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The annual commissions earned by sales representatives of Machine Products, Inc., \(a\) manufacturer of light machinery, follow the normal probability distribution. The mean yearly amount earned is \(\$ 40,000\) and the standard deviation is \(\$ 5,000\). a. What percent of the sales representatives earn more than \(\$ 42,000\) per year? b. What percent of the sales representatives earn between \(\$ 32,000\) and \(\$ 42,000 ?\) c. What percent of the sales representatives earn between \(\$ 32,000\) and \(\$ 35,000 ?\) d. The sales manager wants to award the sales representatives who earn the largest commissions a bonus of \(\$ 1,000\). He can award a bonus to 20 percent of the representatives. What is the cutoff point between those who earn a bonus and those who do not?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 34.46%, b. 60.06%, c. 10.39%, d. $44,200.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We need to use the properties of the normal distribution, where the mean (\(\mu\)) is \(\\(40,000\) and the standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) is \(\\)5,000\). We will apply the standard normal distribution (Z-score) to find the required percentages and cutoff points.
02

Calculate Z-Score for $42,000

For part (a), we need to calculate the Z-score for earnings of \$42,000 using the formula:\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]where \(X = 42,000\), \(\mu = 40,000\), and \(\sigma = 5,000\). Plugging in the values:\[ Z = \frac{42,000 - 40,000}{5,000} = \frac{2,000}{5,000} = 0.4 \]
03

Find Percent for Z > 0.4

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, find the probability for \( Z > 0.4 \). This gives us the percentage of sales reps earning more than \\(42,000.The probability for \( Z < 0.4 \) is approximately 0.6554. So, the probability for \( Z > 0.4 \) is:\[ 1 - 0.6554 = 0.3446 \]Thus, approximately 34.46% of sales representatives earn more than \\)42,000.
04

Calculate Z-Scores for $32,000 and $42,000

For part (b), calculate the Z-scores for \\(32,000 and \\)42,000.For \\(32,000:\[ Z = \frac{32,000 - 40,000}{5,000} = \frac{-8,000}{5,000} = -1.6 \]Using previously calculated \(Z\) for \\)42,000, which is 0.4.
05

Find Percent for Z between -1.6 and 0.4

Using the Z-score table or calculator, find the probability for \( Z < -1.6 \) and \( Z < 0.4 \).\( P(Z < -1.6) \approx 0.0548 \)The probability for \(-1.6 < Z < 0.4\) is:\[ P(Z < 0.4) - P(Z < -1.6) = 0.6554 - 0.0548 = 0.6006 \]So, 60.06% of sales representatives earn between \\(32,000 and \\)42,000.
06

Calculate Z-Scores for $32,000 and $35,000

For part (c), calculate the Z-score for \\(35,000.For \\)35,000:\[ Z = \frac{35,000 - 40,000}{5,000} = \frac{-5,000}{5,000} = -1 \]Now, use the Z-score table to find probabilities for \( Z < -1 \).
07

Find Percent for Z between -1.6 and -1

Find the probability for \( Z < -1 \). \( P(Z < -1) \approx 0.1587 \)The probability for \(-1.6 < Z < -1\) is:\[ P(Z < -1) - P(Z < -1.6) = 0.1587 - 0.0548 = 0.1039 \]So, 10.39% of sales representatives earn between \\(32,000 and \\)35,000.
08

Determine Z-Score for Top 20%

For part (d), we need to find the Z-score corresponding to the top 20%.We need the cutoff point where \( P(Z > z) = 0.20 \), which is equivalent to \( P(Z < z) = 0.80 \).From Z-tables, \( Z \approx 0.84 \) for \( P(Z < 0.84) = 0.80 \).
09

Calculate Cutoff Earnings

Convert the Z-score back to earnings using the formula:\[ X = Z \cdot \sigma + \mu \]\[ X = 0.84 \cdot 5,000 + 40,000 \]\[ X = 4,200 + 40,000 = 44,200 \]The cutoff point for earning a bonus is \$44,200.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score
The Z-score is an important measure in statistics that tells us how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean of its distribution. In simpler terms, it helps us understand where a particular score stands in relation to other data. A high positive Z-score indicates a data point that is much higher than the mean, while a high negative Z-score indicates one that is much lower.

To calculate the Z-score, you can use the formula:

\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]

Where:
  • \(X\) is the value you want to evaluate.
  • \(\mu\) is the mean of the data set.
  • \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.
Using the Z-score, we can determine how rare or common a particular value is within a distribution. For example, a Z-score of 0.4 indicates the value is 0.4 standard deviations above the mean, which is a fairly common occurrence in a normal distribution.
standard deviation
Standard deviation (SD) is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. A low standard deviation means that the values tend to be close to the mean, whereas a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a larger range.

Standard deviation is a crucial concept in the normal distribution because it helps define the shape of the curve. A small standard deviation results in a narrow, tall curve, indicating that most data points are clustered around the mean. Conversely, a large standard deviation means a wider, flatter curve, showing that data points are spread out over a larger range.

Mathematically, standard deviation is calculated using the formula:

\[ \sigma = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{N} (X_i - \mu)^2 } \]

Where:
  • \(N\) is the number of data points.
  • \(X_i\) is each individual data point.
  • \(\mu\) is the mean of the data set.

In the context of our exercise, the standard deviation of $$5,000 represents how much the annual commissions of the sales representatives vary from the mean of $40,000.
probability distribution
A probability distribution is a statistical function that describes all the possible values and likelihoods that a random variable can take within a given range. The normal distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for real-valued random variables.

This distribution is symmetric about its mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean. The normal distribution is often referred to as a "bell curve" because of its bell-shaped appearance.

In a normal distribution:
  • The mean, median, and mode are all equal.
  • The curve is symmetric with respect to the mean.
  • The area under the curve represents the total probability, which is 1 or 100%.
The further a point is from the mean, the less likely it is. This allows us to calculate probabilities of certain outcomes, such as finding the proportion of data laying between two values, or above a certain value, which is precisely what the exercise involves with computing the percentages of sales representatives earning more than or between given amounts.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A normal population has a mean of 12.2 and a standard deviation of 2.5 a. Compute the \(z\) value associated with 14.3 . b. What proportion of the population is between 12.2 and \(14.3 ?\) c. What proportion of the population is less than \(10.0 ?\)

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