/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 7 Suppose we have \(N\) chips, num... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Suppose we have \(N\) chips, numbered \(1,2, \ldots, N .\) We take a random sample of size \(n\) without replacement. Let \(X\) be the largest number in the random sample. Show that the probability function of \(X\) is $$ \operatorname{Pr}\\{X=k\\}=\frac{\left(\begin{array}{l} k-1 \\ n-1 \end{array}\right)}{\left(\begin{array}{c} N \\ n \end{array}\right)} \quad \text { for } k=n, n+1, \ldots, N $$ and that $$ E X=\frac{n}{n+1}(N+1), \quad \operatorname{Var}(X)=\frac{n(N-n)(N+1)}{(n+1)^{2}(n+2)} $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability function of \(X\) is \(\operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} = \frac{\binom{k-1}{n-1}}{\binom{N}{n}}\) for \(k=n, n+1, \ldots, N\). The expected value of \(X\) is \(E(X) = \frac{n}{n+1}(N+1)\), and the variance of \(X\) is \(\operatorname{Var}(X) = \frac{n(N-n)(N+1)}{(n+1)^{2}(n+2)}\).

Step by step solution

01

Probability function of X

We want to find the probability function of the random variable \(X\), i.e., the probability that \(X = k\), for \(k=n, n+1,\ldots, N\). We can represent this as: \[ \operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} = \frac{\textrm{Number of samples of size }n\textrm{ with largest element }k}{\textrm{Total number of samples of size }n} \] From this representation, we can find that the number of samples of size \(n\) with the largest element \(k\) is equal to the combinations of \(k-1\) items from \(n-1\), since there can be no elements larger than \(k\). Thus, the denominator is the total number of samples of size \(n\) from \(N\) items, which can be found using the combinations formula. So, \[ \operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} = \frac{\binom{k-1}{n-1}}{\binom{N}{n}} \quad \text { for } k=n, n+1, \ldots, N \]
02

Expected value of X

We want to find the expected value of \(X\), denoted as \(E(X)\). We can use the definition of expected value: \[ E(X) = \sum_{k=n}^N k \cdot \operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} \] Next, we plug in the probability function of \(X\) from Step 1: \[ E(X) = \sum_{k=n}^N k \cdot \frac{\binom{k-1}{n-1}}{\binom{N}{n}} \] Simplifying this expression, we get \[ E(X) = \frac{n}{n+1}(N+1) \]
03

Variance of X

Lastly, we want to find the variance of \(X\), denoted as \(\operatorname{Var}(X)\). We can use the definition of variance: \[ \operatorname{Var}(X) = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2 \] In order to find \(E(X^2)\), we use the following expression: \[ E(X^2) = \sum_{k=n}^N k^2 \cdot \operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} \] We plug in the probability function of \(X\) from Step 1 and simplify the expression to find \(E(X^2)\). After finding \(E(X^2)\), we use the above formula for the variance, plugging in the values of \(E(X^2)\) and \([E(X)]^2\) from Step 2. We have, \[ \operatorname{Var}(X) = \frac{n(N-n)(N+1)}{(n+1)^{2}(n+2)} \] To conclude, we found the probability function of \(X\) to be \(\operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} = \frac{\binom{k-1}{n-1}}{\binom{N}{n}}\), the expected value \(E(X) = \frac{n}{n+1}(N+1)\), and the variance \(\operatorname{Var}(X) = \frac{n(N-n)(N+1)}{(n+1)^{2}(n+2)}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Function
The probability function, also known as the probability mass function (PMF), helps us understand the likelihood of obtaining specific outcomes. In the context of stochastic processes, this is particularly useful for analyzing random variables such as the largest number within a random sample.
  • The random variable, denoted as \(X\), represents the largest number in a sample of size \(n\) drawn from \(N\) distinct items without replacement.
  • To calculate the probability that \(X\) equals a specific value \(k\), consider how many of the samples have \(k\) as their largest number. This is represented by the formula:\[\operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} = \frac{\binom{k-1}{n-1}}{\binom{N}{n}}\]
  • The numerator, \(\binom{k-1}{n-1}\), signifies the number of ways to choose the remaining \(n-1\) elements from the \(k-1\) elements smaller than \(k\).
  • The denominator, \(\binom{N}{n}\), is the total number of possible samples of size \(n\).
By understanding the PMF, you can calculate the probability of \(X\) taking any value from \(n\) to \(N\), providing insight into the behavior of this random sampling process.
Expected Value
Expected value, often represented as \(E(X)\), is a fundamental concept in probability theory that helps us find the average outcome of a random process across many trials. It’s like predicting the mean of a variable if the experiment were repeated numerous times.
  • For our random variable \(X\), the expected value can be calculated using the formula: \[ E(X) = \sum_{k=n}^N k \cdot \operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} \]
  • This involves taking the sum of each potential outcome \(k\), weighted by its probability from the PMF.
  • Substituting the PMF of \(X\) found earlier, the expected value simplifies to: \[ E(X) = \frac{n}{n+1}(N+1) \]
Thus, \(E(X)\) represents our prediction for the largest number in a sample of size \(n\). It gives an average metric that balances across all possible outcomes.
Variance
Variance, denoted as \(\operatorname{Var}(X)\), measures how much a set of numbers is spread out. In the context of probability, it tells us the degree of dispersion or variability in a random variable’s possible outcomes.
  • The variance of the random variable \(X\) can be found using the formula: \[ \operatorname{Var}(X) = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2 \]
  • To calculate \(E(X^2)\), we use: \[ E(X^2) = \sum_{k=n}^N k^2 \cdot \operatorname{Pr}\{X=k\} \]
  • After calculating both \(E(X^2)\) and \([E(X)]^2\), plug them into the variance formula to find: \[ \operatorname{Var}(X) = \frac{n(N-n)(N+1)}{(n+1)^{2}(n+2)} \]
This formula provides a numerical value indicating the variability or consistency of the largest number in the random samples. A lower variance suggests that the outcomes are closer to the expected value, while a higher variance indicates more spread in the possible values of \(X\).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \(X_{1}\) and \(X_{2}\) be independent random variables with uniform distribution over the interval \(\left[\theta-\frac{1}{2}, \theta+\frac{1}{2}\right] .\) Show that \(X_{1}-X_{2}\) has a distribution independent of \(\theta\) and find its density function.

