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Calculate \(P\left(0.6

Short Answer

Expert verified
The required probability \(P(0.6<Y_{4}^{\prime}<0.7)\) would be the same as \(P(0.6<Z<0.7)\) under the standard normal distribution.

Step by step solution

01

Describe the given distribution

In this problem, it is given that the variable follows a uniform distribution over the interval \([0,1]\). For a uniform distribution over this interval, the expected value \(E(X) = (a+b)/2 = 0.5\) and the variance \(Var(X) = (b-a)^{2}/12 = 1/12\). Here, \(a=0\) and \(b=1\) are the lower and upper boundaries of the interval.
02

Standardize the sample mean

The standardized sample mean \(Z = \sqrt{n}(Y_n-\mu)/\sigma\), where \(n\) is the sample size, \(Y_{n}\) is the sample mean, \(\mu\) is the expected value of the distribution, and \(\sigma^2 = Var(X) = \) variance of the distribution. The sample mean from a sample of size 6 follows the Central Limit Theorem and hence would approximate a standard normal distribution, N(0,1), under large sample sizes.
03

Calculate the probability

The required probability \(P(0.6<Y_{4}^{\prime}<0.7)\) can be calculated by determining the corresponding standard normal probability \(P(0.6<Z<0.7)\). Use the standard normal distribution table or software to find this probability. The area between \(Z=0.6\) and \(Z=0.7\) under the standard normal curve represents the probability we are seeking.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Uniform Distribution
The uniform distribution is one of the simplest and most straightforward types of probability distributions in statistics. It describes a scenario where every outcome in a given interval has an equal chance of occurring. In the exercise, we deal with a uniform distribution over the interval \([0,1]\). This means any value between 0 and 1 is equally likely to be selected as an outcome.
This type of distribution can be described using two key parameters: the lower limit \(a\) and the upper limit \(b\). In our case, \(a = 0\) and \(b = 1\). The probability density function (pdf) for a uniform distribution is given by:
\[ f(x) = \frac{1}{b-a} \quad \text{for}\ a \leq x \leq b \]
In this instance, the pdf becomes \(f(x) = 1\) for \(0 \leq x \leq 1\), because each outcome within this range appears with equal probability. The expected value (or mean) of a uniform distribution is the midpoint of the interval, calculated by \(E(X) = \frac{a+b}{2}\). For our case, \(E(X) = 0.5\). The variance, which measures the spread of the distribution, is given by \(Var(X) = \frac{(b-a)^2}{12}\), resulting in a variance of \(\frac{1}{12}\).
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a fundamental principle in probability theory. It tells us that the sum (or average) of a large number of independent, identically distributed random variables tends to follow a normal distribution, regardless of the original distribution of the variables. This applies even if the original variables are uniformly distributed.
In our exercise, we use the CLT to transform the uniform distribution's sample mean into a form that approximately follows a normal distribution as the sample size increases. Given a sample of size 6 drawn from a uniform distribution \([0,1]\), the sample mean can be approximated by a normal distribution. The theorem provides a way to standardize this mean, transforming it by \(Z = \sqrt{n}(Y_n-\mu)/\sigma\), where \(n\) is the sample size, \(Y_n\) is the sample mean, \(\mu\) is the expected value, and \(\sigma^2\) is the variance. This transformation allows us to use the properties of the standard normal distribution to estimate probabilities related to the uniform distribution sample mean.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a special case of the normal distribution. It has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. The bell-shaped curve is symmetric about the mean, where most occurrences take place around the central peak and probabilities taper off as you move away from the mean.
In our exercise, after applying the Central Limit Theorem, we approximate the distribution of the sample mean from the uniform distribution as a standard normal distribution. This becomes very useful because the standard normal distribution allows us to calculate probabilities using standardized values, known as \(Z\)-scores. A \(Z\)-score indicates how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. For our exercise, we find the probability of \(Z\) falling between 0.6 and 0.7, which is done using \(Z\)-score tables or software designed to calculate the areas under the curve corresponding to these scores.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation is the process of determining the likelihood of a particular event occurring. In the context of our exercise, we need to calculate the probability \(P(0.6Given the application of the Central Limit Theorem, we can standardize our range mappings onto a standard normal distribution \(Z\). This simplifies the calculation to finding the probability that \(Z\) falls between the equivalent standardized values.
  • First, identify or calculate the \(Z\)-scores for 0.6 and 0.7.
  • Second, use a standard normal distribution table or statistical software to find the respective probabilities.
  • Finally, subtract the smaller probability from the larger probability to find the probability for the range.
This method allows the seemingly complex task of probability calculation under a uniform distribution to be handled easily through the familiar territory of the standard normal distribution.

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If \(E(W)=\mu\) and \(\operatorname{Var}(W)=\sigma^{2}\), show that \(E\left(\frac{W-\mu}{\sigma}\right)=0\) and \(\operatorname{Var}\left(\frac{W-\mu}{\sigma}\right)=1\)

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