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The mean SAT score for Division I student-athletes is 947 with a standard deviation of \(205 .\) If you select a random sample of 60 of these students, what is the probability the mean is below \(900 ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that the mean SAT score is below 900 is approximately 0.0384.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Parameters

Identify the given parameters of the problem. We have a population mean \( \mu = 947 \), a standard deviation \( \sigma = 205 \), and a sample size \( n = 60 \). The sample mean we are interested in is \( \overline{x} = 900 \).
02

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error (SE) of the mean is calculated by dividing the population standard deviation by the square root of the sample size: \( SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{205}{\sqrt{60}} \approx 26.47 \).
03

Calculate the Z-Score

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the sample mean of interest (900) is from the population mean. Use the formula: \( Z = \frac{\overline{x} - \mu}{SE} = \frac{900 - 947}{26.47} \approx -1.77 \).
04

Find the Probability

Use the Z-score to find the probability. By looking up the Z-score of \(-1.77\) in the standard normal distribution table, we find the probability is approximately \(0.0384\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of how spread out the numbers in a data set are. It tells us how much variation or dispersion exists from the average (mean) of the data set. In simpler terms, it indicates how much individual scores differ from the mean score, with a higher standard deviation meaning more spread out data.

Calculating standard deviation involves several steps:
  • Determine the mean (average) of the data set.
  • Subtract the mean from each number to find the difference for each data point.
  • Square each of these differences.
  • Find the average of these squared differences.
  • The square root of this average gives you the standard deviation.
In the context of our exercise, the standard deviation of the SAT scores is 205. This value shows the average distance of each SAT score from the mean score of 947.
Standard Error
Standard error measures the accuracy with which a sample represents a population. While standard deviation tells us about variability within a single sample, standard error lets us understand variability between different samples drawn from the same population.

The formula for standard error is:\[SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\]
Here, \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation of the population, and \(n\) is the sample size. In our exercise, a population with a standard deviation of 205 and a sample size of 60 results in a standard error of approximately 26.47.

A smaller standard error indicates that the sample mean is a more accurate reflection of the population mean, which is essential when predicting population characteristics based on a sample.
Z-Score
A Z-score, also known as a standard score, measures how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. It helps in determining the probability of a score occurring within a normal distribution and is used to compare scores from different distributions.

To calculate a Z-score, the formula is:\[Z = \frac{\overline{x} - \mu}{SE}\]
Where \(\overline{x}\) is the sample mean you are examining, \(\mu\) is the population mean, and \(SE\) is the standard error.

In the exercise, we calculated a Z-score of approximately -1.77. This tells us how unusual it is for the sample mean of 60 students to average below 900 compared to the population mean of 947. A Z-score of -1.77 indicates it is less common and falls to the left on the standard normal distribution curve.
Normal Distribution
A normal distribution is a bell-shaped curve where most of the data points cluster around the mean. This type of distribution is symmetrical, meaning the left side of the curve mirrors the right. Many natural phenomena follow a normal distribution, making it a key concept in statistics.

For a data set to be considered normally distributed, it needs to meet the following criteria:
  • The mean, median, and mode are all equal.
  • The curve is symmetrical around the mean.
  • Approximately 68% of data falls within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two, and 99.7% within three.
In our exercise, SAT scores are assumed to follow a normal distribution. By calculating the Z-score, we can use the properties of the normal distribution to find probabilities. Lookup tables or software can then provide the probability of obtaining certain scores, helping predict how likely certain outcomes are.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

List the reasons for sampling. Give an example of each reason for sampling.

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