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91Ó°ÊÓ

A random sample of 85 group leaders, supervisors, and similar personnel at General Motorss revealed that, on the average, they spent 6.5 years on the job before being promoted. The standard deviation of the sample was 1.7 years. Construct a 95 percent confidence interval.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval is (6.14, 6.86) years.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Sample Mean

The sample mean (\( \bar{x}\)) is the average number of years spent on the job before being promoted, which is given as 6.5 years.
02

Determine the Standard Deviation

The standard deviation (\( s \)) of the sample is provided as 1.7 years.
03

Find the Sample Size

The sample size (\( n \)) is the number of individuals included in the sample, which is 85 in this case.
04

Identify the Confidence Level

The confidence level is stated to be 95%. This means we want a confidence interval that has a 95% probability of containing the true population mean.
05

Find the Z-Score for 95% Confidence

For a 95% confidence interval, the Z-score corresponding to this confidence level is 1.96. This is derived from the standard normal distribution table.
06

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error (\( SE \)) is calculated using the formula \( SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \). Plug in the values: \( SE = \frac{1.7}{\sqrt{85}} = 0.1842 \).
07

Calculate the Margin of Error

The margin of error (E) is calculated as \( E = Z \times SE = 1.96 \times 0.1842 = 0.3600 \).
08

Construct the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval (CI) is given by \( \bar{x} \pm E \). Plug in the values: \( CI = 6.5 \pm 0.3600 \). This yields a confidence interval of (6.14, 6.86).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Mean
In statistics, the sample mean is a crucial concept. It helps us estimate the average value from a sample of data. For example, if we have collected data on how long employees work at a company before being promoted, we can find the sample mean by summing all reported durations and dividing by the number of employees sampled.

The sample mean is represented by the symbol \( \bar{x} \). It provides us with an idea of the central tendency of the sample — essentially, a "snapshot" of the average experience in the sample group. In our scenario, the sample mean was found to be 6.5 years. This means, on average, employees spent 6.5 years on the job before getting promoted.

The accuracy of the sample mean as a representation of the entire population depends on various factors, including the sample size and variance of the data.
Standard Deviation
The standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. It tells us how spread out the values in a sample are. Generally, a low standard deviation means values are close to the mean, whereas a high standard deviation indicates values are spread out over a wide range.

In our exercise, the standard deviation of the sample is noted as 1.7 years. This suggests that the time employees spend on the job before promotion can vary by 1.7 years around the mean of 6.5 years.

Understanding standard deviation is important because it gives context to the sample mean. It helps us understand how consistent the data is, and to make inferences about the broader population.
Standard Error
The standard error is linked to the standard deviation, but differs in that it measures the precision of the sample mean's estimate of the population mean. It is calculated using the formula:
  • \[ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]
Where \( s \) is the standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.

In our example, the standard error was calculated to be 0.1842. This value quantifies how confident we can be in the sample mean as an estimate of the population mean. A smaller standard error suggests a more precise estimate.

The standard error is essential when calculating confidence intervals, as it impacts the margin of error and, consequently, the width of the interval.
Z-Score
The Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's position relative to the mean in a standard normal distribution. In other words, it tells us how many standard deviations away a particular value is from the mean.

For our exercise, the Z-score of 1.96 was used to calculate the 95% confidence interval. This particular Z-score is derived from the standard normal distribution and corresponds to a level of confidence of 95%.
  • A standard normal distribution table provides these values, making Z-scores a key tool for practitioners wanting to assess probabilities and confidence levels.
Z-scores are crucial for constructing confidence intervals because they help us quantify the uncertainty associated with estimating the population parameter.

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