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Consider the computer output below. One-Sample T: Test of \(m u=100\) vs not \(=100\) $$ \begin{array}{llllclll} \text { Variable } & \mathrm{N} & \text { Mean } & \text { StDev } & \text { SE Mean } & 95 \% \mathrm{CI} & \mathrm{T} & \mathrm{P} \\ \mathrm{X} & 16 & 98.33 & 4.61 & ? & (?, ?) & ? & ? \end{array} $$ (a) How many degrees of freedom are there on the \(t\) -statistic? (b) Fill in the missing information. You may use bounds on the \(P\) -value. (c) What are your conclusions if \(\alpha=0.05 ?\) (d) What are your conclusions if the hypothesis is \(H_{0}: \mu=\) 100 versus \(H_{0}: \mu>100 ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 15, (b) SE Mean 1.1525, CI (95.89, 100.77), t -1.447, P \(~0.170\), (c) Fail to reject \(H_0\). (d) Fail to reject \(H_0\).

Step by step solution

01

Determine Degrees of Freedom

In a one-sample t-test, the degrees of freedom (df) are calculated as the sample size minus one. In this case, since the sample size \( N = 16 \), the degrees of freedom are \( df = N - 1 = 16 - 1 = 15 \).
02

Calculate Standard Error of the Mean (SE Mean)

The Standard Error of the Mean is calculated using the formula \( \text{SE Mean} = \frac{\text{StDev}}{\sqrt{N}} \). Here, \( \text{StDev} = 4.61 \) and \( N = 16 \). Thus, \( \text{SE Mean} = \frac{4.61}{\sqrt{16}} = \frac{4.61}{4} = 1.1525 \).
03

Construct the 95% Confidence Interval (CI)

The 95% CI is calculated as \( \text{Mean} \pm t^* \times \text{SE Mean} \). Using a t-distribution table for 15 degrees of freedom, \( t^* \approx 2.131 \). Thus, \( 95\% \text{ CI} = 98.33 \pm 2.131 \times 1.1525 \), which yields the interval \( (95.89, 100.77) \).
04

Calculate the t-statistic

The t-statistic is calculated with \( t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\text{SE Mean}} \). Given \( \bar{x} = 98.33 \), \( \mu = 100 \), and \( \text{SE Mean} = 1.1525 \), we find \( t = \frac{98.33 - 100}{1.1525} = -1.447 \).
05

Estimate the P-value

Using the t-distribution table for \( df = 15 \) and the calculated t-statistic, \( t = -1.447 \), the two-tailed \( P \)-value corresponds to the probability of the t-statistic being as extreme as observed. This probability \( P \) is approximately \( 0.170 \), indicating it's more than 0.05 but not extremely significant.
06

Conclusion for α = 0.05

Considering \( \alpha = 0.05 \) and \( P \approx 0.170 \), we fail to reject the null hypothesis \( H_0: \mu = 100 \) because the P-value is greater than \( \alpha \). There is not enough evidence to say that the mean is different from 100.
07

Conclusion for One-Sided Test

For the hypothesis \( H_0: \mu = 100 \) versus \( H_a: \mu > 100 \), since the computed t-statistic is negative and P-value remains greater than 0.05, we also fail to reject the null hypothesis in this one-sided test. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean is greater than 100.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Degrees of Freedom
In a one-sample t-test, understanding degrees of freedom is crucial for interpreting results. The degrees of freedom (df) are essentially a way to describe the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary. It's like having a set number of slots to fill, and knowing how many are left open for adjustment.

For the one-sample t-test, you can calculate the degrees of freedom by subtracting one from the sample size. For example, if your sample size is 16, then the degrees of freedom would be 16 - 1 = 15. This value is important because it impacts the shape of the t-distribution, which in turn affects the results of your hypothesis test.
Standard Error of the Mean
The Standard Error of the Mean (SE Mean) is a helpful statistic that gives you an estimate of how much your sample mean is expected to vary from the true population mean. Think of it as a gauge for the sampling variability. The SE Mean is especially useful in hypothesis testing and constructing confidence intervals.

To calculate the SE Mean, you use the formula \( \text{SE Mean} = \frac{\text{StDev}}{\sqrt{N}} \), where StDev is the standard deviation of your sample, and \( N \) is the sample size. In our case, with a StDev of 4.61 and sample size of 16, the SE Mean is approximately 1.1525. A smaller SE Mean indicates that your sample mean is a more accurate reflection of the population mean.
95% Confidence Interval
The 95% Confidence Interval (CI) provides a range of values that likely includes the true population mean. This is like creating a safety net around the sample mean to estimate where the true mean might lie with a specified level of confidence, in this case, 95%.

