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An experiment consists of rolling an eight-sided die (numbered 1 through 8 ) and observing the number that appears uppermost. Find the mean and variance of this experiment.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The mean of the experiment of rolling an eight-sided die (numbered 1 through 8) is 4.5, and the variance is 5.25.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the mean

To calculate the mean, we will sum up all the possible outcomes and divide by the total number of outcomes (8 in this case). The mean (µ) can be represented as: \[\mu = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n x_i\] Where \(n\) is the total number of outcomes, \(x_i\) are the outcomes, and the sum runs from 1 to 8 for our eight-sided die. \[\mu = \frac{1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8}{8}\] Calculate the sum of the outcomes: \[\mu = \frac{36}{8} = 4.5\] The mean of this experiment is 4.5.
02

Calculate the variance

To calculate the variance, we will first find the squared difference between each outcome and the mean, and then find the average of these squared differences. The variance (σ²) can be represented as: \[\sigma^2 = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n (x_i - \mu)^2\] Using the mean (4.5) and the sum of outcomes from Step 1, we can calculate the variance for this experiment: \[\sigma^2 = \frac{(1-4.5)^2 + (2-4.5)^2 + (3-4.5)^2 + (4-4.5)^2 + (5-4.5)^2 + (6-4.5)^2 + (7-4.5)^2 + (8-4.5)^2}{8}\] Calculate the squared differences: \[\sigma^2 = \frac{12.25 + 6.25 + 2.25 + 0.25 + 0.25 + 2.25 + 6.25 + 12.25}{8}\] Add up all the squared differences and divide by the total number of outcomes: \[\sigma^2 = \frac{42}{8} = 5.25\] The variance of this experiment is 5.25.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mean Calculation
The concept of the mean, also known as the average, is foundational in the field of probability and statistics. In the context of a probability experiment like rolling a die, the mean represents the central or expected value of all possible outcomes. To grasp this better, imagine that you're repeatedly rolling an eight-sided die, and you record the numbers that appear uppermost. Over a long period, if you were to average all those numbers, you'd expect to get close to the mean.

To calculate the mean, you sum all possible outcomes and then divide by the number of those outcomes. For the eight-sided die, there are 8 equally likely outcomes, numbered 1 through 8. The formula used to determine the mean is: \[\mu = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n x_i\]where \(\mu\) represents the mean, \(n\) is the number of possible outcomes (which is 8 for the die), and \(x_i\) are the outcomes. For the die experiment, you simply add all the numbers from 1 to 8 and divide by 8, yielding a mean of 4.5. This is the expected value you would predict if you could roll the die an infinite number of times.
Variance Calculation
Variance gives us a measure of how much the outcomes of an experiment spread out from the mean. It is an important concept as it helps to understand the variability or spread of your data. In simpler terms, it tells you how much the results of your experiment, such as rolling a die, will differ from the average value.

To find the variance, each outcome's difference from the mean is squared to make negatives positive, and then these squared differences are averaged. This squaring process gives more weight to larger differences. For our eight-sided die experiment, the variance calculation formula looks like this: \[\sigma^2 = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n (x_i - \mu)^2\]where \(\sigma^2\) denotes variance, \(x_i\) are the individual outcomes, and \(\mu\) is the mean we've previously calculated. After calculating and averaging the squared differences from the mean, we find that the variance is 5.25. This value indicates how much, on average, each roll's outcome deviates from the expected average (mean) value.
Probability Experiment
A probability experiment is a process that leads to well-defined results, called outcomes. Rolling a die, flipping a coin, or drawing a card from a deck are all classic examples of probability experiments. The definitive characteristics of these experiments are that they can be repeated under the same conditions and that the outcomes are uncertain yet can be described with probabilities.

In the given exercise, rolling an eight-sided die is a probability experiment with 8 possible outcomes. Each side (number) is equally likely to come up, assuming the die is fair. The rules of probability can be used to explore and predict the behavior of this die over many rolls. By examining mathematical metrics like mean and variance, we can gain insights into the expected outcomes and their dispersion which can be critical in understanding the underlying patterns within random events.
Mathematical Expectation
Mathematical expectation, often interchangeable with the term 'expected value,' is a key concept in statistics and probability theory. It's essentially the average value or mean of a random variable over a large number of experiments or trials.

The mathematical expectation of a process like rolling a die describes what value you would expect to see on average if you could repeat the experiment an infinite number of times. For a fair eight-sided die, as we have in our problem, the mathematical expectation is equal to the mean. It provides a singular value that represents the combination of all possible outcomes weighted by their probabilities, which, in the case of our unbiased die, are all equal. While one roll of the die is unpredictable, the average or expected value of many rolls is predictable and is calculated to be 4.5. Understanding this expected value is useful for predicting future events and for making decisions based on probable outcomes.

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