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Consider the simple linear regression model \(Y=\beta_{0}+\beta_{1} x+\epsilon,\) with \(E(\epsilon)=0, V(\epsilon)=\sigma^{2},\) and the errors \(\epsilon\) uncorrelated. (a) Show that \(\operatorname{cov}\left(\hat{\beta}_{0}, \hat{\beta}_{1}\right)=-\bar{x} \sigma^{2} / S_{x x}\) (b) Show that \(\operatorname{cov}\left(\bar{Y}, \hat{\beta}_{1}\right)=0\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) \( \operatorname{cov}(\hat{\beta}_0, \hat{\beta}_1) = -\frac{\bar{x}\sigma^2}{S_{xx}} \); (b) \( \operatorname{cov}(\bar{Y}, \hat{\beta}_{1}) = 0 \).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Covariance Formula

Covariance between two estimators \( \hat{\beta}_0 \) and \( \hat{\beta}_1 \) can be expressed as \( \operatorname{cov}(\hat{\beta}_0, \hat{\beta}_1) = E[(\hat{\beta}_0 - \beta_0)(\hat{\beta}_1 - \beta_1)] \). For part (a), deducing this covariance helps in finding the relation involving \( \bar{x} \).
02

Derive Covariance in Part (a)

The estimator \( \hat{\beta}_1 \) can be expressed as \( \hat{\beta}_1 = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x}) (y_i - \bar{y})}{S_{xx}} \) and \( \hat{\beta}_0 = \bar{y} - \hat{\beta}_1 \bar{x} \). Hence, \( \operatorname{cov}(\hat{\beta}_0, \hat{\beta}_1) = - \bar{x} \operatorname{var}(\hat{\beta}_1) \), which can be computed as \( -\bar{x} \cdot \frac{\sigma^2}{S_{xx}} \).
03

Conclusion for Part (a)

We find \( \operatorname{cov}(\hat{\beta}_0, \hat{\beta}_1) = - \frac{\bar{x} \sigma^2}{S_{xx}} \). This result demonstrates how the covariance is proportional to \( -\bar{x} \), the variance of the errors, and inversely proportional to \( S_{xx} \).
04

Examine Covariance Calculation for Part (b)

For part (b), consider \( \operatorname{cov}(\bar{Y}, \hat{\beta}_{1}) \). \( \bar{Y} \) is an unbiased estimator of the population mean and \( \hat{\beta}_{1} \) an estimator of slope, which implies independence given the linear model assumptions.
05

Calculation for Part (b)

Utilizing the fact that \( \bar{Y} = \bar{y} \), we find \( \operatorname{cov}(\bar{Y}, \hat{\beta}_{1}) = E[(\bar{Y} - E[\bar{Y}])(\hat{\beta}_{1} - E[\hat{\beta}_{1}])] = 0 \). The independence of the mean \( \bar{Y} \) and the slope \( \hat{\beta}_{1} \) aids this simplification.
06

Conclusion for Part (b)

