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Let \(X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots, X_{n}\) be independent, \(\operatorname{Exp}(a)\)-distributed random variables. Determine the distribution of \(Y=X_{1}+X_{2}+\ldots+X_{n}\) by first determining the joint distribution of $$ \begin{aligned} Z_{1} &=X_{1} \\ Z_{2} &=X_{1}+X_{2} \\ & \vdots \\ Z_{n} &=X_{1}+X_{2}+\ldots+X_{n} \end{aligned} $$ and then computing the marginal distribution of \(Z_{n}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The distribution of \(Y=X_1+X_2+\ldots+X_n\) is \(\operatorname{Gamma}(n, a)\).

Step by step solution

01

Define the Joint Distribution of Exponential Variables

Start by understanding each \(X_i\) as independent and identically distributed exponential variables with parameter \(a\). The density function for an \(\operatorname{Exp}(a)\) distributed random variable is given by \( f(x) = a e^{-ax} \) for \(x > 0\).
02

Transform Variables for Joint Distribution

Consider the transformation to \(Z_i\) variables as defined: \(Z_1 = X_1, Z_2 = X_1 + X_2, \ldots, Z_n = X_1 + X_2 + \ldots + X_n\). The transformation is linear and in a cumulative sum form.
03

Identify the Type of Transformation

The transformation from \(X_i\) to \(Z_j\) is a linear transformation of independent exponential variables. Each \(Z_i\) is the sum of \(i\) exponential random variables each with parameter \(a\).
04

Determine the Distribution of Each \(Z_i\)

Recall that the sum of \(i\) independent \(\operatorname{Exp}(a)\) random variables follows a \(\operatorname{Gamma}(i, a)\) distribution. Specifically, \(Z_i = X_1 + \ldots + X_i\) is \(\operatorname{Gamma}(i, a)\) distributed.
05

Determine the Distribution of \(Y=Z_n\)

Since \(Y = Z_n = X_1 + X_2 + \ldots + X_n\), it follows a \(\operatorname{Gamma}(n, a)\) distribution, as it is the sum of \(n\) independent exponential \(\operatorname{Exp}(a)\) variables.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Exponential Distribution
The exponential distribution is a fundamental statistical tool used to model the time between events in a process where events occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate. This is particularly useful in scenarios such as modelling the time between arrivals at a service center or the time until failure of a piece of equipment. If a random variable \(X\) follows an exponential distribution with rate parameter \(a\), it is denoted as \(\operatorname{Exp}(a)\).
The probability density function (pdf) for such a variable is \(f(x) = a e^{-ax}\) for \(x > 0\). This formula indicates that the probability decreases exponentially as time increases, reflecting the "memoryless" property of the distribution. This means that the distribution of remaining time until the event is just as likely, regardless of how much time has already passed.
Gamma Distribution
The gamma distribution generalizes the exponential distribution and is used to model the sum of multiple exponentially-distributed random variables. When we talk about the gamma distribution, we are often interested in a sum of independent exponential random variables. The gamma distribution with parameters \(i\) and \(a\), denoted as \(\operatorname{Gamma}(i, a)\), describes the distribution of the sum of \(i\) independent \(\operatorname{Exp}(a)\) variables.
This is expressed by its probability density function: \(f(x; i, a) = \frac{a^i x^{i-1} e^{-ax}}{(i-1)!}\) for \(x > 0\), where \(i\) (the shape parameter) accounts for the number of summed variables, and \(a\) (the rate parameter) remains the same as in the exponential distribution. This distribution has applications in queuing models, risk assessment, and reliability engineering, where events happen repeatedly and independently over time.
Independent Random Variables
Random variables are considered independent if the occurrence of one variable does not affect the probability distribution of another. This concept is crucial in probability theory as it simplifies the analysis and calculation of probabilities involving multiple variables.
For instance, consider independent exponential random variables \(X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n\). The independence allows us to transform the variables and predict the behavior of their sum with ease. The joint probability of all events happening together is simply the product of their individual probabilities, which can greatly simplify complex problems. Independence is a foundational assumption in many probabilistic models and is key when determining the distribution of a sum of random variables.
Sum of Random Variables
When adding random variables together, their joint distribution needs to be considered to determine the distribution of the sum. The sum of independent random variables often has well-known distributions, which can provide us with powerful tools to study complex systems.
In the case of exponential random variables, the sum \(Y = X_1 + X_2 + \cdots + X_n\) yields a gamma distribution, specifically \(\operatorname{Gamma}(n, a)\). This is because each \(X_i\) is \(\operatorname{Exp}(a)\)-distributed, and the independence between the variables makes it possible to derive a simple result for their sum. This can be especially useful in real-world applications where one might need to assess the time until the first occurrence of a sequence of independent events.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \(X_{1}, X_{2}\), and \(X_{3}\) be independent random variables, and suppose that \(X_{i} \in \Gamma\left(r_{i}, 1\right), i=1,2,3\). Set $$ \begin{aligned} Y_{1} &=\frac{X_{1}}{X_{1}+X_{2}} \\ Y_{2} &=\frac{X_{1}+X_{2}}{X_{1}+X_{2}+X_{3}} \\ Y_{3} &=X_{1}+X_{2}+X_{3} \end{aligned} $$ Determine the joint distribution of \(Y_{1}, Y_{2}\), and \(Y_{3}\). Conclusions?

Let \(X\) and \(Y\) be independent random variables such that \(X \in U(0,1)\) and \(Y \in U(0, \alpha)\). Find the density function of \(Z=X+Y\). Remark. Note that there are two cases: \(\alpha \geq 1\) and \(\alpha<1\).

Let \(X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots, X_{n}\) be independent \(\mathrm{Pa}(1,1)\)-distributed random variables, and let \(G_{n}\) denote their geometric mean. Show that \(\log G_{n}\) has a distribution that can be expressed in terms of the \(\chi^{2}\)-distribution.

A random vector in \(\mathbf{R}^{2}\) is chosen as follows: Its length, \(Z\), and its angle, \(\Theta\), with the positive \(x\)-axis, are independent random variables, \(Z\) has density $$ f(z)=z e^{-z^{2} / 2}, \quad z>0, $$ and \(\Theta \in U(0,2 \pi)\). Let \(Q\) denote the point of the vector. Determine the joint distribution of the Cartesian coordinates of \(Q\).

A certain chemistry problem involves the numerical study of a lognormal random variable \(X\). Suppose that the software package used requires the input of \(E Y\) and \(\operatorname{Var} Y\) into the computer (where \(Y\) is normal and such that \(X=e^{Y}\) ), but that one knows only the values of \(E X\) and \(\operatorname{Var} X\). Find expressions for the former mean and variance in terms of the latter.

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