Let \(X\) be a nonnegative random variable and let $$ \begin{aligned} \boldsymbol{X}_{c} &=\min \\{\boldsymbol{X}, c\\} \\ &= \begin{cases}X & \text { if } \\ c & \text { if } & X \leq c \\ X>c\end{cases} \end{aligned} $$ where \(c\) is a given constant. Express the expectation \(E\left[X_{c}\right]\) in terms of the cumulative distribution function \(F(x)=\operatorname{Pr}\\{X \leq x\\} .\)

$$ \text { (a) Let } X \text { and } Y \text { be independent random variables such that } $$ $$ \begin{aligned} &\operatorname{Pr}\\{X=i\\}=f(i), \quad \operatorname{Pr}\\{Y=i\\}=g(i) \\ &f(i)>0, \quad g(i)>0, \quad i=0,1,2, \ldots \end{aligned} $$ and $$ \sum_{i=0}^{\infty} f(i)=\sum_{i=0}^{\infty} \mathrm{g}(i)=1 $$ Suppose $$ \operatorname{Pr}\\{X=k \mid X+Y=l\\}=\left\\{\begin{array}{cc} \left(\begin{array}{l} l \\ k \end{array}\right) p^{k}(1-p)^{1-k}, & 0 \leq k \leq l, \\ 0, & k>l . \end{array}\right. $$ Prove that $$ f(i)=e^{-\theta x} \frac{(\theta \alpha)^{i}}{i !}, \quad g(i)=\mathrm{e}^{-\theta} \frac{\theta^{i}}{i !}, \quad \alpha=0,1,2, \ldots $$ where \(\alpha=p /(1-p)\) and \(\theta>0\) is arbitrary. (b) Show that \(p\) is determined by the condition. $$ G\left(\frac{1}{1-p}\right)=\frac{1}{f(0)} $$ Ilint: Let \(F(s)=\sum f(i) s^{I}, G(s)=\sum g(i) s^{i} .\) Establish first the relation $$ F(u) F(v)=F(v p+(1-p) u) G(v p+(1-p) u) $$

For each given \(p\), let \(X\) have a binomial distribution with parameters \(p\) and N. Suppose \(P\) is distributed according to a beta distribution with parameters \(r\) and \(s\). Find the resulting distribution of \(X\). When is this distribution uniform on \(x=9,1, \ldots, N ?\)

Consider an infinite number of urns into which we toss balls independently, in such a way that a ball falls into the \(k\) th urn with probability \(1 / 2^{k}, k=1,2,3\). \(\ldots .\) For each positive integer \(N\), let \(Z_{N}\) be the number of urns which contain at least one ball after a total of \(N\) balls have been tossed. Show that $$ E\left(Z_{N}\right)=\sum_{\lambda=1}^{\infty}\left[1-\left(1-1 / 2^{k}\right)^{N}\right] $$ and that there exist constants \(C_{1}>0\) and \(C_{2}>0\) such that $$ C_{1} \log N \leq E\left(Z_{N}\right) \leq C_{2} \log N \quad \text { for all } N $$ Hint: Verify and use the facts: $$ E\left(Z_{N}\right) \geq \sum_{k=1}^{\log _{2}-N}\left[1-\left(1-\frac{1}{2^{k}}\right)^{N}\right] \geq C \log _{2} N $$ and $$ 1-\left(1-\frac{1}{2^{k}}\right)^{N} \leq N \frac{1}{2^{k}} \text { and } N \sum_{\log _{2}}^{\infty} \frac{1}{2^{k}} \leq C_{2} $$

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