Confirming \( \operatorname{cov}(\bar{Y}, \hat{\beta}_{1}) = 0 \) consolidates the understanding of independency under linear regression between estimators for average response and slope.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Covariance
Covariance is a fundamental concept in statistics that measures how two variables move together. In the context of simple linear regression, we examine how the estimators of the intercept \( \hat{\beta}_0 \) and the slope \( \hat{\beta}_1 \) interact.
Covariance between two estimators, such as \( \operatorname{cov}(\hat{\beta}_0, \hat{\beta}_1) \), is crucial as it reflects the underlying relationship between them.
To find this covariance, one uses the expression \( \operatorname{cov}(\hat{\beta}_0, \hat{\beta}_1) = E[(\hat{\beta}_0 - \beta_0)(\hat{\beta}_1 - \beta_1)] \). This calculation shows the relationship is inversely proportional to \( S_{xx} \), which is the sum of squared differences of the explanatory variable, and directly proportional to \(-\overline{x} \sigma^2 \), where \( \overline{x} \) is the mean of the explanatory variable, and \( \sigma^2 \) is the variance of errors.
Estimator
In statistics, an estimator is a rule or method for calculating an estimate of a given quantity based on observed data.
For simple linear regression, the intercept and slope are estimated by \( \hat{\beta}_0 \) and \( \hat{\beta}_1 \) respectively. The process of obtaining these estimators is crucial since they represent the best-fit line through the data.
For example, the slope estimator \( \hat{\beta}_1 \) is calculated using \( \hat{\beta}_1 = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x}) (y_i - \bar{y})}{S_{xx}} \). This involves summing up the product of the deviations of each point from the mean of \( x \) and \( y \).
The intercept estimator \( \hat{\beta}_0 \) is then determined by \( \hat{\beta}_0 = \bar{y} - \hat{\beta}_1 \bar{x} \), adjusting for the scale of the independent variable. Estimators like these are central to making predictions using the linear model.
Uncorrelated Errors
Uncorrelated errors mean that the errors \( \epsilon \) from the simple linear regression model are not related to each other.
This is one of the key assumptions in linear regression and ensures that the outcome variable is affected by the predictors without any systematic bias from the errors.
If errors are uncorrelated, this contributes to the independence of certain estimators, such as \( \bar{Y} \) and \( \hat{\beta}_1 \). Such independence is necessary for valid inferential statistics.
In the context of covariance, this concept allows us to confidently say that \( \operatorname{cov}(\bar{Y}, \hat{\beta}_{1}) = 0 \). Ensuring errors are uncorrelated implies that the variance in the error term doesn’t inflate the variance of the coefficients, maintaining sound predictive accuracy.
Linear Model Assumptions
Linear model assumptions are a set of conditions that must be met for linear regression models to produce valid results.
These assumptions typically include linearity, independence, homoscedasticity, and normality among others.
In simple linear regression, the key assumptions relevant here are:
  • Linearity: The relationship between the independent and dependent variable is linear.
  • Independence: The observations are independent of one another.
  • Homoscedasticity: The variance of the errors is constant across all levels of the independent variable.
  • Normality: The errors of the model are normally distributed.
Each of these assumptions ensures that the linear regression model remains unbiased and efficient in estimating the relationship between variables.
They form the backbone of statistical inference in regression analysis, guaranteeing that calculated estimations like \( \hat{\beta}_0 \), \( \hat{\beta}_1 \), and their covariance properly reflect the underlying data relationships.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The vapor pressure of water at various temperatures follows: $$\begin{array}{ccc}\hline \begin{array}{c}\text { Observation } \\\\\text { Number, } i\end{array} & \text { Temperature }(K) & \begin{array}{c} \text { Vapor pressure } \\\\(\mathrm{mm} \mathrm{Hg})\end{array} \\\\\hline 1 & 273 & 4.6 \\\2 & 283 & 9.2 \\\3 & 293 & 17.5 \\\4 & 303 & 31.8 \\\5 & 313 & 55.3 \\\6 & 323 & 92.5 \\\7 & 333 & 149.4 \\\8 & 343 & 233.7 \\\9 & 353 & 355.1 \\\10 & 363 & 525.8 \\\11 & 373 & 760.0 \\ \hline\end{array}$$ (a) Draw a scatter diagram of these data. What type of relationship seems appropriate in relating \(y\) to \(x ?\) $$\begin{array}{ccc}\hline \begin{array}{c}\text { Observation } \\\\\text { Number, } i\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Wind Velocity } \\ (\mathrm{mph}), x_{i}\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { DC Output, } \\\y_{i}\end{array} \\\\\hline 4 & 2.70 & 0.500 \\\5 & 10.00 & 2.236 \\ 6 & 9.70 & 2.386 \\\7 & 9.55 & 2.294 \\\8 & 3.05 & 0.558 \\\9 & 8.15 & 2.166 \\\\\hline 10 & 6.20 & 1.866 \\\11 & 2.90 & 0.653 \\\12 & 6.35 & 1.930 \\\13 & 4.60 & 1.562 \\\14 & 5.80 & 1.737 \\\15 & 7.40 & 2.088 \\\16 & 3.60 & 1.137 \\\17 & 7.85 & 2.179 \\\18 & 8.80 & 2.112 \\\19 & 7.00 & 1.800 \\\20 & 5.45 & 1.501 \\\21 & 9.10 & 2.303 \\\22 & 10.20 & 2.310 \\\23 & 4.10 & 1.194 \\\24 & 3.95 & 1.144 \\\25 & 2.45 & 0.123 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ (b) Fit a simple linear regression model to these data. (c) Test for significance of regression using \(\alpha=0.05 .\) What conclusions can you draw? (d) Plot the residuals from the simple linear regression model versus \(\hat{y}_{i} .\) What do you conclude about model adequacy? (e) The Clausis-Clapeyron relationship states that \(\ln \left(P_{v}\right) \propto-\frac{1}{T}\), where \(P_{y}\) is the vapor pressure of water. Repeat parts \((a)-(d) .\) using an appropriate transformation.

