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Do the problems using the binomial probability formula. A baseball player has a .250 batting average. What is the probability that he will have three hits in five times at bat?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that the player will have three hits in five times at bat is approximately 0.088.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the given quantities

The given quantities are: \(n = 5\) (number of trials), \( p = 0.250 \) (probability of success), and \(x = 3\) (number of successes).
02

Plug the given quantities into the binomial probability formula

The binomial probability formula is \( P(x; n, p) = \binom{n}{x} * p^x * (1 - p)^{(n - x)} \). Substituting the given values into the formula gives: \( P(3; 5, 0.250) = \binom{5}{3} * (0.250)^3 * (1 - 0.250)^{(5 - 3)} \).
03

Compute the binomial coefficient

In the equation \( \binom{n}{x} \), \(n\) is the number of trials, and \(x\) is the number of successes. So here, \( \binom{5}{3} = \frac{5!}{3!(5-3)!} = 10 \), where '!' denotes factorial.
04

Compute the values of \( p^x \) and \( (1 - p)^{(n - x)} \)

Compute the values of \( (0.250)^3 = 0.015625 \) and \( (1 - 0.250)^{(5 - 3)} = (0.750)^2 = 0.5625 \).
05

Compute the final result

Finally, multiply the results obtained in Step 3 and Step 4: \( 10 * 0.015625 * 0.5625 = 0.08789 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that provides us with the tools and framework to quantify the uncertainty of events. At its core, it's about measuring the likelihood of different outcomes.
The fundamental concept to remember is that probabilities always range between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty. When dealing with **binomial probability**, like in our baseball example, we focus on experiments that have two possible outcomes: a hit or a miss. This is why it's called "binomial," as "bi" means two.
  • The basic setup involves repeating these experiments multiple times (called "trials").
  • Each trial results in either a success (a hit) or a failure (a miss), independently.
  • The probability of success is consistent throughout all trials.
Once we have these elements, we can apply the **binomial probability formula** to find the desired probability, illuminating the likely outcomes of repeated independent trials.
Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient in probability theory is an essential part of calculating probabilities in repeated trials. Denoted as \( \binom{n}{x} \), it represents the number of ways of choosing \( x \) successes in \( n \) trials.This coefficient uses concepts from combinations, which tell us how to select items from a bigger set, ignoring order.
It's often spoken as "n choose x," where:
  • \( n \) is the total number of trials.
  • \( x \) is the number of successful trials we are interested in.
In our example, the baseball player has 5 chances to bat, and we're calculating the probability of getting exactly 3 hits. To solve \( \binom{5}{3} \) using the formula \( \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \), we compute it as \( \frac{5!}{3!2!} \). This gives 10, which tells us there are 10 ways the player could get exactly 3 hits in 5 attempts.
Factorials
Factorials are a mathematical concept defining the product of an integer and all the positive integers below it. Represented with an exclamation point (!), it's a foundational aspect of permutations and combinations.In probability, factorials help calculate the number of ways to arrange or choose items. For example, \( n! \) is the factorial of "n" and means multiply every whole number from 1 to "n" together.For binomial probabilities:
  • A factorial is used when calculating the binomial coefficient \( \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \), simplifying the arrangement of terms needed to solve the probability problem.
  • In our original example, breaking it down, \( 5! \) is \( 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 120 \), while \( 3! \) is \( 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 6 \) and \( 2! \) is \( 2 \times 1 = 2 \). These calculations help us solve for combinations.
Understanding factorials is the stepping stone to performing larger calculations in probability and beyond, simplifying complex arrangements or combinations into manageable numbers.

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