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91Ó°ÊÓ

A sample preparation for a chemical measurement is completed correctly by \(25 \%\) of the lab technicians, completed with a minor error by \(70 \%,\) and completed with a major error by \(5 \%\) (a) If a technician is selected randomly to complete the preparation, what is the probability it is completed without error? (b) What is the probability that it is completed with either a minor or a major error?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 0.25; (b) 0.75

Step by step solution

01

Identify Probabilities Given in the Problem

The problem states three probabilities: 1. The probability that a preparation is completed correctly (without error) is 25%, or \( P(\text{Correct}) = 0.25 \).2. The probability that a preparation is completed with a minor error is 70%, or \( P(\text{Minor Error}) = 0.70 \).3. The probability that a preparation is completed with a major error is 5%, or \( P(\text{Major Error}) = 0.05 \).
02

Calculate the Probability of Completion Without Error

We need to find the probability that the preparation is completed correctly. This probability is given directly in the problem:\[ P(\text{Correct}) = 0.25 \]
03

Calculate the Probability of Completion With Any Error

To find the probability that a preparation is completed with either a minor or a major error, sum the probabilities of minor and major errors:\[ P(\text{Minor or Major Error}) = P(\text{Minor Error}) + P(\text{Major Error}) \]Substitute the given probabilities:\[ P(\text{Minor or Major Error}) = 0.70 + 0.05 = 0.75 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Random Selection
When we talk about random selection in probability, we mean choosing an element from a set in such a way that each element has an equal chance of being picked. Imagine you have a hat filled with individually folded pieces of paper, each with a technician's name on it.
If you close your eyes and pick one paper, you are randomly selecting a technician. In the context of this exercise, **random selection** refers to choosing a lab technician without any bias or predetermined criteria. This means each technician, regardless of their likelihood of making errors, has the same chance of being picked. When we say, "If a technician is selected randomly," we're emphasizing impartiality in the choice among the 100% group of technicians.
This idea underpins the calculation of probabilities, making sure the results reflect a fair chance for all possible outcomes.
Error Classification
Error classification is about categorizing outcomes based on the type or severity of errors that may occur. In this exercise, we are classifying technicians' performance into three categories:
  • Completed correctly (without error - 25%)
  • Completed with a minor error (70%)
  • Completed with a major error (5%)
Each category is mutually exclusive. This means a preparation by any technician can only fall into one category at a time.
This classification helps break down the overall outcomes into specific, manageable parts that can be analyzed independently.
The process of categorizing errors plays a crucial role in understanding the probabilities of different scenarios happening. For instance, when calculating the probability of an error, we sum the probabilities of the minor and major error categories to find the **total error probability**. Each category gives a clear picture of where improvements can be targeted, illustrating the importance of accurate classification in statistical analysis and decision-making.
Probability Rules
Probabilities in this exercise follow basic rules that help us understand the likelihood of different events occurring. One important rule is the **addition rule**, which we use when we're interested in the probability of "either/or" scenarios, like having a minor or major error.
This involves adding up the probabilities of each individual event. Another rule often in play is the **complement rule**, which indicates that the sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes in a probability space equals 1.
Since we have three outcomes here—correct, minor error, major error—their probabilities add up to 1: \[ P(\text{Correct}) + P(\text{Minor Error}) + P(\text{Major Error}) = 1 \]Applying these rules helps determine the overall likelihood of events. For example, computing the probability of no errors simply involves using the given probability directly because it is stated explicitly.
These rules ensure calculations are mathematically sound and outcomes are predictable, which is the essence of why we rely on probability theory.

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