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The sample space of a random experiment is \(\\{a, b, c\) \(d, e\\}\) with probabilities \(0.1,0.1,0.2,0.4,\) and \(0.2,\) respectively. Let \(A\) denote the event \(\\{a, b, c\\},\) and let \(B\) denote the event \(\\{c, d, e\\} .\) Determine the following: a. \(P(A)\) b. \(P(B)\) c. \(P\left(A^{\prime}\right)\) d. \(P(A \cup B)\) e. \(P(A \cap B)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.4, b. 0.8, c. 0.6, d. 1.0, e. 0.2

Step by step solution

01

Determine P(A)

To find the probability of event \(A\), we sum the probabilities of the outcomes in \(A\), which are \(a, b,\) and \(c\). Thus, \(P(A) = P(a) + P(b) + P(c) = 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.4\).
02

Determine P(B)

To find the probability of event \(B\), we sum the probabilities of the outcomes in \(B\), which are \(c, d,\) and \(e\). Thus, \(P(B) = P(c) + P(d) + P(e) = 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 0.8\).
03

Determine P(A')

The event \(A'\) is the complement of \(A\) meaning it includes all outcomes not in \(A\). The outcomes are \{d, e\}. Thus, \(P(A') = P(d) + P(e) = 0.4 + 0.2 = 0.6\).
04

Determine P(A ∪ B)

For the event \(A \cup B\), we need the probability of the union of \(A\) and \(B\). The union includes \{a, b, c, d, e\}. We find \(P(A \cup B)\) by directly adding all probabilities: \(P(A \cup B) = 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 1.0\). Since all outcomes are covered, this effectively verifies the sample space adding up to 1.
05

Determine P(A ∩ B)

The intersection of \(A\) and \(B\) is the event that contains only the outcomes common to both \(A\) and \(B\). Here, \(P(A \cap B) = P(c) = 0.2\) since \(c\) is the only common element.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Space
In probability theory, the **sample space** is the foundation for understanding experiments and events. It represents the set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. Imagine rolling a die; the sample space would include \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}, because these are the possible results of a single roll.

For our exercise, the sample space consists of the outcomes \{a, b, c, d, e\}. Each outcome has a specific probability. Assigning these probabilities ensures that the total probability of the sample space equals 1. Therefore, \[P(a) + P(b) + P(c) + P(d) + P(e) = 1.0\]

The probabilities given are:
  • \[P(a) = 0.1\]
  • \[P(b) = 0.1\]
  • \[P(c) = 0.2\]
  • \[P(d) = 0.4\]
  • \[P(e) = 0.2\]
Understanding this setup is crucial for calculating any further probabilities of specific events within this sample space.
Event Probability
**Event probability** refers to the likelihood of a specific occurrence within the sample space. An event can be a single outcome or a group of outcomes. To calculate the probability of an event, you sum up the probabilities of all the outcomes that make up the event. In this exercise, we have event \(A = \{a, b, c\}\) and event \(B = \{c, d, e\}\).

**Probability of Event A**: To find \(P(A)\), sum the probabilities of \(a\), \(b\), and \(c\): \[P(A) = P(a) + P(b) + P(c) = 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.4\]

**Probability of Event B**: Similarly, for \(P(B)\), sum the probabilities of \(c\), \(d\), and \(e\): \[P(B) = P(c) + P(d) + P(e) = 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 0.8\]

Each calculation uses the defined probabilities of the respective outcomes in the sample space.
Complementary Events
A **complementary event** in probability refers to all possible outcomes in the sample space that are not part of the original event. It is usually denoted by a prime symbol, such as \(A'\), the complement of event \(A\). The probability of a complementary event is determined by subtracting the event's probability from 1.

In our exercise, event \(A\) consists of outcomes \(\{a, b, c\}\). So, the complementary event \(A'\) would include the remaining outcomes \(\{d, e\}\).

To find \(P(A')\): \[P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6\]

You could also directly sum the probabilities of outcomes in \(A'\): \[P(A') = P(d) + P(e) = 0.4 + 0.2 = 0.6\]

This approach confirms the correct calculation of complementary event probabilities.
Union and Intersection of Events
Understanding **union and intersection** helps in calculating probabilities for events with overlapping outcomes. The union of events, denoted as \(A \cup B\), includes all outcomes found in either event A or event B (or both). The intersection of events, \(A \cap B\), focuses only on outcomes common to both events.

**Union of Events**: For the union \(A \cup B\), you sum the probabilities of all distinct outcomes from both events:\[P(A \cup B) = P(a) + P(b) + P(c) + P(d) + P(e) = 1.0\]
Since this covers the entire sample space, \(P(A \cup B)\) equals 1.

**Intersection of Events**: The intersection \(A \cap B\) includes only the common outcome in both \(A\) and \(B\), which is \(c\). Therefore,\[P(A \cap B) = P(c) = 0.2\]

These concepts simplify complex probability scenarios by breaking down events into their shared and combined outcomes. This allows for strategic probability calculus.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Disks of polycarbonate plastic from a supplier are analyzed for scratch and shock resistance. The results from 100 disks are summarized here: \(\begin{array}{lccc} & & \text { Shock Resistance } \\ & & \text { High } & \text { Low } \\ \text { Scratch } & \text { High } & 70 & 9 \\ \text { Resistance } & \text { Low } & 16 & 5\end{array}\) Let \(A\) denote the event that a disk has high shock resistance, and let \(B\) denote the event that a disk has high scratch resistance. Determine the number of disks in \(A \cap B, A^{\prime},\) and \(A \cup B\).

A batch of 500 containers for frozen orange juice contains 5 that are defective. Three are selected, at random, without replacement from the batch. a. What is the probability that the second one selected is defective given that the first one was defective? b. What is the probability that the first two selected are defective? c. What is the probability that the first two selected are both acceptable? d. What is the probability that the third one selected is defective given that the first and second ones selected were defective? e. What is the probability that the third one selected is defective given that the first one selected was defective and the second one selected was okay? f. What is the probability that all three selected ones are defective?

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Magnesium alkyls are used as homogenous catalysts in the production of linear low-density polyethylene (LLDPE), which requires a finer magnesium powder to sustain a reaction. Redox reaction experiments using four different amounts of magnesium powder are performed. Each result may or may not be further reduced in a second step using three different magnesium powder amounts. Each of these results may or may not be further reduced in a third step using three different amounts of magnesium powder. a. How many experiments are possible? b. If all outcomes are equally likely, what is the probability that the best result is obtained from an experiment that uses all three steps? c. Does the result in part (b) change if five or six or seven different amounts are used in the first step? Explain.

Provide a reasonable description of the sample space for each of the random experiments in Exercises.There can be more than one acceptable interpretation of each experiment. Describe any assumptions you make. A sampled injection-molded part could have been produced in either one of two presses and in any one of the eight cavities in each press.

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