/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 37 A sample of size 1 from the pdf ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A sample of size 1 from the pdf \(f_{Y}(y)=(1+\theta) y^{\theta}\), \(0 \leq y \leq 1\) and \(\theta>-1\), is to be the basis for testing $$ H_{0}: \theta=1 $$ versus $$ H_{1}: \theta<1 $$ The critical region will be the interval \(y \leq \frac{1}{2}\). Find an expression for \(1-\beta\) as a function of \(\theta\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The power of the test, \(1-\beta\), as a function of \(\theta\) can be expressed as: \[1-\beta= \int_{0}^{\frac{1}{2}} (1+\theta) y^{\theta} dy\]

Step by step solution

01

Define the critical region

The critical region for the test, where the null hypothesis would be rejected, is defined as \(y \leq \frac{1}{2}\).
02

Identify the PDF under \(H_1\)

Under the alternative hypothesis \(H_1: \theta<1\), the PDF is \(f_{Y}(y)=(1+\theta) y^{\theta}\), for \(0 \leq y \leq 1\).
03

Calculate Type II error probability

The Type II error probability is defined as the probability that we cannot reject \(H_0\) when \(H_1\) is true. Mathematically, it is the probability that the sample \(Y\) falls out of the critical region when \(\theta<1\). This probability, denoted as \(\beta\), can be calculated as: \[\beta=\int_{\frac{1}{2}}^{1} (1+\theta) y^{\theta} dy\]
04

Calculate the power of the test

The power of the test, denoted as \(1-\beta\), is the complement of the Type II error probability. Therefore, it can be calculated as follows: \[1-\beta=1-\int_{\frac{1}{2}}^{1} (1+\theta) y^{\theta} dy = \int_{0}^{\frac{1}{2}} (1+\theta) y^{\theta} dy\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to decide whether there is enough evidence in a sample of data to infer that a certain condition is true for the entire population. In the context of our example, hypothesis testing involves comparing a null hypothesis () against an alternative hypothesis (). The null hypothesis, denoted by , usually represents a default statement or a position of no effect, and an alternative hypothesis, denoted by , represents what we suspect might be true instead.

In our exercise, the null hypothesis states that , while the alternative hypothesis contends that . To determine which hypothesis is supported by the sample data, we would use a statistical test that compares the observed data to what we would expect to see if the null hypothesis were true. If the data falls into a pre-determined 'critical region', we would reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis.
Probability Density Function (PDF)
The probability density function (PDF) is a function that describes the relative likelihood for a random variable to take on a given value. In essence, the PDF provides a profile of the distribution of possible values that the random variable can assume. For continuous random variables, the PDF is particularly important because it helps to calculate probabilities for intervals of values rather than for specific points.

In the given exercise, the PDF under consideration is for , and it's dependent on the parameter . This function helps us understand the distribution of outcomes and is foundational in calculating the probabilities associated with hypothesis testing, including both Type I and Type II errors.
Statistical Power
Statistical power is the probability that a test correctly rejects a false null hypothesis, which is also known as the test's ability to detect an effect when there is one. Power is an important concept in hypothesis testing because it reflects the sensitivity of the test. In simple terms, the higher the statistical power, the less likely we are to make a Type II error, which is failing to detect a true effect.

The power of a test can be affected by several factors, including the significance level, the size of the effect, and the sample size. In our exercise, the power is represented by , and it is an essential indicator of how likely we are to recognize a true deviation from the null hypothesis given the chosen critical region and the underlying distribution.
Critical Region
The critical region in hypothesis testing is the range of values that leads to the rejection of the null hypothesis. It is determined based on the significance level of the test, which is the probability of making a Type I error—rejecting the null hypothesis when it is, in fact, true. The critical region can be thought of as a 'rejection zone' for the null hypothesis.

In the sample exercise, the critical region is defined as . Any sample that falls within this interval will lead to the conclusion that there is sufficient evidence against . Setting the boundaries of the critical region is a delicate balance as it impacts both Type I and Type II error probabilities and ultimately the robustness and reliability of the hypothesis test.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Commercial fishermen working certain parts of the Atlantic Ocean sometimes find their efforts hindered by the presence of whales. Ideally, they would like to scare away the whales without frightening the fish. One of the strategies being experimented with is to transmit underwater the sounds of a killer whale. On the fifty-two occasions that technique has been tried, it worked twentyfour times (that is, the whales immediately left the area). Experience has shown, though, that \(40 \%\) of all whales sighted near fishing boats leave of their own accord, probably just to get away from the noise of the boat. (a) Let \(p=P\) (Whale leaves area after hearing sounds of killer whale). Test \(H_{0}: p=0.40\) versus \(H_{1}: p>0.40\) at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. Can it be argued on the basis of these data that transmitting underwater predator sounds is an effective technique for clearing fishing waters of unwanted whales? (b) Calculate the \(P\)-value for these data. For what values of \(\alpha\) would \(H_{0}\) be rejected?

What \(\alpha\) levels are possible with a decision rule of the form "Reject \(H_{0}\) if \(k \geq k^{* "}\) when \(H_{0}: p=0.5\) is to be tested against \(H_{1}: p>0.5\) using a random sample of size \(n=7\) ?

An urn contains ten chips. An unknown number of the chips are white; the others are red. We wish to test \(H_{0}\) : exactly half the chips are white versus \(H_{1}\) : more than half the chips are white We will draw, without replacement, three chips and reject \(H_{0}\) if two or more are white. Find \(\alpha\). Also, find \(\beta\) when the urn is (a) \(60 \%\) white and (b) \(70 \%\) white.

As a class research project, Rosaura wants to see whether the stress of final exams elevates the blood pressures of freshmen women. When they are not under any untoward duress, healthy eighteen-year-old women have systolic blood pressures that average \(120 \mathrm{~mm} \mathrm{Hg}\) with a standard deviation of \(12 \mathrm{~mm} \mathrm{Hg}\). If Rosaura finds that the average blood pressure for the fifty women in Statistics 101 on the day of the final exam is \(125.2\), what should she conclude? Set up and test an appropriate hypothesis.

Suppose that one observation from the exponential pdf, \(f_{Y}(y)=h e^{-\lambda y}, y>0\), is to be used to test \(H_{0}: \lambda=1\) versus \(H_{1}: \lambda<1\). The decision rule calls for the null hypothesis to be rejected if \(y \geq \ln 10\). Find \(\beta\) as a function of \(\lambda\).

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