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All Seasons Plumbing has two service trucks that frequently break down. If the probability the first truck is available is .75, the probability the second truck is available is . \(50,\) and the probability that both trucks are available is .30, what is the probability neither truck is available?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that neither truck is available is 0.05.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Given Probabilities

Given: \(P(A) = 0.75\), where \(A\) is the event of the first truck being available, and \(P(B) = 0.50\), where \(B\) is the event of the second truck being available. The probability that both trucks are available is \(P(A \cap B) = 0.30\).
02

Calculate Probability When At Least One Truck is Available

To find the probability when at least one truck is available, we use the formula for union of two events: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \]Substitute the given values:\[ P(A \cup B) = 0.75 + 0.50 - 0.30 = 0.95 \]
03

Calculate Probability Neither Truck is Available

The probability that neither truck is available is the complement of the probability that at least one truck is available. So, \[ P(\text{neither truck is available}) = 1 - P(A \cup B) \]Substitute the value we calculated:\[ P(\text{neither truck is available}) = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Complement Rule
The Complement Rule is a fundamental idea in probability theory. It assists in determining the probability that an event does not occur by providing a simple and efficient formula. In this rule, if you know the probability of an event happening, the probability of the event not happening (complement of the event) can easily be found.

Mathematically, the Complement Rule states:
  • Let the probability of an event occurring be represented as \( P(A) \).
  • The probability of the event not occurring is \( P(A^c) \), which is the complement of \( P(A) \).
  • The equation is: \[ P(A^c) = 1 - P(A) \]
In our plumbing truck scenario, once we found the probability of at least one truck being available, we used the Complement Rule to determine the probability that neither truck was available. By subtracting \( 0.95 \) from \( 1 \), we found that there is a \( 0.05 \) (or 5%) chance that both trucks are out of service.
Union of Events
The Union of Events concept is often utilized to calculate the probability of at least one of multiple events occurring. It represents the culmination of "either-or" scenarios in probability theory. The formula for finding the probability of the union of two events \( A \) and \( B \) helps in understanding how multiple outcomes can interact with one another.

Here is the formula for the union of two events:
  • \( P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \)
This formula accounts for the overlap between \( A \) and \( B \), denoted by \( P(A \cap B) \), which represents the probability of both events occurring simultaneously. By subtracting \( P(A \cap B) \), we ensure that this overlapping probability isn't counted twice.

In the exercise with the two trucks:
  • \( P(A) \) is the probability the first truck is available, which is \( 0.75 \).
  • \( P(B) \) is the probability the second truck is available, which is \( 0.50 \).
  • We already know \( P(A \cap B) = 0.30 \).
By substituting these values into the formula, we calculated \( P(A \cup B) = 0.95 \), representing the chance that at least one of the trucks is operational.
Independent Events
In probability theory, events are termed 'independent' when the occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other. Understanding whether events are independent or dependent is crucial to solving many probability-related problems.

For independent events:
  • The probability of both events \( A \) and \( B \) occurring simultaneously is the product of their probabilities: \[ P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) \]
If the given probabilities do not satisfy this relationship, the events are dependent.

In the truck problem:
  • We have \( P(A \cap B) = 0.30 \).
  • For true independence, we would expect \( P(A) \times P(B) = 0.75 \times 0.50 = 0.375 \).
Since \( P(A \cap B) = 0.30 \), not \( 0.375 \), these events are dependent. Thus, the availability of one truck has some effect on the availability of the other, indicating dependency rather than independence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The board of directors of a small company consists of five people. Three of those are "strong leaders." If they buy an idea, the entire board will agree. The other "weak" members have no influence. Three salespeople are scheduled, one after the other, to make sales presentations to a board member of the salesperson's choice. The salespeople are convincing but do not know who the "strong leaders" are. However, they will know who the previous salespeople spoke to. The first salesperson to find a strong leader will win the account. Do the three salespeople have the same chance of winning the account? If not, find their respective probabilities of winning.

There are 20 families living in the Willbrook Farms Development. Of these families 10 prepared their own federal income taxes for last year, 7 had their taxes prepared by a local professional, and the remaining 3 by H\&R Block. a. What is the probability of selecting a family that prepared their own taxes? b. What is the probability of selecting two families both of which prepared their own taxes? c. What is the probability of selecting three families, all of which prepared their own taxes? d. What is the probability of selecting two families, neither of which had their taxes prepared by H\&R Block?

Refer to Exercise \(56,\) but assume there are 10 homes in the Quail Creek area and four of them have a security system. Three homes are selected at random: a. What is the probability all three of the selected homes have a security system? b. What is the probability none of the three selected homes have a security system? c. What is the probability at least one of the selected homes has a security system? d. Did you assume the events to be dependent or independent?

The chair of the board of directors says, "There is a 50 percent chance this company will earn a profit, a 30 percent chance it will break even, and a 20 percent chance it will lose money next quarter." a. Use an addition rule to find the probability the company will not lose money next quarter. b. Use the complement rule to find the probability it will not lose money next quarter.

For the daily lottery game in Illinois, participants select three numbers between 0 and \(9 .\) A number cannot be selected more than once, so a winning ticket could be, say, 307 but not 337 . Purchasing one ticket allows you to select one set of numbers. The winning numbers are announced on TV each night. a. How many different outcomes (three-digit numbers) are possible? b. If you purchase a ticket for the game tonight, what is the likelihood you will win? c. Suppose you purchase three tickets for tonight's drawing and select a different number for each ticket. What is the probability that you will not win with any of the tickets?

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