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Of the 18 students in Mrs. Shusda's math class, 12 take chemistry. If three students are absent from the class today, what is the probability that none of them take chemistry?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that none of the absent students take chemistry is \( \frac{5}{204} \).

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Number of Students Present

Three students are absent from the math class, so the number of students present is 18 - 3 = 15 students.
02

Identify Non-Chemistry Students

There are 18 - 12 = 6 students in the math class who do not take chemistry. These students are our focus.
03

Calculate Non-Chemistry Students Present

With 3 students absent, assuming absence at random, 9 of the chemistry students remain present. Since there must be exactly 12 chemistry students, the probability of the 3 absent students all being non-chemistry students is based on combinations.
04

Calculate Probability of Non-Chemistry Students Being Absent

Evaluate the case where all absent students are non-chemistry out of the total possibilities. Using combinations: \( \text{P(none take chemistry)} = \frac{\binom{6}{3}}{\binom{18}{3}} \) where: \( \binom{6}{3} \) is choosing 3 non-chemistry students from 6, and \( \binom{18}{3} \) is choosing any 3 students from 18.
05

Perform the Calculation

First, calculate \( \binom{6}{3} = \frac{6 \times 5 \times 4}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 20 \) ways. Then, calculate \( \binom{18}{3} = \frac{18 \times 17 \times 16}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 816 \) ways. Thus, the probability is \( \frac{20}{816} = \frac{5}{204} \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combination formula
When dealing with probability problems where the order of selection does not matter, such as picking a group of students, the combination formula comes in handy. The combination formula is generally expressed as: \( \binom{n}{r} = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!} \). This formula helps us calculate how many ways we can choose \( r \) items from a larger set of \( n \) items, without regard to the order of selection.

In the exercise, we encountered two critical combination calculations: \( \binom{6}{3} \) and \( \binom{18}{3} \).
  • \( \binom{6}{3} \) calculates the number of ways to select 3 students from the 6 students who are not taking chemistry.
  • \( \binom{18}{3} \) determines the number of ways to select any 3 students from the entire class of 18 students.


By applying the combination formula, we master how to count selections when the order is not relevant, which is crucial in this context.
Non-chemistry students
In the problem we addressed, it was important to determine how many students were not enrolled in the chemistry class.

Knowing the composition of the class is essential for calculating probabilities accurately. In this scenario, there are 18 students in total in Mrs. Shusda's class, and 12 of these students are taking chemistry. Therefore, the remaining 6 students do not take chemistry. These are referred to as non-chemistry students.

Non-chemistry students are crucial in this problem because the probability we are calculating revolves around selecting only these students, i.e., determining the probability that all three absent students are from this group. Identifying this subset correctly is a fundamental step in progressing with our problem-solving.
Math class size
Understanding the size of the class is an essential step in solving probability problems. The math class has a total of 18 students, providing the 'n' value \( (n=18) \) that we use in combination and probability calculations.

In practical terms, knowing the class size allows us to determine the scope of our choices, such as where we derive our sample from when looking at possible selections.
  • This basic information is key to framing the problem correctly.
  • It gives a complete picture of who is available to potentially be selected when considering combinations and probabilities.


In summary, establishing the full math class size frames our selection space, helping us understand the overall problem dimensions better.
Random selection probability
Probability helps us measure the chance of a particular event happening. In this exercise, we needed to find the probability that none of the absent students are taking chemistry. Since the selection of absent students is random, we use probability to find out the likelihood that all three missing students are from the non-chemistry group.

The probability formula used here is: \( \frac{\text{Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Possible Outcomes}} \). With this, we identify the number of ways to get a favorable outcome (3 non-chemistry students absent), and the total number of possible outcomes (any 3 students being absent).
  • Our favorable outcome count is \( \binom{6}{3} = 20 \).
  • The total possible outcomes count is \( \binom{18}{3} = 816 \).

Using these, we find the probability to be \( \frac{20}{816} = \frac{5}{204} \). This simple expression captures the likelihood of the event we are interested in, shedding light on how probability quantifies randomness.

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