. Of the 500 cardholders whose cards have been called in for failure to pay their charges this month, 50 had some high school, 100 had completed high school, 190 had some college, and 160 had completed college. Can we conclude that the distribution of cardholders who do not pay their charges is different from all others? Use the .01 significance level.

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