/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 95 Suppose that \(X\) is a binomial... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Suppose that \(X\) is a binomial random variable with \(n=200\) and \(p=0.4\). Approximate the following probabilities: (a) \(P(X \leq 70)\) (b) \(P(70

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) \( \approx 0.0853 \); (b) \( \approx 0.8294 \); (c) \( \approx 0.056 \).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Binomial Random Variable

The exercise considers a binomial random variable, where we have a fixed number of trials, \( n = 200 \), and the probability of success in each trial is \( p = 0.4 \).
02

Use Normal Approximation

Since \( n \) is large, we can use the normal approximation to approximate these binomial probabilities. We calculate the mean \( \mu = np \) and the standard deviation \( \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} \). \( \mu = 200 \times 0.4 = 80 \), \( \sigma = \sqrt{200 \times 0.4 \times 0.6} = \sqrt{48} \approx 6.93 \).
03

Apply Continuity Correction

For parts (a) and (b), we need to apply the continuity correction when using the normal distribution. For \( P(X \leq 70) \), use \( P(X \leq 70.5) \). For \( P(70 < X < 90) \), use \( P(70.5 < X < 89.5) \).
04

Convert to Standard Normal Distribution

Convert the binomial values into standard normal (Z) values using the formula \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \). For example, to find \( P(X \leq 70) \), calculate \( Z = \frac{70.5 - 80}{6.93} \approx -1.37 \).
05

Find Probabilities Using Z-Table

Use the standard normal distribution table (Z-table) to find probabilities. (a) For \( P(X \leq 70) \), find \( P(Z \leq -1.37) \approx 0.0853 \). (b) For \( P(70 < X < 90) \), find \( P(Z < \frac{89.5 - 80}{6.93}) - P(Z < \frac{70.5 - 80}{6.93}) \approx P(Z < 1.37) - P(Z < -1.37) \approx 0.9147 - 0.0853 = 0.8294 \).
06

Find Specific Probability for Part (c)

Using the normal approximation, calculate \( P(79.5 < X < 80.5) \). Convert to Z values: \( P\left(Z > \frac{79.5 - 80}{6.93}\right) - P\left(Z < \frac{80.5 - 80}{6.93}\right) \approx P(Z < 0.072) - P(Z < -0.072) \approx 0.528 - 0.472 = 0.056 \).

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Approximation
When you're dealing with a binomial distribution with a large number of trials, like in our case with 200 trials, calculations can become cumbersome. That's where normal approximation steps in to make life easier. The essence of this concept is to use a normal distribution to estimate the binomial probabilities. This works particularly well when the sample size, denoted as \( n \), is large. In our problem, we calculated the mean \( \mu = np = 80 \) and the standard deviation \( \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} \approx 6.93 \). A normal distribution with this mean and standard deviation can approximate our binomial distribution for probabilities like \( P(X \leq 70) \). This approach simplifies many computations where direct application of the binomial formula would be complex.
Continuity Correction
Continuity correction is a small adjustment applied when using a continuous distribution, like the normal distribution, to estimate probabilities of a discrete distribution, such as the binomial distribution.Since the normal distribution is continuous and the binomial is discrete, the continuity correction helps bridge this gap. It involves adjusting the discrete values by ±0.5 to better fit into the continuous curve.For instance, to find \( P(X \leq 70) \), we actually calculate \( P(X \leq 70.5) \). Similarly, for \( P(70 < X < 90) \), the calculation becomes \( P(70.5 < X < 89.5) \). Applying continuity correction ensures that our approximation using the normal curve is more accurate.
Standard Normal Distribution
Once you have your normal distribution approximation, it helps to convert it into the standard normal distribution, which has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. This "standardization" simplifies the process of finding probabilities.The conversion formula is \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \). This formula allows you to translate any point on a normal distribution to its equivalent on the standard normal curve. For example, to compute the probability for \( P(X \leq 70) \), translate 70.5 into \( Z \)-value: \( Z = \frac{70.5 - 80}{6.93} \approx -1.37 \).This conversion is crucial as it enables the use of standard tools like Z-tables for finding probabilities, making the process efficient and unified.
Z-Table
The Z-table is an essential tool in statistics that shows the probabilities of a standard normal distribution up to a given \( Z \)-value. Once you have a \( Z \)-value, as we calculated for our problem, you can use the Z-table to find the corresponding probability.For instance, the probability for \( Z \leq -1.37 \) provides \( P(X \leq 70) \approx 0.0853 \). Similarly, when solving \( P(70 < X < 90) \), by using the Z-table, the difference in probabilities can be calculated: \( P(Z < 1.37) - P(Z < -1.37) \approx 0.9147 - 0.0853 = 0.8294 \).The Z-table effectively consolidates complex calculations into simple lookup operations, streamlining the process of finding probabilities in statistics.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The percentage of people exposed to a bacteria who become ill is \(20 \%\). Assume that people are independent. Assume that 1000 people are exposed to the bacteria. Approximate each of the following: (a) Probability that more than 225 become ill (b) Probability that between 175 and 225 become ill (c) Value such that the probability that the number of people who become ill exceeds the value is 0.01

Use the result for the gamma distribution to determine the mean and variance of a chi-square distribution with \(r=7 / 2\).

The length of an injection-molded plastic case that holds magnetic tape is normally distributed with a length of 90.2 millimeters and a standard deviation of 0.1 millimeter. (a) What is the probability that a part is longer than 90.3 millimeters or shorter than 89.7 millimeters? (b) What should the process mean be set at to obtain the highest number of parts between 89.7 and 90.3 millimeters? (c) If parts that are not between 89.7 and 90.3 millimeters are scrapped, what is the yield for the process mean that you selected in part (b)? Assume that the process is centered so that the mean is 90 millimeters and the standard deviation is 0.1 millimeter. Suppose that 10 cases are measured, and they are assumed to be independent. (d) What is the probability that all 10 cases are between 89.7 and 90.3 millimeters? (e) What is the expected number of the 10 cases that are between 89.7 and 90.3 millimeters?

Suppose that the length of stay (in hours) at a hospital emergency department is modeled with a lognormal random variable \(X\) with \(\theta=1.5\) and \(\omega=0.4\). Determine the following in parts (a) and (b): (a) Mean and variance (b) \(P(X<8)\) (c) Comment on the difference between the probability \(P(X<0)\) calculated from this lognormal distribution and a normal distribution with the same mean and variance.

An article in Proceeding of the \(33 \mathrm{rd}\) International ACM SIGIR Conference on Research and Development in Information Retrieval ["Understanding Web Browsing Behaviors Through Weibull Analysis of Dwell Time" \((2010,\) p. \(3791-\) 386 ) ] proposed that a Weibull distribution can be used to model Web page dwell time (the length of time a Web visitor spends on a Web page). For a specific Web page, the shape and scale parameters are 1 and 300 seconds, respectively. Determine the following: (a) Mean and variance of dwell time (b) Probability that a Web user spends more than four minutes on this Web page (c) Dwell time exceeded with probability 0.25

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.