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The average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in traditional Medicare (including premiums, cost sharing, and prescription drugs not covered by Medicare) is projected to grow at the rate of $$ C^{\prime}(t)=12.288 t^{2}-150.5594 t+695.23 $$ dollars/year, where \(t\) is measured in 5 -yr intervals, with \(t=0\) corresponding to \(2000 .\) The out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in 2000 were $$\$ 3142$$. a. Find an expression giving the average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in year \(t\). b. What is the projected average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in 2010 ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The expression for the average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in year \(t\) is: \[ C(t) = 4.096t^3 - 75.2797t^2 + 695.23t + 3142 \] b. The projected average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in 2010 is approximately $4842.27.

Step by step solution

01

1. Calculate the integral of the given function

To find the out-of-pocket costs, C(t), we need to integrate the given rate of growth function, C'(t). Finding the indefinite integral (anticommutative derivative): \[ C(t) = \int C'(t) dt = \int (12.288t^2 - 150.5594t + 695.23) dt \]
02

2. Integrate the function

Integrating the function with respect to \(t\), we get: \[ C(t) = 12.288\int t^2 dt - 150.5594\int t dt + 695.23\int dt\\ \] Using integration rules, we get: \[ C(t) = \left( 4.096t^3 - 75.2797t^2 + 695.23t \right) + C \] Where the constant of integration, C, can be found using the given initial condition.
03

3. Find the constant of integration

We know that the average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in 2000 (when \(t=0\)) was $3142. We can use this information to find the constant of integration, C: \[ C(0) = 3142 = 4.096(0)^3 - 75.2797(0)^2 + 695.23(0) + C \] Solving for C, we get C = 3142.
04

4. Write the expression for average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries

Now that we have the constant of integration, we can write the expression for the average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in year t: \[ C(t) = 4.096t^3 - 75.2797t^2 + 695.23t + 3142 \] This gives us an expression for the average out-of-pocket costs in terms of \(t\).
05

5. Calculate the costs for 2010

To find the projected average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in 2010, we need to substitute the value of \(t\) corresponding to 2010 into the expression we found above. Since \(t=0\) corresponds to the year 2000, and t increases in 5-year intervals: \(t = 2\) for the year 2010. Substituting this value into the expression: \[ C(2) = 4.096(2)^3 - 75.2797(2)^2 + 695.23(2) + 3142 \\ \] Calculating the value: \[ C(2) \approx 4842.266 \] The projected average out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries in 2010 is approximately $4842.27.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Integral Calculus
Integral calculus is a fundamental part of mathematics that deals with the accumulation of quantities and the areas under and between curves. It's like piecing together small slices to find the total. Imagine you're walking along a path and you're keeping track of your steps to find out how far you've gone — that's integration in a nutshell.

In the exercise, we used integral calculus to calculate the total out-of-pocket costs for Medicare beneficiaries by integrating the rate of growth function, which describes how these costs change over time. This involved finding the antiderivative, or the indefinite integral, of the rate function. Essentially, if the rate function tells us the speed of cost growth at any given time, integration helps us find the total cost over a specified interval. Just like in the exercise, the process often involves finding the integral of polynomial functions, which are a series of terms composed of constants multiplied by variables raised to a power.
Rate of Growth Functions
Rate of growth functions are mathematical expressions that describe how a quantity changes over time. These functions are like the speedometer in your car; they tell you the rate at which you're traveling, but to know how far you've traveled, you'd need to look at the odometer — that's where integration comes into play.

In our case, we analyzed a function that represented the growth rate of Medicare out-of-pocket costs over time. By performing an integral on this function, we can switch from looking at the rate of change to looking at the overall change itself, providing a clearer picture of the costs beneficiaries will face over time. Understanding the behavior of these functions is crucial in various fields, from economics to physics, where it's important to predict total changes based on continuous growth rates.
Integration Rules
Just like there are rules for solving equations, there are specific rules for integration that help simplify the process. These rules serve as tools to break down complex functions into simpler parts that are easier to integrate.

In the exercise, we applied integration rules to find the cumulative function of out-of-pocket costs. Some common rules include the power rule, which helps us integrate polynomial expressions, and the constant multiplier rule, which allows us to integrate constants outside of an integral sign. By employing these rules, we effectively determined the total cost for the beneficiaries by adding the areas of infinitely many tiny rectangles under the rate function's curve, corresponding to specific intervals.

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