Show that, for the simple linear regression model, the following statements are true: (a) \(\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-\hat{y}_{i}\right)=0\) (b) \(\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-\hat{y}_{i}\right) x_{i}=0\) (c) \(\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \hat{y}_{i}=\bar{y}\)

Show that the variance of the \(ith\) residual is $$V\left(e_{i}\right)=\sigma^{2}\left[1-\left(\frac{1}{n}+\frac{\left(x_{i}-\bar{x}\right)^{2}}{S_{x x}}\right)\right]$$ Hint: $$\operatorname{cov}\left(Y_{i}, \hat{Y}_{i}\right)=\sigma^{2}\left[\frac{1}{n}+\frac{\left(x_{i}-\bar{x}\right)^{2}}{S_{x x}}\right]$$ The \(i\) th studentized residual is defined as $$r_{i}=\frac{e_{i}}{\left.\sqrt{\hat{\sigma}^{2}\left[1-\left(\frac{1}{n}+\frac{\left(x_{i}-\bar{x}\right)^{2}}{S_{x x}}\right)\right.}\right]}$$ (a) Explain why \(r_{i}\) has unit standard deviation. (b) Do the standardized residuals have unit standard deviation? (c) Discuss the behavior of the studentized residual when the sample value \(x_{i}\) is very close to the middle of the range of \(x\). (d) Discuss the behavior of the studentized residual when the sample value \(x_{i}\) is very near one end of the range of \(x\).

Suppose that each value of \(x_{i}\) is multiplied by a positive constant \(a\), and each value of \(y_{i}\) is multiplied by another positive constant \(b\). Show that the \(t\) -statistic for testing \(H_{0}: \beta_{1}=0\) versus \(H_{1}: \beta_{1} \neq 0\) is unchanged in value.

The compressive strength of an alloy fastener used in aircraft construction is being studied. Ten loads were selected over the range \(2500-4300\) psi and a number of fasteners were tested at those loads. The numbers of fasteners failing at each load were recorded. The complete test data follow. $$\begin{array}{ccc}\hline \text { Load, } x \text { (psi) } & \text { Sample Size, } n & \text { Number Failing, } r \\\\\hline 2500 & 50 & 10 \\ 2700 & 70 & 17 \\\2900 & 100 & 30 \\\3100 & 60 & 21 \\\3300 & 40 & 18 \\\3500 & 85 & 43 \\\3700 & 90 & 54 \\\3900 & 50 & 33 \\\4100 &80 & 60 \\\4300 & 65 & 51 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ (a) Fit a logistic regression model to the data. Use a simple linear regression model as the structure for the linear predictor. (b) Is the logistic regression model in part (a) adequate?

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