Chapter 12: Problem 32
A student guesses at all 5 questions on a true-false quiz. Find each probability. \(P(\text { exactly } 4 \text { correct })\)
Short Answer
Expert verified
The probability is \( \frac{5}{32} \).
Step by step solution
01
Define the Parameters of a True-False Quiz
Each question in a true-false quiz has two possible answers: True or False. Let's define the probability of a student guessing a question correctly as \( p = \frac{1}{2} \). The quiz consists of 5 questions, so \( n = 5 \) represents the number of trials.
02
Understand the Probability of Success
To find the probability of getting exactly 4 correct answers, we need to use the binomial probability formula, which is \( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \), where \( k \) is the number of successes (correct answers) we are interested in.
03
Calculate the Binomial Coefficient
Calculate the binomial coefficient for 4 correct answers out of 5 questions: \( \binom{5}{4} = \frac{5!}{4!(5-4)!} = 5 \). This tells us there are 5 ways to choose 4 correct answers out of 5 questions.
04
Apply the Binomial Probability Formula
Substitute the values into the binomial probability formula: \( P(\text{exactly 4 correct}) = \binom{5}{4} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 \left(1-\frac{1}{2}\right)^{5-4} = 5 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{16}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) = \frac{5}{32} \).
05
Interpret the Result
The probability of the student guessing exactly 4 correct answers on the quiz is \( \frac{5}{32} \). This is approximately 0.15625 when converted to a decimal.
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
True-False Quiz
A true-false quiz is a type of test where each question has only two possible answers: True or False. This makes it unique because, when taking such a quiz, each question has a 50% chance of being answered correctly if answered at random. Understanding this concept is crucial when dealing with probability problems related to such quizzes.
- Each question is a separate event, so the probability for each question remains constant independent of previous questions.
- If a test consists of multiple questions, like a 5-question quiz, a participant has multiple opportunities (5 in total) to answer correctly.
Probability of Success
The probability of success in a given experiment refers to the likelihood of a favorable outcome—in our case, a correct answer. For a true-false quiz, each question has a probability of correct guessing, or success, which is \( p = \frac{1}{2} \). This means there's an equal chance of answering correctly or incorrectly.
If you want to know the probability of achieving exactly 4 correct answers out of 5 questions, you're focusing on one specific outcome among many possibilities:
If you want to know the probability of achieving exactly 4 correct answers out of 5 questions, you're focusing on one specific outcome among many possibilities:
- The successes here are the correct answers.
- The probability formula used requires identifying the number of successful results we're interested in (4 correct answers).
Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient is a fundamental part of calculating binomial probabilities. It represents the number of different combinations or ways you can choose a certain number of successes (correct answers) from a larger set of trials (questions). For instance, in the original problem:
- The binomial coefficient \( \binom{5}{4} \) answers "How many ways can you choose 4 questions to get right out of 5?"
- This is calculated using the formula \( \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \), where \( n \) is the total number of questions and \( k \) is the number of chosen successes.
Combination Formula
The combination formula, often presented using the binomial coefficient symbol \( \binom{n}{k} \), calculates how many ways you can choose a subset of items from a larger set without regard to order. It's key for binomial probabilities, since it helps determine the different ways successes can occur in a series of trials.
- In notation, \( n \) is the total number of items, and \( k \) is the number of items to choose.
- The formula is \( \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \).