/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 48 WARRANTY PROTECTION A major appl... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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WARRANTY PROTECTION A major appliance contains two components that are vital for its operation in the sense that if either fails, the appliance is rendered useless. Let the random variable \(X\) measure the useful life (in years) of the first component, and let \(Y\) measure the useful life of the second component (also in years). Suppose the joint probability density function for \(X\) and \(Y\) is \(f(x, y)= \begin{cases}0.1 e^{-x / 2} e^{-y / 5} & \text { if } x \geq 0 \text { and } y \geq 0 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise }\end{cases}\) a. Find the probability that the appliance fails within the first 5 years. b. Which component of a randomly selected appliance would you expect to last longer? How much longer?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of the appliance failing within the first 5 years is approximately \( 1 - e^{-3.5} \). Component Y is expected to last 3 years longer than component X.

Step by step solution

01

- Understand the problem

The appliance fails if either of its two vital components fails. We need to find the probability that this happens within the first 5 years and determine which component is expected to last longer.
02

- Find the probability that a single component lasts more than 5 years

For component X, the survival function is given by: \[ S_X(x) = P(X > x) = \int_{x}^{\infty}0.1 e^{-t/2} dt \]Evaluating this, we get: \[ S_X(x) = e^{-x/2} \( evaluated at \ x = 5 \) = e^{-5/2}\]\Similarly, for Y:\[ S_Y(y) = e^{-y/5} \( evaluated at \ y = 5 \) \ = e^{-1} \] This gives us the probability that each component will last more than 5 years.
03

- Find the probability that both components last more than 5 years

The joint survival function for both components X and Y is: \[ S_{X,Y} (5,5) = S_X(5) * S_Y(5) = e^{-5/2} * e^{-1} = e^{-5/2-1}\]This is because X and Y are independent.
04

- Calculate the probability that at least one component fails within the first 5 years

We use the complement rule to find this probability: \[ P(X \leq 5 \text{ or }Y \leq 5) = 1 - P(X > 5 \text{ and } Y > 5)\] Substituting the values: \[ P(X \leq 5 \text{ or }Y \leq 5) = 1 - e^{-5/2-1}\] This simplifies to: \[ 1 - e^{-3.5}\]
05

- Calculate expected lifetime for each component

The expected value of the lifetime of component X is given by: \[ E(X) = \int_0^{\infty} x f_X(x) dx = \int_0^{\infty} x (0.1 e^{-x/2}) dx\]Which evaluates to \[ E(X) = 2\]Similarly, for Y: \[ E(Y) = 5\]}
06

- Compare the expected lifetimes

From the calculations in Step 5, the expected lifetime of component Y is 5 years, whereas for component X it is 2 years. Thus, on average, component Y is expected to last 3 years longer than component X.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Survival Function
The survival function, denoted as \( S(t) \), measures the probability that a given item lasts longer than time \( t \). For a random variable \( X \), the survival function is defined as \( S_X(x) = P(X > x) \). In simpler terms, it tells you how likely it is that the component will still be working after a certain amount of time. If you have a joint probability for two components, you can find their joint survival by multiplying the individual survival functions, assuming they're independent. This is useful to determine the combined likelihood of neither component failing in a given period of time.
Expected Value
The expected value (or mean) of a random variable gives you a measure of the central tendency. It's like an average value you can expect over many trials. For a continuous random variable \( X \) with probability density function (pdf) \( f(x) \), the expected value is calculated as: \[ E(X) = \int_{0}^{\infty} x f(x) \, dx \]In our context, if we have two components with their expected lifetimes \(E(X)\) and \(E(Y)\), you can determine which component is likely to last longer by comparing these values. When solving the given problem, we calculated the expected lifetimes as \( 2 \) years for component \( X \) and \( 5 \) years for component \( Y \). So, on average, component \( Y \) lasts 3 years longer than component \( X \). This concept helps in making informed decisions on warranty periods and reliability assessments.
Independent Variables
In probability theory, two variables are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other. Mathematically, if \( X \) and \( Y \) are independent, then their joint probability density function \( f_{X,Y}(x, y) \) can be expressed as the product of their individual density functions: \[ f_{X,Y}(x, y) = f_X(x) \, f_Y(y) \]In our case, given the joint pdf \( f(x, y) = 0.1 e^{-x/2} e^{-y/5} \), the independence means that knowing the lifespan of one component provides no information about the lifespan of the other. This property simplifies calculations, such as finding the joint survival function or the probability of failure within a specified period.
Appliance Failure Probability
Appliance failure probability is about determining the chance that at least one crucial component fails within a specified period. To find this probability, we can use the complement rule. First, calculate the survival probabilities of each component not failing within a given time frame, then find the joint survival probability (if they are independent). For the given components, the probability that both last more than 5 years is: \[ P(X > 5 \text{ and } Y > 5) = S_X(5) * S_Y(5) = e^{-2.5} * e^{-1} = e^{-3.5} \]Using the complement rule: \[ P(X \leq 5 \text{ or } Y \leq 5) = 1 - P(X > 5 \text{ and } Y > 5) = 1 - e^{-3.5} \]This result shows the likelihood of at least one failure occurring within 5 years. Understanding these probabilities is vital for designing reliable products and setting appropriate warranty terms.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Find a number \(c\) so that the following function \(f(x)\) is a probability density function: $$ f(x)= \begin{cases}c x e^{-x / 4} & \text { if } x \geq 0 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise }\end{cases} $$

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ECOLOGY The pH level of a liquid measures its acidity and is an important issue in studying the effects of acid rain. Suppose that a test is conducted under controlled conditions that allow the change in \(\mathrm{pH}\) in a particular lake resulting from acid rain to be recorded. Let \(X\) be a random variable that measures the \(\mathrm{pH}\) of a sample of water taken from the lake, and assume that \(X\) has the probability density function. \(f(x)= \begin{cases}0.75(x-4)(6-x) & \text { for } 4 \leq x \leq 6 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise }\end{cases}\) a. Find the probability that the \(\mathrm{pH}\) of a randomly selected sample will be at least \(5 .\) b. Find the expected \(\mathrm{pH}\) of a randomly selected sample.

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