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The accounting department at Weston Materials, Inc., a national manufacturer of unattached garages, reports that it takes two construction workers a mean of 32 hours and a standard deviation of 2 hours to erect the Red Barn model. Assume the assembly times follow the normal distribution. a. Determine the \(z\) values for 29 and 34 hours. What percent of the garages take between 32 hours and 34 hours to erect? b. What percent of the garages take between 29 hours and 34 hours to erect? c. What percent of the garages take 28.7 hours or less to erect? d. Of the garages, 5 percent take how many hours or more to erect?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 34.13%; b. 77.45%; c. 4.95%; d. 35.29 hours or more.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Z-Scores

For both parts of the exercise, we'll need to calculate Z-scores. The Z-score formula is \( z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \), where \( X \) is the observation, \( \mu \) is the mean, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation. For 29 hours: \[ z(29) = \frac{29 - 32}{2} = -1.5 \]For 34 hours: \[ z(34) = \frac{34 - 32}{2} = 1 \]
02

Percent Between 32 and 34 Hours

We use the Z-scores to find probabilities from standard normal distribution tables or a calculator. For 34 hours (\( z = 1 \)), the cumulative probability is approximately 0.8413. For 32 hours (\( z = 0 \)), the cumulative probability is 0.5. The percentage for garages taking between 32 and 34 hours is: \[ 0.8413 - 0.5 = 0.3413 \]This is 34.13%.
03

Percent Between 29 and 34 Hours

Using the cumulative probabilities for the Z-scores: For 29 hours (\( z = -1.5 \)), the cumulative probability is approximately 0.0668. For 34 hours (\( z = 1 \)), this remains 0.8413. The percentage of garages taking between 29 and 34 hours is: \[ 0.8413 - 0.0668 = 0.7745 \]This is 77.45%.
04

Percent 28.7 Hours or Less

Now calculate the Z-score for 28.7 hours: \[ z(28.7) = \frac{28.7 - 32}{2} = -1.65 \]The cumulative probability for the Z-score \( z = -1.65 \) is approximately 0.0495, meaning 4.95% of garages take 28.7 hours or less.
05

Determine Time Corresponding to 95th Percentile

The 95th percentile (i.e., 5% take longer) corresponds to a Z-score of approximately 1.645. We use this Z-score to find the hours:Set the equation \( X = \mu + z \times \sigma \): \[ X = 32 + 1.645 \times 2 = 35.29 \]So, 5% of garages take 35.29 hours or more to erect.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score
The Z-score is a measure that shows how many standard deviations an element is from the mean of the data set. In simple terms, it's a way to compare points from different normal distributions. When we talk about standard deviations, we are talking about how much a set of values is spread out from their average.The Z-score is calculated using the formula: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]where:
  • \(X\) is the value we are interested in.
  • \(\mu\) is the mean of the distribution.
  • \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.
For instance, if you have a Z-score of 1, it tells you that your value is one standard deviation above the mean. If it’s -1, it’s one standard deviation below. Z-scores give reference points on the normal distribution curve, which can be used to find probabilities and make comparisons between different data points.
Cumulative Probability
Cumulative Probability answers the question: "How likely is it that a value randomly picked from the distribution is less than or equal to a certain threshold?" Imagine stacking probabilities as you move along a curve from left to right. In the context of the normal distribution, cumulative probability is the area under the curve up to that point. To find this probability, you use a Z-score and a standard normal distribution table or a calculator. For example, a cumulative probability of 0.5 indicates the median of the data. Let’s break it down:
  • A Z-score of 0 represents the mean, and since the curve is symmetric, half of the data is below this point, leading to a cumulative probability of 0.5.
  • With a Z-score of 1, approximately 84% of the data falls below this value, reflecting a cumulative probability of 0.8413.
Thus, cumulative probabilities are essential for determining the likelihood of data points occurring beneath a certain threshold.
Percentiles
Percentiles are values below which a certain percent of observations fall. They divide a distribution into 100 equal parts. So, the 50th percentile marks the median, where half the observations are below. When working with normal distributions, understanding percentiles helps identify positions within the distribution:
  • The 5th percentile (where 5% of values fall below) might correspond to a very low point in a distribution, meaning it's rare or unusual.
  • The 95th percentile (where 95% of values are below) illustrates a high point, signaling that values above this are uncommon. For instance, if a time corresponds to the 95th percentile, only 5% of garages take longer than this time to erect.
Percentiles are frequently used in assessments, like standardized testing, to rank test performance and determine standings among peers.
Standard Deviation
The Standard Deviation is a key metric in statistics that measures the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. It provides an indication of how much individual values in a data set diverge from the mean. To compute it, follow these steps:
  • Calculate the mean of the data set.
  • Subtract the mean from each value to find the deviation of each observation.
  • Square each deviation.
  • Find the mean of these squared deviations.
  • Take the square root of this mean, which gives you the standard deviation.
A small standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be very close to the mean, while a large standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider range. In our example, the standard deviation of 2 hours implies most tasks fall within 2 hours above or below the mean time. It's a useful measure in many fields, from finance to scientific research, to understand the distribution of data around the mean.

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