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For the hypothesis test \(H_{0}: \mu=10\) against \(H_{1}: \mu>10\) with variance unknown and \(n=15,\) approximate the \(P\) -value for each of the following test statistics. (a) \(t_{0}=2.05\) (b) \(t_{0}=-1.84\) (c) \(t_{0}=0.4\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 0.030, (b) 0.960, (c) 0.346

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Test Statistic Distribution

Since the variance is unknown and the sample size is less than 30, we will use the t-distribution with degrees of freedom equal to \(n-1\). For this problem, \(n = 15\), so the degrees of freedom (df) is \(15-1=14\).
02

Hypothesis Test Review

The null hypothesis is \(H_0: \mu = 10\) and the alternative hypothesis is \(H_1: \mu > 10\), which implies a one-tailed test in the positive direction.
03

Calculate P-Value for t_0 = 2.05

Since the test statistic \(t_0 = 2.05\) and it falls under a one-tailed test, use a t-distribution table or calculator to find the right-tail probability. With 14 degrees of freedom, the corresponding \(P\)-value for \(t_0 = 2.05\) is approximately 0.030. Thus, \(\text{P}(T > 2.05) \approx 0.030\).
04

Calculate P-Value for t_0 = -1.84

Since \(t_0 = -1.84\) is negative and our alternative hypothesis \(H_1: \mu > 10\) focuses on values greater than the null hypothesis, \(P(T > -1.84)\) implies nearly the entire right-tail. Thus, use symmetry: since the central probability exceeds 0.5, the \(P\)-value is large, approximately 0.960.
05

Calculate P-Value for t_0 = 0.4

For \(t_0 = 0.4\), locate where it lies on the t-distribution with df = 14. Since it is small, the right-tail probability is relatively large. Approximating with the table or calculator, \(\text{P}(T > 0.4)\) yields a \(P\)-value of around 0.346.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-distribution
When conducting hypothesis tests, specifically with small samples or unknown population variances, it is common to use the t-distribution instead of the normal distribution. This is because the t-distribution adjusts for the added variability in smaller samples, making it a more reliable tool in these cases.

The t-distribution resembles the standard normal distribution but has heavier tails, which means it accounts for more variability. As the sample size increases, the t-distribution approaches the normal distribution because the sample provides more reliable information.

**Key Characteristics of t-distribution:**
  • Symmetrical and bell-shaped like the normal distribution.
  • Centered at zero (mean of zero).
  • Characterized by 'degrees of freedom' (df), which impacts the shape.
Understanding when to apply the t-distribution in hypothesis testing is crucial, especially when dealing with small samples or unknown population variabilities.
P-value calculation
The P-value is an essential concept in hypothesis testing as it indicates the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the observed data, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true. In simpler terms, it helps you understand how likely your data would occur if the null hypothesis were correct.

In our example, a positive test statistic, like 2.05, falls on the right tail of the distribution in our one-tailed test, and the P-value is found by assessing this right-tail probability. For a small P-value, such as 0.030, there is stronger evidence against the null hypothesis because such an observation is quite unusual if the null hypothesis were true.
  • A small P-value (< 0.05) leads to rejecting the null hypothesis.
  • Larger P-values suggest insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
degrees of freedom
Understanding the concept of degrees of freedom is vital for determining which t-distribution to use. Degrees of freedom (df) are typically the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary. For instance, when calculating a sample mean, if you know the mean and all but one value, the last value is not free to vary because the sum must equal a known total.

In the context of the t-test, degrees of freedom are computed as the sample size minus one (df = n - 1). This accounts for the estimation of the mean from the data itself. A larger value of degrees of freedom implies a t-distribution closer to a normal distribution since more data provides a better estimate of the true population parameter.

**Points to Remember about Degrees of Freedom:**
  • Directly influence the shape of the t-distribution.
  • More degrees indicate closer resemblance to the normal distribution.
  • It is crucial for determining the appropriate critical values in hypothesis testing.

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