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Suppose \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive events. Construct a Venn diagram that contains the three events \(A, B,\) and \(C\) such that \(P(A \mid C)=1\) and \(P(B \mid C)=0\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
A covers all of C, B is separate and does not overlap with C.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Mutually Exclusive Events

Mutually exclusive events mean that if one event occurs, the other cannot. This implies that the intersection of events \(A\) and \(B\) is empty, i.e., \(A \cap B = \emptyset\).
02

Analyzing Conditional Probability Requirements

We need to have \(P(A \mid C) = 1\) and \(P(B \mid C) = 0\). This indicates that within the subset \(C\), event \(A\) is certain to occur, while event \(B\) cannot occur.
03

Constructing the Venn Diagram

Place events \(A\) and \(B\) in non-overlapping regions since they are mutually exclusive. Place \(C\) such that \(C\) fully covers \(A\) but does not cover any part of \(B\). This setup satisfies \(P(A \mid C) = 1\) (since all of \(A\) is within \(C\)) and \(P(B \mid C) = 0\) (since \(C\) misses \(B\)).
04

Visual Representation

Draw three circles: two non-overlapping ones for \(A\) and \(B\), and another circle \(C\) that completely covers \(A\) but doesn't overlap with \(B\). This visually represents the conditions given in the problem.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually exclusive events are a fundamental concept in probability theory, where two events cannot happen at the same time. For example, if we consider the flipping of a coin, the events "head" and "tail" are mutually exclusive because the outcome can only be one of these two. When two sets of events are mutually exclusive, their intersection, denoted by the symbol \( \cap \), is an empty set: \( A \cap B = \emptyset \).

In the context of our Venn diagram exercise, events \( A \) and \( B \) being mutually exclusive imply that there is no common area shared between these two events. If event \( A \) occurs, event \( B \) cannot occur simultaneously, and vice versa. Understanding this helps visualize the non-overlapping nature of these events when drawing their respective circles in a Venn diagram.
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability is used to find the probability of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. This is symbolized mathematically as \( P(A \mid C) \), which reads as "the probability of \( A \) given \( C \) has occurred."

In the given problem, we ascertain that \( P(A \mid C) = 1 \), meaning that if we're in the situation where \( C \) happens (i.e., within the subset of \( C \)), \( A \) will occur with absolute certainty. Conversely, \( P(B \mid C) = 0 \) tells us that \( B \) cannot occur in the context of \( C \).

To reflect these conditions in a Venn Diagram, circle \( C \) should be drawn such that it fully encompasses \( A \), while ensuring it does not touch \( B \). This setup shows that whenever we find ourselves inside \( C \), \( A \) is guaranteed to occur, perfectly illustrating the concept of conditional probabilities.
Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics concerned with predicting how likely outcomes are. It helps us understand and quantify uncertainty, formulating the framework and rules that describe how probabilities work.

A key part of probability theory involves understanding how different kinds of events, like mutually exclusive and dependent events, affect likelihoods. Venn diagrams are an essential tool within this domain, providing a visual representation of relationships between events.

In the exercise, constructing a Venn diagram to depict the problem helps solidify the theoretical understanding of mutually exclusive events and conditional probability. It allows us to see how these concepts manifest visually, which can be particularly useful for grasping more complex probability scenarios. This demonstrates how probability theory provides the tools to solve real-world problems involving risk and uncertainty.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

2.4 .8 A Web ad can be designed from four different colors, three font types, five font sizes, three images, and five text phrases. A specific design is randomly generated by the Web server when you visit the site. Let \(A\) denote the event that the design color is red. and let \(B\) denote the event that the font size is not the smallest one. Use the addition rules to calculate the following probabilities. a. \(P(A \cup B)\) b. \(P\left(A \cup B^{\prime}\right)\) c. \(P\left(A^{\prime} \cup B^{\prime}\right)\)

If \(P(A)=0.2, P(B)=0.2,\) and \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive, are they independent?

Semiconductor lasers used in optical storage products require higher power levels for write operations than for read operations. High-power-level operations lower the useful life of the laser. Lasers in products used for backup of higher-speed magnetic disks primarily write, and the probability that the useful life exceeds five years is \(0.95 .\) Lasers that are in products that are used for main storage spend approximately an equal amount of time reading and writing, and the probability that the useful life exceeds five years is \(0.995 .\) Now, \(25 \%\) of the products from a manufacturer are used for backup and \(75 \%\) of the products are used for main storage. Let \(A\) denote the event that a laser's useful life exceeds five years, and let \(B\) denote the event that a laser is in a product that is used for backup. Use a tree diagram to determine the following: a. \(P(B)\) b. \(P(A \mid B)\) c. \(P\left(A \mid B^{\prime}\right)\) d. \(P(A \cap B)\) e. \(P\left(A \cap B^{\prime}\right)\) f. \(P(A)\) g. What is the probability that the useful life of a laser exceeds five years? h. What is the probability that a laser that failed before five years came from a product used for backup?

Disks of polycarbonate plastic from a supplier are analyzed for scratch and shock resistance. The results from 100 disks are summarized as follows: $$ \begin{array}{lccc} & & \text { Shock Resistance } \\ & & \text { High } & \text { Low } \\ \text { Scratch } & \text { High } & 70 & 9 \\ \text { Resistance } & \text { Low } & 16 & 5 \end{array} $$ Let \(A\) denote the event that a disk has high shock resistance, and let \(B\) denote the event that a disk has high scratch resistance. If a disk is selected at random, determine the following probabilities: a. \(P(A)\) b. \(P(B)\) c. \(P\left(A^{\prime}\right)\) d. \(P(A \cap B)\) e. \(P(A \cup B)\) f. \(P\left(A^{\prime} \cup B\right)\)

An e-mail filter is planned to separate valid e-mails from spam. The word free occurs in \(60 \%\) of the spam messages and only \(4 \%\) of the valid messages. Also, \(20 \%\) of the messages are spam. Determine the following probabilities: a. The message contains free. b. The message is spam given that it contains free. c. The message is valid given that it does not contain free.

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