/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 22 A study by the National Park Ser... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A study by the National Park Service revealed that 50 percent of vacationers going to the Rocky Mountain region visit Yellowstone Park, 40 percent visit the Tetons, and 35 percent visit both. a. What is the probability a vacationer will visit at least one of these attractions? b. What is the probability .35 called? c. Are the events mutually exclusive? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.55; b. Joint probability; c. Not mutually exclusive.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Probabilities

First, let's identify the given probabilities in the problem:- Let \( P(Y) \) be the probability of visiting Yellowstone Park, which is 0.50.- Let \( P(T) \) be the probability of visiting the Tetons, which is 0.40.- Let \( P(Y \cap T) \) be the probability of visiting both, which is 0.35.
02

Calculate the Probability of Visiting at Least One

To find the probability that a vacationer will visit at least one of these attractions, we use the formula for the union of two events:\[ P(Y \cup T) = P(Y) + P(T) - P(Y \cap T) \]Substitute the given probabilities into the equation:\[ P(Y \cup T) = 0.50 + 0.40 - 0.35 \]Calculate the result:\[ P(Y \cup T) = 0.55 \]
03

Identify the Probability Name

Probability 0.35 is the probability that a vacationer will visit *both* Yellowstone Park and the Tetons. This is called the **joint probability**.
04

Determine if Events are Mutually Exclusive

Events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time. Since there is a probability (0.35) that a vacationer visits both attractions, these events are not mutually exclusive.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
In probability theory, events are classified as mutually exclusive if they cannot occur simultaneously. Imagine you are flipping a coin; getting heads and tails on the same single flip is impossible. Those outcomes are mutually exclusive. In the context of our exercise, we need to determine if visiting Yellowstone Park and the Tetons are mutually exclusive events. That means, can a vacationer visit both places at the same time?

The term mutually exclusive means that the occurrence of one event makes the other impossible. If you have two events, say A and B, they are mutually exclusive if the probability of both A and B occurring together, denoted as \( P(A \cap B) \), is zero. In our exercise, the probability \( P(Y \cap T) = 0.35\), which indicates that 35% of vacationers visit both parks. Since this probability is positive and not zero, the events of visiting Yellowstone and the Tetons are not mutually exclusive. This tells us that a vacationer can indeed visit both attractions on the same trip.

Always remember: mutually exclusive events mean one or the other can occur but not both. In contrast, our example shows that both events can happen together. This is an essential distinction in probability.
Joint Probability
Joint probability refers to the probability of two events occurring simultaneously. It's incredibly useful for determining how two different scenarios can interact. Let's consider the joint probability in the exercise at hand, where 35% of vacationers visit both Yellowstone and the Tetons.

Joint probability is represented by the expression \( P(A \cap B) \), where \( A \) and \( B \) are two events. In this case, our events are visiting Yellowstone Park and visiting the Tetons. We've been given \( P(Y \cap T) = 0.35 \), which means that there is a 35% chance a visitor will see both parks. This joint probability tells us about the overlap between the two events.

Understanding joint probability helps us see the relationship between actions or events. In this context, it means evaluating how likely it is that a vacationer experiences both venues. It's a fundamental concept when examining how different probabilities combine. If you were exploring more complex networks of events, joint probability allows you to map out potential outcomes comprehensively.
Union of Events
The union of events concept in probability involves calculating the probability of either one event or both occurring. It is symbolized as \( A \cup B \) and interpreted as the likelihood that either event A happens, event B happens, or both happen.

To compute the union of events, we use the formula: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \] This calculation considers the probability of both events happening twice, so we subtract it to account for that overlap.

In the given problem, vacationers visiting at least one of the attractions – Yellowstone Park or the Tetons – is represented by \( P(Y \cup T) \). Plugging in the numbers, \[ P(Y \cup T) = 0.50 + 0.40 - 0.35 = 0.55 \] indicating a 55% chance that a vacationer visits at least one of the sites.

The union of events thus helps us comprehend how probabilities stack when considering multiple potential outcomes. It elegantly handles overlapping probabilities to give an accurate measure of combined likelihood across different scenarios.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A large company that must hire a new president prepares a final list of five candidates, all of whom are equally qualified. Two of these candidates are members of a minority group. To avoid bias in the selection of the candidate, the company decides to select the president by lottery. a. \(2 / 5\) or.4 b. Classical a. What is the probability one of the minority candidates is hired? b. Which concept of probability did you use to make this estimate?

An Internet company located in Southern California has season tickets to the Los Angeles Lakers basketbal games. The company president always invites one of the four vice presidents to attend games with him, and claims he selects the person to attend at random. One of the four vice presidents has not been invited to attend any of the last five Lakers home games. What is the likelihood this could be due to chance?

A student is taking two courses, history and math. The probability the student will pass the history course is \(.60,\) and the probability of passing the math course is \(.70 .\) The probability of passing both is .50. What is the probability of passing at least one?

Armco, a manufacturer of traffic light systems, found that under accelerated- life tests, 95 percent of the newly developed systems lasted 3 years before failing to change signals properly. a. If a city purchased four of these systems, what is the probability all four systems would operate properly for at least 3 years? b. Which rule of probability does this illustrate? c. Using letters to represent the four systems, write an equation to show how you arrived at the answer to part (a).

Ninety students will graduate from Lima Shawnee High School this spring. Of the 90 students, 50 are planning to attend college. Two students are to be picked at random to carry flags at the graduation. a. What is the probability both of the selected students plan to attend college? b. What is the probability one of the two selected students plans to attend college?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.