To construct a 95% CI, you add and subtract a certain value, called the margin of error, from the sample mean. This margin of error is the result of multiplying the SE Mean by a critical value \( t^* \), which you obtain from a t-distribution table using your degrees of freedom. For 15 degrees of freedom, \( t^* \) is about 2.131. So, the interval is computed as \( 98.33 \pm 2.131 \times 1.1525 \), which gives us the interval \( (95.89, 100.77) \).
Using this interval, we can say we are 95% confident the true mean falls somewhere between 95.89 and 100.77.
T-Statistic
The t-statistic is an essential component of hypothesis testing, particularly in a one-sample t-test. It tells us how many standard errors the sample mean is from the null hypothesis mean. A t-statistic far from zero provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis.

To calculate the t-statistic, apply the formula \( t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\text{SE Mean}} \), where \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, \( \mu \) is the hypothesized population mean, and the SE Mean is already calculated. In the given problem, we have a sample mean \( \bar{x} = 98.33 \) and a hypothesized mean \( \mu = 100 \). Thus, the t-statistic becomes \( t = \frac{98.33 - 100}{1.1525} \approx -1.447 \). This t-statistic suggests that the sample mean is 1.447 standard errors below the population mean hypothesized in the null. Whether this difference is significant is then evaluated using the P-value.
P-Value
The P-value is a probability that helps assess the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis. It's a key metric used in statistical tests like the one-sample t-test to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis.

When you calculate a t-statistic, the P-value shows how likely it is to get a test result at least as extreme as the one observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true. In many situations, a P-value less than 0.05 is considered statistically significant.

For the given problem, after finding the t-statistic to be approximately -1.447 and using a t-distribution table for 15 degrees of freedom, the P-value is found to be around 0.170. This means there's a 17% chance of observing such an extreme sample mean if the population mean is actually 100, which is not small enough to reject the null hypothesis at the common 0.05 significance level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The sodium content of twenty 300 -gram boxes of organic cornflakes was determined. The data (in milligrams) are as follows: \(131.15,130.69,130.91,129.54,129.64,128.77,\) 130.72,128.33,128.24,129.65,130.14,129.29,128.71,129.00 \(129.39,130.42,129.53,130.12,129.78,130.92 .\) (a) Can you support a claim that mean sodium content of this brand of cornflakes differs from 130 milligrams? Use \(\alpha=0.05 .\) Find the \(P\) -value. (b) Check that sodium content is normally distributed. (c) Compute the power of the test if the true mean sodium content is 130.5 milligrams. (d) What sample size would be required to detect a true mean sodium content of 130.1 milligrams if we wanted the power of the test to be at least \(0.75 ?\) (e) Explain how the question in part (a) could be answered by constructing a two-sided confidence interval on the mean sodium content.

Define \(X\) as the number of underfilled bottles from a filling operation in a carton of 24 bottles. Seventy-five cartons are inspected and the following observations on \(X\) are recorded: \(\begin{array}{lllll}\text { Values } & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3\end{array}\) \(\begin{array}{lllll}\text { Frequency } & 39 & 23 & 12 & 1\end{array}\) (a) Based on these 75 observations, is a binomial distribution an appropriate model? Perform a goodness-of-fit procedure with \(\alpha=0.05 .\) (b) Calculate the \(P\) -value for this test.

A hypothesis will be used to test that a population mean equals 7 against the alternative that the population mean does not equal 7 with unknown variance \(\sigma\). What are the critical values for the test statistic \(T_{0}\) for the following significance levels and sample sizes? (a) \(\alpha=0.01\) and \(n=20\) (b) \(\alpha=0.05\) and \(n=12\) (c) \(\alpha=0.10\) and \(n=15\)

The mean pull-off force of an adhesive used in marufacturing a connector for an automotive engine application should be at least 75 pounds. This adhesive will be used unless there is strong evidence that the pull-off force does not meet this requirement. A test of an appropriate hypothesis is to be conducted with sample size \(n=10\) and \(\alpha=0.05 .\) Assume that the pull-off force is normally distributed, and \(\sigma\) is not known. (a) If the true standard deviation is \(\sigma=1\), what is the risk that the adhesive will be judged acceptable when the true mean pull-off force is only 73 pounds? Only 72 pounds? (b) What sample size is required to give a \(90 \%\) chance of detecting that the true mean is only 72 pounds when \(\sigma=1 ?\) (c) Rework parts (a) and (b) assuming that \(\sigma=2\). How much impact does increasing the value of \(\sigma\) have on the answers you obtain?

A hypothesis will be used to test that a population mean equals 5 against the alternative that the population mean is less than 5 with known variance \(\sigma\). What is the criti- cal value for the test statistic \(Z_{0}\) for the following significance levels? (a) \(\alpha=0.01\) and \(n=20\) (b) \(\alpha=0.05\) and \(n=12\) (c) \(\alpha=0.10\) and \(n=15\)

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